267
FNUS71 KOKX 221015
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Jennings Creek Fire...DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
515 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0615 EST on November 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Rainfall will continue through Friday night under breezy SW
winds. Saturday will become dry with breezy north winds, but still
elevated humidity.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Snow showers in the
                    morning. Rain showers through the day.
CWR.................90 percent decreasing to 70 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........35 at forecast start...Max 38.
RH..................96 percent at forecast start...Min 92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 12 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise Southwest winds 9 to 12 mph
                    with gusts to around 22 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
ADI.................28 to 50.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........99  98  97  95  94  93  93  93  93  93  93  92
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............90  90  90  90  90  90  90  90  90  90  70  70
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............35  35  35  36  36  37  37  38  38  38  38  37
RH..............96  96  100 100 100 100 100 96  96  96  92  100
20 FT wind dir..240 230 220 210 200 190 180 180 170 160 150 140
20 FT wind spd..12  11  11  10  9   9   9   8   7   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.22  20  20  20  18  18  18  17  16  14  13  12
ADI.............34  33  29  36  41  46  49  50  49  46  39  28

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and
                    snow showers likely in the evening, then chance
                    of rain showers and slight chance of snow
                    showers overnight.
CWR.................70 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 32.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light, then becoming northeast
                    around 5 mph late in the evening shifting to
                    the north 5 to 8 mph with gusts to around 16
                    mph.
ADI.................3 to 16.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........91  90  89  88  87  86  84  82  79  74  68  61
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  RS  SW  RS  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............70  70  70  70  40  40  40  30  30  30  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............36  35  35  35  35  34  33  32  33  35  35  34
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..130 110 100 060 030 020 000 000 350 340 340 330
20 FT wind spd..5   4   4   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   8
20 FT wind gust.11  10  10  11  11  11  12  13  14  14  16  16
ADI.............16  6   3   4   6   7   8   9   12  14  16  12

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 45.
RH..................Min 76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph
                    increasing to 31 mph in the afternoon.
ADI.................8 to 12 early in the morning.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53  45  39  36  34  35  38  40  41  42  43  46
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............32  32  34  37  40  43  44  45  45  45  45  44
RH..............100 100 100 100 92  86  82  79  79  76  76  79
20 FT wind dir..320 320 310 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300
20 FT wind spd..8   8   10  11  12  12  12  12  12  12  11  11
20 FT wind gust.17  18  19  21  23  24  25  25  24  23  22  21
ADI.............8   12  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

$$
Forecaster...BR
Requested by...Charles Kabrehl
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2427095.2/OKX
.DELDT 11/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL charles.kabrehl@dec.ny.gov