Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3
407
FNUS51 KOKX 220735
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure develops just off the coast today. This brings
a wetting rain through today. RH levels will remain elevated
through tonight, and only come down some on Friday.
Northeast winds will be gusty today before starting to
diminish tonight out of the north. The winds will be out of
the west during Friday with the chance of showers.


NYZ212-230745-
New York City-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          80           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      56 (+2)      45 (-5)      61
RH % (24h trend)      80 (+10)     90 (+4)      54
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 15-19 G32 N 8-12 G21   W 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 12-16 G26 NW 4-8       W 6-10 G17
Precip Amount         0.81         0.07         0.02
Precip Duration       11           7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2430         1520         6540
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 26        N  9         W 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     55890        12160        163500
Max ADI Early         66 Good      44 Gen Good  52 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          65 Good      17 Gen Poor  110 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-230745-
Long Island-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          70           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      56 (+2)      43 (-6)      60
RH % (24h trend)      78 (+6)      88 (+3)      59
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 17-21 G33  N 12-16 G30  W 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 17-21 G34 NW 7-11 G22  W 6-10
Precip Amount         1.20         0.11         0.01
Precip Duration       12           7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2490         1310         5870
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 36         NW 16        W 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     77190        18340        135010
Max ADI Early         74 Good      62 Good      47 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          79 Good      27 Fair      114 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-230745-
Lower Hudson Valley-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          80           50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      52 (0)       41 (-5)      57
RH % (24h trend)      83 (+4)      96 (+3)      66
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 9-13 G29   N 5-9 G20    Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 8-12 G24  Lgt/Var      W 3-7
Precip Amount         0.64         0.10         0.05
Precip Duration       11           7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2480         1290         5580
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 23        N  9         W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     49600        10320        122760
Max ADI Early         64 Good      44 Gen Good  32 Fair
Max ADI Late          64 Good      10 Poor      104 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-230745-
Western Passaic-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          90           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      52 (+2)      42 (-4)      57
RH % (24h trend)      85 (+3)      93 (+1)      64
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 7-11 G22   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 5-9 G20   Lgt/Var      W 3-7
Precip Amount         0.59         0.09         0.04
Precip Duration       11           7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2560         1130         5850
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 21        N  3         W 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     46080        3390         117000
Max ADI Early         62 Good      38 Fair      47 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          63 Good      5 Very Poor  132 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-230745-
Eastern Passaic-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          80           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      54 (+1)      45 (-4)      59
RH % (24h trend)      86 (+9)      95 (+2)      59
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 9-13 G26   N 4-8 G18    Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 8-12 G22  Lgt/Var      W 4-8
Precip Amount         0.75         0.07         0.03
Precip Duration       11           7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2540         1840         6310
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 25        N 14         W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     55880        22080        132510
Max ADI Early         58 Gen Good  40 Fair      46 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          62 Good      7 Poor       132 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-230745-
Western Bergen-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          80           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      53 (+1)      43 (-5)      58
RH % (24h trend)      86 (+7)      93 (+2)      62
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 8-12 G23   N 4-8 G18    Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11 G21  Lgt/Var      W 3-7
Precip Amount         0.70         0.07         0.04
Precip Duration       11           7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2450         1620         5910
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 24        N  6         W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     51450        8100         130020
Max ADI Early         55 Gen Good  42 Gen Good  45 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          66 Good      8 Poor       122 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-230745-
Eastern Bergen-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          80           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      54 (0)       44 (-5)      59
RH % (24h trend)      85 (+13)     93 (+3)      59
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 11-15 G27  N 6-10 G20   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G24  NW 3-7       W 4-8
Precip Amount         0.76         0.07         0.02
Precip Duration       11           7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2350         1510         6110
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 28        N  7         W 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     56400        9060         140530
Max ADI Early         59 Gen Good  38 Fair      44 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          60 Gen Good  9 Poor       124 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-230745-
Western Essex-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          80           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      54 (+1)      45 (-4)      59
RH % (24h trend)      86 (+11)     95 (+2)      56
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 10-14 G26  N 4-8 G18    Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 8-12 G23  Lgt/Var      W 5-9 G17
Precip Amount         0.76         0.07         0.02
Precip Duration       11           7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2530         1850         6540
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 25        NW  3        W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     55660        5550         143880
Max ADI Early         59 Gen Good  39 Fair      50 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          58 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  148 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-230745-
Eastern Essex-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          80           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      56 (+2)      46 (-4)      60
RH % (24h trend)      86 (+17)     92 (+3)      54
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 11-15 G25 N 5-9 G18    Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G22  Lgt/Var      W 5-9 G18
Precip Amount         0.79         0.07         0.02
Precip Duration       11           7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2420         1910         6580
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 26        NW  3        W 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     55660        5730         151340
Max ADI Early         59 Gen Good  38 Fair      51 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          60 Gen Good  8 Poor       147 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-230745-
Western Union-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          80           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      55 (+1)      45 (-4)      61
RH % (24h trend)      86 (+11)     95 (+2)      55
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G24 N 3-7        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 8-12 G21  Lgt/Var      W 6-10 G17
Precip Amount         0.68         0.07         0.02
Precip Duration       11           7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2550         1810         7060
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 24        NW  2        W 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     53550        3620         183560
Max ADI Early         59 Gen Good  40 Fair      56 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          59 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  149 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-230745-
Eastern Union-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          80           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      56 (+1)      46 (-4)      61
RH % (24h trend)      86 (+16)     93 (+3)      52
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 11-15 G30 N 5-9 G20    Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G26  Lgt/Var      W 6-10 G18
Precip Amount         0.74         0.07         0.02
Precip Duration       11           7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2470         1840         6950
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 24        NW  3        W 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     51870        5520         180700
Max ADI Early         61 Good      42 Gen Good  57 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          61 Good      7 Poor       150 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-230745-
Hudson-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          80           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      55 (+1)      46 (-4)      60
RH % (24h trend)      86 (+18)     91 (+3)      55
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 13-17 G27 N 7-11 G19   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 11-15 G24 NW 3-7       W 6-10 G17
Precip Amount         0.77         0.07         0.02
Precip Duration       11           7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2340         1740         6410
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 25        N  7         W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     51480        10440        141020
Max ADI Early         63 Good      39 Fair      51 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          62 Good      16 Gen Poor  119 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-230745-
Northern Fairfield-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          80           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      50 (-3)      40 (-6)      56
RH % (24h trend)      80 (+6)      91 (+2)      66
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 11-15 G25 N 8-12 G23   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 11-15 G24 NW 4-8 G17   W 3-7
Precip Amount         0.98         0.12         0.02
Precip Duration       12           7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2400         1090         4830
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 31         N 15         W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     64800        14170        91770
Max ADI Early         63 Good      50 Gen Good  29 Fair
Max ADI Late          61 Good      21 Fair      83 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-230745-
Southern Fairfield-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          80           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      52 (-1)      42 (-6)      59
RH % (24h trend)      83 (+10)     96 (+5)      65
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 15-19 G30 N 9-13 G24   NW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 13-17 G27 NW 5-9       W 4-8
Precip Amount         1.00         0.09         0.02
Precip Duration       11           7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2240         1180         5320
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 33         N 14         W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     64960        14160        117040
Max ADI Early         69 Good      46 Gen Good  36 Fair
Max ADI Late          69 Good      21 Fair      102 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-230745-
Northern New Haven-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          90           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      51 (-2)      40 (-6)      58
RH % (24h trend)      75 (+7)      92 (+4)      64
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G23 N 10-14 G25  NW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 11-15 G26 N 5-9 G20    W 4-8
Precip Amount         1.05         0.19         0.02
Precip Duration       12           9            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2700         1190         4530
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 30         N 20         W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     70200        20230        67950
Max ADI Early         64 Good      54 Gen Good  28 Fair
Max ADI Late          63 Good      28 Fair      68 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-230745-
Southern New Haven-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          80           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      53 (-1)      43 (-4)      59
RH % (24h trend)      78 (+9)      89 (+4)      62
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 12-16 G27 N 11-15 G27  NW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 14-18 G31 NW 6-10 G20  W 4-8
Precip Amount         1.15         0.16         0.01
Precip Duration       12           7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2580         1470         4760
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 31         N 23         W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     69660        29400        80920
Max ADI Early         71 Good      57 Gen Good  34 Fair
Max ADI Late          72 Good      30 Fair      77 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-230745-
Northern Middlesex-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          90           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      51 (-1)      41 (-5)      57
RH % (24h trend)      78 (+12)     94 (+5)      61
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G26 N 11-15 G26  NW 4-8 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 12-16 G26 NW 8-12 G23  W 4-8
Precip Amount         1.14         0.30         0.01
Precip Duration       12           9            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2490         1490         4710
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 29         N 23         W  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     62250        29800        32970
Max ADI Early         62 Good      54 Gen Good  37 Fair
Max ADI Late          65 Good      31 Fair      57 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-230745-
Southern Middlesex-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          90           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      52 (0)       42 (-5)      59
RH % (24h trend)      83 (+12)     93 (+4)      61
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 13-17 G29 N 11-15 G27  NW 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 14-18 G31 NW 7-11 G21  W 4-8
Precip Amount         1.09         0.22         0.00
Precip Duration       12           7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2460         1410         4550
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 32         NW 20        W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     68880        23970        72800
Max ADI Early         68 Good      55 Gen Good  43 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          72 Good      31 Fair      70 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-230745-
Northern New London-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          100          30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      51 (0)       41 (-3)      58
RH % (24h trend)      81 (+15)     92 (+4)      60
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G25 N 12-16 G29  NW 5-9 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 13-17 G29 NW 8-12 G23  W 4-8
Precip Amount         1.12         0.43         0.01
Precip Duration       12           9            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2840         1600         4990
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 28         NW 22        W  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     68160        30400        39920
Max ADI Early         64 Good      66 Good      45 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          71 Good      41 Gen Good  48 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-230745-
Southern New London-
335 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          90           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      53 (+1)      42 (-4)      59
RH % (24h trend)      78 (+11)     90 (+4)      61
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 12-16 G27 N 11-15 G27  NW 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 14-18 G31 NW 7-11 G22  W 5-9
Precip Amount         1.12         0.31         0.01
Precip Duration       12           7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2580         1410         4540
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 30         NW 21        W 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     67080        25380        45400
Max ADI Early         68 Good      69 Good      49 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          75 Good      40 Fair      63 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MEMORIAL DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$