Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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193
FNUS71 KOKX 191939
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Tinker rd fire...Ctdeep
National Weather Service New York NY
339 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EDT on April 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front moves through tonight. Potential for scattered
showers N&W of NYC, otherwise isolated showers. A widespread
wetting rain is not expected.

Temperatures drop into the 70s around sunset, and then into the
60s and 50s overnight.

Highs in the 60s on Sunday, with northwest winds of 10 to 20 mph
with gusts 20 to 25 mph and min RH values in the mid 20 percent
range.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Temperature.........78 at forecast start...Max 79.
RH..................48 percent at forecast start...Min 47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 13 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise Southwest winds 13 to 14 mph
                    with gusts to around 25 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................109 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........42  42
Weather cov.....    SCH
Weather type....    RW
Tstm cov........    SCH
CWR.............10  20
Chc of thdr (%).0   20
Temp............78  78
RH..............48  48
20 FT wind dir..220 220
20 FT wind spd..13  14
20 FT wind gust.24  25
ADI.............109 M

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight
                    chance of rain showers in the evening and
                    overnight.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 0 percent overnight.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Temperature.........Min 54.
RH..................Max 87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 11 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph shifting to the northwest 8 to 9
                    mph with gusts to around 18 mph after 3 am.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
ADI.................16 to 23.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........43  47  52  58  66  73  82  87  83  68  48  33
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).20  20  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............74  72  69  68  67  66  64  63  62  60  57  56
RH..............53  55  63  65  70  75  84  84  87  87  83  77
20 FT wind dir..220 230 230 240 260 270 270 290 300 310 320 320
20 FT wind spd..11  9   9   10  9   8   7   7   7   9   8   9
20 FT wind gust.20  19  18  14  18  14  19  16  16  16  18  18
ADI.............M   23  M   M   18  M   M   16  M   M   18  M

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 63.
RH..................Min 29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 14 mph with gusts to
                    around 23 mph.
ADI.................95 early in the morning increasing to 139 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29  31  32  27  15  9   5   4   3   2   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............56  57  57  57  58  58  59  60  61  62  62  61
RH..............66  55  49  49  44  42  37  35  32  31  30  29
20 FT wind dir..320 320 320 320 330 330 330 330 330 330 330 320
20 FT wind spd..10  11  11  13  14  14  14  13  11  9   9   7
20 FT wind gust.19  20  21  22  23  23  23  21  20  18  17  16
ADI.............M   95  M   M   139 M   M   133 M   M   111 M

$$
Forecaster...JP
Requested by...Olney knight
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2511049.2/OKX
.DELDT 04/19/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL olney.knight@ct.gov