Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
591
FNUS51 KOKX 200708
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Wet conditions expected today with showers likely all day.
An east wind picks up to 10 to 15 mph with 20 to 25 mph gusts.
Min Rh values will be around 70 to 80 percent. Similar min
RH conditions on Thursday, with an E/NE wind around 20 to 25
mph with gusts up to 25 to 35 mph.
NYZ212-210830-
New York City-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-3) 63 (-4) 73
RH % (24h trend) 68 (+17) 96 (+14) 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 8-12 G19 E 10-14 G23 NE 14-18 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 11-15 G24 NE 11-15 G25 NE 15-19 G32
Precip Amount 0.16 0.21 0.03
Precip Duration 4 7 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3620 540 3040
Transport Wnd (mph) E 17 NE 30 NE 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 54300 14040 85120
Max ADI Early 47 Gen Good 44 Gen Good 64 Good
Max ADI Late 48 Gen Good 33 Fair 77 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-210830-
Long Island-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 80 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 74 (-1) 62 (-1) 74
RH % (24h trend) 69 (+15) 100 (+16) 67
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 8-12 G20 E 11-15 G23 NE 16-20 G33
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 11-15 G23 NE 13-17 G29 NE 17-21 G34
Precip Amount 0.15 0.38 0.05
Precip Duration 4 8 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3980 250 3230
Transport Wnd (mph) E 21 NE 35 NE 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 71640 7500 96900
Max ADI Early 49 Gen Good 51 Gen Good 74 Good
Max ADI Late 58 Gen Good 36 Fair 86 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-210830-
Lower Hudson Valley-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 80 80 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 70 (-6) 55 (-3) 70
RH % (24h trend) 75 (+29) 100 (+13) 71
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 3-7 NE 5-9 G19 NE 7-11 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 5-9 G19 NE 5-9 G21 NE 8-12 G23
Precip Amount 0.20 0.44 0.00
Precip Duration 7 8
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2990 840 3180
Transport Wnd (mph) E 17 NE 20 NE 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 44850 14280 63600
Max ADI Early 45 Gen Good 42 Gen Good 49 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 53 Gen Good 20 Gen Poor 59 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-210830-
Western Passaic-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 80 70 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 71 (-5) 56 (-3) 69
RH % (24h trend) 79 (+34) 100 (+12) 73
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var NE 3-7 NE 5-9 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 3-7 G17 NE 4-8 G19 NE 6-10 G21
Precip Amount 0.29 0.58 0.00
Precip Duration 7 6
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3120 770 2930
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 15 NE 18 NE 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 40560 12320 52740
Max ADI Early 42 Gen Good 35 Fair 51 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 44 Gen Good 15 Gen Poor 66 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-210830-
Eastern Passaic-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-5) 58 (-5) 72
RH % (24h trend) 72 (+29) 100 (+16) 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 4-8 E 6-10 G20 NE 8-12 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 6-10 G20 NE 6-10 G21 NE 9-13 G25
Precip Amount 0.19 0.32 0.00
Precip Duration 4 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3440 1100 3060
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 16 NE 22 NE 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 48160 20900 67320
Max ADI Early 53 Gen Good 45 Gen Good 51 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 54 Gen Good 27 Fair 62 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-210830-
Western Bergen-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 80 70 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 72 (-6) 57 (-4) 72
RH % (24h trend) 76 (+33) 100 (+14) 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 3-7 NE 4-8 G18 NE 7-11 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 5-9 G19 NE 5-9 G19 NE 8-12 G24
Precip Amount 0.20 0.35 0.00
Precip Duration 5 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3360 1060 3130
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 17 NE 20 NE 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 50400 18020 65730
Max ADI Early 53 Gen Good 45 Gen Good 51 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 58 Gen Good 19 Gen Poor 62 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-210830-
Eastern Bergen-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-5) 59 (-5) 73
RH % (24h trend) 68 (+25) 99 (+19) 67
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 5-9 G17 E 7-11 G20 NE 9-13 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 7-11 G20 NE 7-11 G21 NE 10-14 G25
Precip Amount 0.16 0.24 0.02
Precip Duration 4 7 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3530 970 3140
Transport Wnd (mph) E 17 NE 23 NE 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 52950 19400 72220
Max ADI Early 54 Gen Good 46 Gen Good 54 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 53 Gen Good 27 Fair 67 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-210830-
Western Essex-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 72 (-4) 60 (-3) 72
RH % (24h trend) 72 (+24) 100 (+13) 71
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 5-9 G17 E 7-11 G20 NE 9-13 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 7-11 G20 NE 8-12 G22 NE 10-14 G25
Precip Amount 0.20 0.25 0.02
Precip Duration 4 5 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3310 920 2970
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 15 NE 24 NE 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 43030 19320 68310
Max ADI Early 48 Gen Good 35 Fair 52 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 47 Gen Good 27 Fair 63 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-210830-
Eastern Essex-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 74 (-3) 62 (-3) 73
RH % (24h trend) 68 (+23) 96 (+16) 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 6-10 G17 E 8-12 G20 NE 11-15 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 9-13 G20 NE 9-13 G21 NE 12-16 G26
Precip Amount 0.19 0.22 0.03
Precip Duration 4 5 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3480 1220 3010
Transport Wnd (mph) E 15 NE 25 NE 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 45240 26840 75250
Max ADI Early 47 Gen Good 40 Fair 58 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 42 Gen Good 29 Fair 70 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-210830-
Western Union-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-3) 60 (-4) 72
RH % (24h trend) 71 (+20) 100 (+11) 71
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 4-8 E 6-10 G19 NE 9-13 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 7-11 G19 NE 7-11 G22 NE 10-14 G25
Precip Amount 0.19 0.19 0.02
Precip Duration 4 5 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3290 810 2970
Transport Wnd (mph) E 14 NE 24 NE 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 39480 17010 71280
Max ADI Early 45 Gen Good 38 Fair 52 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 46 Gen Good 26 Fair 66 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-210830-
Eastern Union-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 74 (-3) 63 (-3) 73
RH % (24h trend) 70 (+22) 97 (+14) 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 6-10 G20 E 8-12 G24 NE 11-15 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 8-12 G25 NE 8-12 G23 NE 12-16 G34
Precip Amount 0.19 0.21 0.03
Precip Duration 4 5 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3510 690 3040
Transport Wnd (mph) E 14 NE 25 NE 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 42120 15180 76000
Max ADI Early 44 Gen Good 40 Fair 60 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 42 Gen Good 29 Fair 71 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-210830-
Hudson-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-3) 63 (-4) 73
RH % (24h trend) 66 (+19) 96 (+16) 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 7-11 G18 E 9-13 G20 NE 13-17 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 10-14 G21 NE 10-14 G22 NE 14-18 G27
Precip Amount 0.17 0.21 0.03
Precip Duration 4 5 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3500 1000 3000
Transport Wnd (mph) E 16 NE 28 NE 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 49000 24000 78000
Max ADI Early 48 Gen Good 43 Gen Good 60 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 45 Gen Good 31 Fair 72 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-210830-
Northern Fairfield-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 80 80 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 71 (-4) 56 (-1) 71
RH % (24h trend) 72 (+23) 100 (+12) 68
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 5-9 E 7-11 G19 NE 9-13 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 7-11 G17 NE 8-12 G19 NE 10-14 G23
Precip Amount 0.12 0.29 0.00
Precip Duration 7 8
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3830 870 3110
Transport Wnd (mph) E 18 NE 23 NE 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 61280 17400 68420
Max ADI Early 53 Gen Good 46 Gen Good 55 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 64 Good 27 Fair 63 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-210830-
Southern Fairfield-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 80 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-2) 58 (-4) 73
RH % (24h trend) 70 (+18) 100 (+17) 67
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 7-11 G18 E 10-14 G23 NE 12-16 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 9-13 G20 NE 11-15 G24 NE 12-16 G24
Precip Amount 0.13 0.28 0.02
Precip Duration 4 8 1
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3390 540 3250
Transport Wnd (mph) E 22 NE 28 NE 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 64410 12960 78000
Max ADI Early 51 Gen Good 55 Gen Good 64 Good
Max ADI Late 65 Good 30 Fair 70 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-210830-
Northern New Haven-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 80 80 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 72 (-4) 56 (0) 71
RH % (24h trend) 66 (+20) 100 (+13) 65
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 4-8 NE 7-11 G18 NE 9-13 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 7-11 G17 NE 8-12 G19 NE 11-15 G24
Precip Amount 0.16 0.38 0.00
Precip Duration 7 8
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4760 930 3280
Transport Wnd (mph) E 16 NE 22 NE 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 66640 17670 72160
Max ADI Early 51 Gen Good 50 Gen Good 56 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 62 Good 25 Fair 64 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-210830-
Southern New Haven-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 80 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-2) 57 (-3) 74
RH % (24h trend) 66 (+15) 100 (+18) 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 5-9 G19 NE 9-13 G21 NE 11-15 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 8-12 G21 NE 9-13 G23 NE 12-16 G26
Precip Amount 0.15 0.42 0.07
Precip Duration 4 8 1
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4660 920 3410
Transport Wnd (mph) E 17 NE 25 NE 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 69900 20240 75020
Max ADI Early 52 Gen Good 53 Gen Good 61 Good
Max ADI Late 62 Good 27 Fair 67 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-210830-
Northern Middlesex-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 80 80 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 71 (-5) 56 (0) 71
RH % (24h trend) 66 (+21) 100 (+12) 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 3-7 NE 7-11 G19 NE 9-13 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 6-10 G17 NE 7-11 G20 NE 11-15 G24
Precip Amount 0.17 0.49 0.00
Precip Duration 5 8
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4910 940 3360
Transport Wnd (mph) E 14 NE 21 NE 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 58920 16920 70560
Max ADI Early 49 Gen Good 57 Gen Good 56 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 70 Good 24 Fair 63 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-210830-
Southern Middlesex-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 80 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-2) 59 (0) 74
RH % (24h trend) 66 (+14) 100 (+15) 63
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 5-9 G18 E 8-12 G21 NE 11-15 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 8-12 G21 NE 8-12 G23 NE 12-16 G26
Precip Amount 0.18 0.45 0.08
Precip Duration 4 10 1
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4940 570 3580
Transport Wnd (mph) E 16 NE 24 NE 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 69160 11970 82340
Max ADI Early 53 Gen Good 60 Gen Good 62 Good
Max ADI Late 69 Good 28 Fair 71 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-210830-
Northern New London-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 80 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 71 (-5) 56 (+1) 72
RH % (24h trend) 64 (+18) 100 (+9) 68
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 3-7 NE 7-11 G17 NE 9-13 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 6-10 G17 NE 6-10 G19 NE 11-15 G23
Precip Amount 0.14 0.54 0.09
Precip Duration 4 10 1
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4660 660 3590
Transport Wnd (mph) E 14 NE 22 E 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 55920 12540 75390
Max ADI Early 48 Gen Good 71 Good 57 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 84 Good 25 Fair 66 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-210830-
Southern New London-
308 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 80 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-1) 58 (0) 73
RH % (24h trend) 65 (+13) 100 (+15) 65
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 4-8 G17 E 8-12 G20 NE 10-14 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 8-12 G20 NE 8-12 G22 NE 12-16 G27
Precip Amount 0.12 0.64 0.11
Precip Duration 4 10 1
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4940 290 3590
Transport Wnd (mph) E 15 NE 24 E 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 64220 6090 86160
Max ADI Early 50 Gen Good 60 Gen Good 63 Good
Max ADI Late 72 Good 28 Fair 71 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs around 80. North winds 20 to 30 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs
in the upper 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$