350
FNUS71 KOKX 120857
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Ward Pound Ridge Prescribed Burn...Westchester County Emergency Management
National Weather Service New York NY
357 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EST on November 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
NW winds start out light around 5 mph, but increase to around
10 mph gusts around 20 mph. A few gusts could reach 25 mph in
the afternoon. RH values will start out over 90 percent, but
quickly drop into the upper 50s and lower 60s in the afternoon.
Lighter NW winds are anticipated on Saturday with RH values
falling to a min around 50 percent in the afternoon.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........32 at ignition...Max 47.
RH..................96 percent at ignition...Min 58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 21 mph increasing to 22 to 26
                    mph in the afternoon.
ADI.................12 early in the morning increasing to 86 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........23  29  35  41  50  59  68  65  61  58  49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............32  35  39  43  44  45  45  45  46  45  43
RH..............96  89  79  70  68  65  62  60  58  58  60
20 FT wind dir..280 280 290 290 290 300 300 300 310 310 310
20 FT wind spd..5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   6
20 FT wind gust.10  11  13  14  14  16  17  16  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.1 2.2 3.3 4.4 5.4 6.0 6.1 5.7 5.2 4.7
Transp wind dir.280 290 300 310 310 320 320 320 320 320 330
Transp wind spd.12  13  16  18  21  22  23  24  25  26  26
ADI.............12  27  45  62  70  75  77  83  86  81  60

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 27.
RH..................Max 92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming northwest around
                    5 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 22 to 28 mph decreasing to 10 to 16
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
ADI.................0 to 34.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........40  31  26  22  17  17  16  16  14  13  11  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............41  39  37  35  34  33  32  31  30  30  29  28
RH..............65  67  72  75  78  78  81  81  85  81  85  85
20 FT wind dir..320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320
20 FT wind spd..6   5   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.12  10  10  10  10  8   8   8   8   8   10  8
Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 3.4 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8
Transp wind dir.330 330 330 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320
Transp wind spd.28  26  22  16  12  10  10  12  13  14  15  15
ADI.............34  12  4   3   5   5   5   5   3   2   0   0

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 46.
RH..................Min 49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the west
                    around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL in the morning and early afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 17 mph in the morning and early
                    afternoon.
ADI.................0.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  14  17  21  24  29  35  40  43  45  48  53
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............27  27  29  33  38  41  43  44  45  46  45  44
RH..............88  92  90  80  67  60  54  50  49  50  53  57
20 FT wind dir..320 320 320 320 320 320 310 300 300 290 280 270
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.8   7   8   10  10  11  11  11  11  10  10  8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.6 M   M   M   M
Transp wind dir.320 320 320 320 320 310 310 300 M   M   M   M
Transp wind spd.15  15  15  16  17  17  17  16  M   M   M   M
ADI.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...DS
Requested by...Matthew Kavaler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525532.0/OKX
.DELDT 11/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mak6@westchestercountyny.gov