Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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FNUS71 KOKX 010844
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for South of Currans 4th Block South RX...NYS-DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
444 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure keeps the area dry through this afternoon.
Minimum RH levels range from 30 to 40 percent today and a
light SE flow develops, with speeds 5 to 10 mph. A wetting
rain is possible overnight into Friday, and then again later
Friday afternoon and evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........61 at ignition...Max 65.
RH..................39 percent at ignition...Min 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 4 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3200 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 14 mph.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  35  35  34  32  30  29  30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............61  63  63  64  64  63  62  61
RH..............39  35  35  35  37  39  41  44
20 FT wind dir..110 120 130 140 140 140 140 140
20 FT wind spd..4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   8   8   10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 3.1 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.4 2.0
Transp wind dir.120 130 140 150 160 160 160 160
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   9   10  12  14  14

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers late in the evening. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the evening. Rain showers
                    likely overnight. Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 60 percent.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Temperature.........Min 48.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........33  39  47  57  67  76  81  85  88  91  92  90
Weather cov.....                    CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   10  10  10  30  30  30  60  60  60  60
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20  20  20  0
Temp............58  56  55  54  53  54  54  54  55  55  55  56
RH..............51  59  66  69  74  71  74  77  80  83  90  93
20 FT wind dir..150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 160 170 180 180
20 FT wind spd..5   4   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.8   7   7   7   7   8   8   10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.150 150 150 150 150 150 150 160 160 160 170 180
Transp wind spd.12  9   7   6   6   7   7   8   9   9   9   9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Rain showers likely early in
                    the morning, then slight chance of rain showers
                    early in the morning.
CWR.................60 percent decreasing to 20 percent early in
                    the morning.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 72.
RH..................Min 63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 18 mph increasing to around 21
                    mph late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........83  74  69  70  72  72  64  54  47  45  47  49
Weather cov.....LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............60  60  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............57  58  59  61  63  66  68  70  71  71  70  69
RH..............90  86  87  81  81  75  70  66  63  66  68  73
20 FT wind dir..180 180 190 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  11  12  13  14  14  16  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.5 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.1
Transp wind dir.180 180 190 200 220 230 230 230 230 220 210 210
Transp wind spd.9   10  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  21  21  21

$$
Forecaster...DR
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2512450.0/OKX
.DELDT 04/30/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov