Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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FNUS71 KOKX 040737
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Ridge Unit 5 Terrapene RX...NYS Dept of Environ Conserv
National Weather Service New York NY
337 AM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Any showers should end early to mid morning in response to a
passing cold front with total QPF around 0.10" or less. The
remainder of the day and into tonight will be dry under high
pressure. NW winds 5-10 mph with minimum RH in the afternoon
around 45%.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning.
CWR.................30 percent decreasing to 10 percent late in the
                    morning.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........56 at ignition...Max 63.
RH..................83 percent at ignition...Min 46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 2 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming
                    northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon, then
                    becoming light late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 14 mph increasing to 18 to 21
                    mph late in the morning.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 73 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........95  91  87  83  78  64  69  68  54  55
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30  30  30  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............56  55  57  57  58  59  60  61  62  61
RH..............83  80  72  69  64  57  53  49  46  48
20 FT wind dir..320 320 330 330 320 320 320 320 330 330
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   8   8   8   10  8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 1.0 1.8 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.1 2.9
Transp wind dir.320 320 330 330 330 330 330 330 330 330
Transp wind spd.5   8   14  18  21  21  21  21  21  20
ADI.............3   18  38  55  61  64  64  70  73  69

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 43.
RH..................Max 71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph early in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast
                    8 to 12 mph after 3 am.
ADI.................49 early in the evening decreasing to 0 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........49  41  60  51  52  56  46  49  57  58  68  77
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............59  57  54  53  51  50  49  49  48  47  47  46
RH..............51  51  54  54  59  61  63  63  65  68  68  68
20 FT wind dir..330 330 340 350 000 000 010 030 030 060 060 070
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   8   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3
Transp wind dir.330 340 340 350 000 000 010 020 030 040 060 070
Transp wind spd.15  9   5   3   3   5   5   6   7   8   9   12
ADI.............49  23  2   0   0   2   2   2   3   2   3   8

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    in the morning, then rain showers likely in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 30 percent early in the
                    morning, then increasing to 50 percent in the
                    late morning and early afternoon increasing to
                    60 percent late in the afternoon decreasing to
                    50 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 51.
RH..................Min 65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 24 mph increasing to 24 to 31
                    mph in the afternoon.
ADI.................20 early in the morning increasing to 61 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........81  92  91  86  90  93  92  91  90  91  93  95
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC
Weather type....    RN  RN  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   30  30  50  50  50  50  50  60  60  60  50
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............46  45  45  46  48  48  48  48  48  48  47  46
RH..............65  68  70  71  65  65  65  68  68  68  74  76
20 FT wind dir..080 090 100 110 110 110 110 120 120 120 120 120
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.11  12  13  13  14  16  17  17  17  17  16  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.2 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.1 1.9
Transp wind dir.080 100 110 120 120 130 130 140 140 140 140 140
Transp wind spd.15  18  22  23  23  24  24  24  25  29  31  31
ADI.............20  36  49  53  54  53  53  53  54  58  61  59

$$
Forecaster...BR
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2508819.0/OKX
.DELDT 04/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov