306
FNUS71 KOKX 252044
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Jennings Creek Fire...DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
344 PM EST Mon Nov 25 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 EST on November 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather continues for the rest of this afternoon into evening
with RH values 50 to 55 percent. A wetting rainfall moves through
during Tuesday morning. Winds then shift west with clearing
conditions in the afternoon. Minimum RH in the afternoon will be
around 60 percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........49 at forecast start...Max 49.
RH..................48 percent at forecast start...Min 48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 3 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise Light winds.
ADI.................22 to 36.

TIME (EST)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29  36  27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1
Temp............49  49  48
RH..............48  50  54
20 FT wind dir..280 290 270
20 FT wind spd..3   2   1
20 FT wind gust.5   4   2
ADI.............36  31  22

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain overnight. Chance of rain after 3 am.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 50 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 39.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
ADI.................0 to 11.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........42  73  69  74  80  76  79  86  85  75  85  88
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20  50  50
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............44  41  40  40  41  40  41  41  41  41  41  43
RH..............65  76  82  85  85  89  85  89  89  89  92  93
20 FT wind dir..230 200 190 190 170 170 170 160 160 160 150 150
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4
20 FT wind gust.2   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   6   6
ADI.............11  2   0   0   2   2   2   3   4   5   6   6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent) then becoming mostly
                    sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of rain early in
                    the morning, then rain early in the morning.
                    Chance of rain late in the morning.
CWR.................50 percent increasing to 90 percent early in
                    the morning, then decreasing to 40 percent late
                    in the morning decreasing to 10 percent in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 55.
RH..................Min 61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 6 to 7 mph late
                    in the morning, then shifting to the west 8 to
                    11 mph with gusts to around 18 mph in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................7 early in the morning increasing to 107 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........91  98  94  99  99  92  60  38  17  22  9   3
Weather cov.....CHC DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............50  90  90  90  40  40  40  10  10  10  0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............43  44  45  48  49  51  52  55  55  55  54  50
RH..............96  100 100 96  100 96  89  80  72  64  61  66
20 FT wind dir..150 160 170 190 220 260 280 290 290 290 290 290
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   4   6   7   8   11  11  11  10  10
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   7   13  14  18  18  18  17  17
ADI.............7   9   13  19  30  50  72  90  102 107 101 77

$$
Forecaster...JC
Requested by...Charles Kabrehl
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2427095.5/OKX
.DELDT 11/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL charles.kabrehl@dec.ny.gov