Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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047
FNUS51 KOKX 010638
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A wetting rain ends early on Friday for eastern portions of
the region with dry weather returning to the region for
tonight and the weekend. The winds diminish later this
afternoon and this evening. Light winds take place tonight
and Saturday with minimum RH levels dropping to 35 to 45
percent on Saturday.

NYZ212-020700-
New York City-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      76 (-8)      63 (-5)      83
RH % (24h trend)      65 (-3)      82 (-16)     35
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 11-15 G24 NE 5-9 G18   N 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G20  N 4-8        NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.05         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5420                      7480
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 17        N 16         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     81300        0            67320
Max ADI Early         69 Good      42 Gen Good  93 Good
Max ADI Late          61 Good      12 Poor      93 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-020700-
Long Island-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      75 (-7)      62 (-5)      81
RH % (24h trend)      66 (-10)     82 (-16)     40
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 12-16 G26 NE 6-10 G20  N 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 10-14 G24 NE 5-9       NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.10         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4780                      7430
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 22        NE 18        N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     90820        0            66870
Max ADI Early         74 Good      54 Gen Good  91 Good
Max ADI Late          75 Good      13 Gen Poor  89 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-020700-
Lower Hudson Valley-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      75 (-2)      53 (-9)      80
RH % (24h trend)      64 (-12)     94 (-6)      38
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 6-10 G18  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 5-9 G17   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.05         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6770                      7410
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 14        N  7         N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     81240        0            59280
Max ADI Early         61 Good      57 Gen Good  81 Good
Max ADI Late          77 Good      4 Very Poor  84 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-020700-
Western Passaic-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      73 (-5)      56 (-6)      79
RH % (24h trend)      67 (-8)      91 (-9)      38
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 4-8 G17   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 3-7       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6310         40           7290
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 14         N  7         N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     75720        240          58320
Max ADI Early         62 Good      45 Gen Good  84 Good
Max ADI Late          64 Good      3 Very Poor  87 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-020700-
Eastern Passaic-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      75 (-8)      59 (-7)      81
RH % (24h trend)      66 (-1)      87 (-12)     35
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 7-11 G18  Lgt/Var      N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 6-10 G18  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.05         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6370                      7470
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 14         N  9         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     76440        0            67230
Max ADI Early         56 Gen Good  46 Gen Good  89 Good
Max ADI Late          64 Good      5 Very Poor  92 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-020700-
Western Bergen-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      75 (-6)      57 (-7)      81
RH % (24h trend)      67 (-4)      89 (-10)     35
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 6-10 G17  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 5-9       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.05         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6170                      7480
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 14         N  7         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     74040        0            67320
Max ADI Early         61 Good      44 Gen Good  91 Good
Max ADI Late          64 Good      4 Very Poor  95 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-020700-
Eastern Bergen-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      75 (-8)      60 (-6)      82
RH % (24h trend)      64 (0)       84 (-13)     34
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 7-11 G19  NE 3-7       N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 6-10 G18  Lgt/Var      N 3-7
Precip Amount         0.05         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6050                      7430
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 14        N 10         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     72600        0            66870
Max ADI Early         55 Gen Good  42 Gen Good  87 Good
Max ADI Late          58 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  89 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-020700-
Western Essex-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      74 (-10)     60 (-6)      81
RH % (24h trend)      67 (+1)      87 (-12)     37
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 8-12 G19  Lgt/Var      N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 6-10 G18  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5830                      7350
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 14        N  9         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     69960        0            66150
Max ADI Early         55 Gen Good  47 Gen Good  88 Good
Max ADI Late          62 Good      5 Very Poor  89 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-020700-
Eastern Essex-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      75 (-10)     62 (-5)      82
RH % (24h trend)      65 (+3)      79 (-17)     35
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 8-12 G19  NE 3-7       N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11 G18  N 3-7        N 3-7
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5880                      7420
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 15        N 12         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     76440        0            66780
Max ADI Early         59 Gen Good  37 Fair      91 Good
Max ADI Late          54 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  92 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-020700-
Western Union-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      74 (-12)     60 (-6)      81
RH % (24h trend)      70 (+6)      86 (-13)     38
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 7-11 G19  Lgt/Var      N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 6-10 G18  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.05         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5780                      7410
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 14        NE 13        N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     69360        0            66690
Max ADI Early         57 Gen Good  45 Gen Good  91 Good
Max ADI Late          62 Good      5 Very Poor  92 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-020700-
Eastern Union-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      76 (-11)     63 (-4)      82
RH % (24h trend)      64 (+2)      83 (-12)     36
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 8-12 G22  NE 3-7 G17   N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11 G22  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5800                      7480
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 15        NE 13        N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     75400        0            67320
Max ADI Early         63 Good      37 Fair      93 Good
Max ADI Late          56 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  94 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-020700-
Hudson-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      76 (-9)      63 (-5)      82
RH % (24h trend)      64 (0)       80 (-17)     34
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G22 NE 5-9       N 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G19  N 4-8        N 3-7
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5620                      7420
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 15        N 15         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     73060        0            66780
Max ADI Early         66 Good      37 Fair      90 Good
Max ADI Late          55 Gen Good  11 Poor      91 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-020700-
Northern Fairfield-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      73 (-6)      55 (-7)      79
RH % (24h trend)      67 (-7)      94 (-6)      41
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 7-11 G19  Lgt/Var      N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 6-10      Lgt/Var      N 3-7
Precip Amount         0.07         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5980                      7470
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 16        NE 13        N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     83720        0            59760
Max ADI Early         54 Gen Good  56 Gen Good  79 Good
Max ADI Late          75 Good      5 Very Poor  82 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-020700-
Southern Fairfield-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      76 (-6)      58 (-7)      81
RH % (24h trend)      67 (-5)      89 (-10)     39
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 9-13 G23  NE 4-8       N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11 G18  N 3-7        Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.09         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5880                      7660
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 17        NE 13        N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     88200        0            61280
Max ADI Early         58 Gen Good  44 Gen Good  85 Good
Max ADI Late          59 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  87 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-020700-
Northern New Haven-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      74 (-6)      55 (-7)      81
RH % (24h trend)      67 (-7)      93 (-7)      40
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 7-11 G19  Lgt/Var      N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 6-10 G17  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.07         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5660         30           7590
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 18        N  9         N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     90560        240          60720
Max ADI Early         56 Gen Good  62 Good      80 Good
Max ADI Late          83 Good      5 Very Poor  82 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-020700-
Southern New Haven-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     40           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      75 (-8)      58 (-6)      81
RH % (24h trend)      65 (-4)      87 (-11)     39
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 8-12 G21  NE 3-7       N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11 G19  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.11         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5160                      7740
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 20        N 12         N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     87720        0            61920
Max ADI Early         60 Gen Good  44 Gen Good  80 Good
Max ADI Late          61 Good      5 Very Poor  82 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-020700-
Northern Middlesex-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      73 (-8)      55 (-7)      80
RH % (24h trend)      65 (-4)      92 (-8)      40
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 7-11 G19  Lgt/Var      N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 6-10 G18  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.10         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5090         10           7670
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 20        N  9         N  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     86530        80           53690
Max ADI Early         57 Gen Good  44 Gen Good  71 Good
Max ADI Late          62 Good      5 Very Poor  74 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-020700-
Southern Middlesex-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      74 (-9)      57 (-7)      81
RH % (24h trend)      65 (-9)      83 (-16)     42
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 8-12 G21  NE 3-7       N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11 G20  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.16         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4750                      7840
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 20        N 12         N  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     80750        0            54880
Max ADI Early         66 Good      44 Gen Good  75 Good
Max ADI Late          66 Good      5 Very Poor  77 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-020700-
Northern New London-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     40           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      72 (-9)      55 (-7)      79
RH % (24h trend)      63 (-4)      86 (-14)     43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 7-11 G19  NE 3-7       Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11 G18  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.13         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4730         10           7740
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 21        NE 15        N  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     85140        130          54180
Max ADI Early         64 Good      44 Gen Good  72 Good
Max ADI Late          64 Good      5 Very Poor  75 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-020700-
Southern New London-
238 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      74 (-9)      56 (-8)      79
RH % (24h trend)      62 (-9)      82 (-17)     45
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 9-13 G21  NE 4-8 G17   N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 8-12 G20  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.17         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       3
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4440         10           7730
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 22        N 12         NE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     84360        100          54110
Max ADI Early         70 Good      45 Gen Good  77 Good
Max ADI Late          70 Good      5 Very Poor  78 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs
in the mid 80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs in the mid 80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the mid 80s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$