178
FNUS71 KOKX 032209
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Ridge Unit 5 Terrapene RX...NYS DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
609 PM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Showers develop and become more widespread late tonight and into
early Friday morning with elevated RH levels. Patchy fog is also expected
tonight into early Friday morning. Towards and after 8 AM fog is
expected to dissipate with shower activity becoming less widespread
and more scattered for the mid to late morning. Dry conditions are
expected for Friday afternoon with RH levels falling into the 40 to 50
percent range. Rainfall totals ending Friday morning are expected to be
around a quarter of an inch. Much of the anticipated rain should end
towards 8 TO 9 AM.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning, then slight
                    chance of rain showers late in the morning.
CWR.................30 percent decreasing to 0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........52 at ignition...Max 63.
RH..................83 percent at ignition...Min 43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 5 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 5 to 7
                    mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3200 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 22 mph.
ADI.................27 early in the morning increasing to 77 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........97  96  94  93  89  85  82  76  71  65
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30  30  30  20  20  20  0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  53  55  57  58  60  61  62  63  61
RH..............83  77  69  62  57  51  48  46  43  46
20 FT wind dir..320 320 320 320 320 310 310 310 320 320
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   8   8   13  13  13  13  8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.0
Transp wind dir.330 330 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320
Transp wind spd.16  18  21  22  22  22  21  21  21  20
ADI.............27  34  41  48  55  62  67  74  77  71

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    light rain early in the morning.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent early in
                    the morning.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 42.
RH..................Max 79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 15 mph shifting to the north
                    around 5 mph late in the evening, then shifting
                    to the northeast 6 to 9 mph overnight.
ADI.................51 early in the evening decreasing to 0 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........68  71  74  64  54  44  49  54  59  68  78  87
Weather cov.....                                            SCH
Weather type....                                            RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............58  54  51  49  48  48  47  46  45  44  43  42
RH..............49  57  63  66  68  65  68  71  73  76  76  79
20 FT wind dir..320 330 330 340 350 000 010 040 050 050 070 070
20 FT wind spd..6   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4
20 FT wind gust.7   6   5   4                   4   4   4   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3
Transp wind dir.330 330 330 340 350 000 010 040 050 050 070 070
Transp wind spd.15  10  7   5   5   5   5   6   7   7   7   9
ADI.............51  24  3   0   0   2   2   2   3   1   1   6

$$
Forecaster...JE
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2508819.0/OKX
.DELDT 04/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov