Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
122
FNUS51 KOKX 150702
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Wet conditions continue today and Friday, although a washout is not
expected. Min RH values today don`t drop below 75 percent and on
Friday it will be closer to 70 percent. Light winds through both
days. Mainly under 5 kt out of the SE/S.
NYZ212-160715-
New York City-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 0 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 71 (+7) 60 (+1) 75
RH % (24h trend) 78 (-5) 94 (-5) 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 3-7
Precip Amount 0.05 0.00 0.07
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1930 250 3360
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 9 SE 7 S 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 15440 1500 30240
Max ADI Early 9 Poor 12 Poor 15 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 17 Gen Poor 2 Very Poor 29 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-160715-
Long Island-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 70 (+4) 56 (0) 73
RH % (24h trend) 79 (+3) 99 (0) 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.08 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1620 120 2930
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 S 2 S 7
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 14580 240 17580
Max ADI Early 9 Poor 9 Poor 9 Poor
Max ADI Late 11 Poor 2 Very Poor 22 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-160715-
Lower Hudson Valley-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 20 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+7) 59 (+2) 78
RH % (24h trend) 76 (-6) 100 (0) 69
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.08 0.03 0.08
Precip Duration 2 1 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4090 600 4880
Transport Wnd (mph) S 9 SW 2 SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 32720 1200 48800
Max ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 25 Fair 24 Fair
Max ADI Late 43 Gen Good 2 Very Poor 45 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-160715-
Western Passaic-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 20 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+9) 59 (+2) 76
RH % (24h trend) 79 (-11) 100 (0) 71
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.09 0.03 0.06
Precip Duration 2 1 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3780 510 4980
Transport Wnd (mph) S 8 SW 3 SW 6
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 26460 1530 24900
Max ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 25 Fair 26 Fair
Max ADI Late 38 Fair 2 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-160715-
Eastern Passaic-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 20 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+8) 60 (+2) 77
RH % (24h trend) 78 (-13) 100 (0) 69
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.08 0.02 0.05
Precip Duration 2 1 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3320 1090 5130
Transport Wnd (mph) S 8 S 1 S 6
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 23240 1090 25650
Max ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 20 Gen Poor 21 Fair
Max ADI Late 32 Fair 2 Very Poor 38 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-160715-
Western Bergen-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 20 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 71 (+8) 60 (+3) 77
RH % (24h trend) 78 (-10) 100 (0) 68
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.08 0.02 0.04
Precip Duration 2 1 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3350 940 5190
Transport Wnd (mph) S 8 S 2 S 6
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 23450 1880 25950
Max ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 22 Fair 21 Fair
Max ADI Late 36 Fair 2 Very Poor 42 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-160715-
Eastern Bergen-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 20 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+8) 61 (+3) 77
RH % (24h trend) 77 (-8) 98 (-2) 68
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 3-7
Precip Amount 0.08 0.02 0.05
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2860 1000 4970
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 8 S 1 S 7
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 20020 1000 29820
Max ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 16 Gen Poor 19 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 30 Fair 2 Very Poor 34 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-160715-
Western Essex-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 20 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+8) 61 (+3) 76
RH % (24h trend) 79 (-12) 99 (-1) 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.07 0.02 0.05
Precip Duration 2 1 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3200 920 4630
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 7 SW 1 S 6
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 19200 920 23150
Max ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 17 Gen Poor 18 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 24 Fair 1 Very Poor 32 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-160715-
Eastern Essex-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 20 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+7) 62 (+3) 76
RH % (24h trend) 77 (-6) 93 (-5) 71
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 3-7
Precip Amount 0.06 0.02 0.06
Precip Duration 2 1 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2520 1140 3930
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 8 S 1 S 8
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 17640 1140 27510
Max ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 14 Gen Poor 15 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 23 Fair 1 Very Poor 34 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-160715-
Western Union-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 20 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+8) 60 (+2) 76
RH % (24h trend) 81 (-7) 99 (-1) 71
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.07 0.03 0.06
Precip Duration 2 1 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3060 790 4330
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 7 SW 1 SW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 18360 790 38970
Max ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 17 Gen Poor 18 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 24 Fair 1 Very Poor 39 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-160715-
Eastern Union-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 0 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 71 (+6) 61 (+2) 77
RH % (24h trend) 76 (-5) 94 (-5) 69
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 3-7
Precip Amount 0.06 0.00 0.05
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2430 970 3880
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 7 W 1 S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 14580 970 38800
Max ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 12 Poor 16 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 20 Gen Poor 1 Very Poor 42 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-160715-
Hudson-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 0 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+7) 62 (+3) 75
RH % (24h trend) 76 (-7) 93 (-6) 69
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 3-7
Precip Amount 0.06 0.00 0.07
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2190 1040 3800
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 9 SE 8 S 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 17520 7280 30400
Max ADI Early 11 Poor 13 Gen Poor 14 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 22 Fair 2 Very Poor 31 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-160715-
Northern Fairfield-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 20 40
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+4) 59 (+3) 77
RH % (24h trend) 80 (+2) 100 (0) 69
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.09 0.02 0.01
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3410 660 4360
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 SW 2 SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 34100 1320 43600
Max ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 25 Fair 20 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 37 Fair 3 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-160715-
Southern Fairfield-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 20 40
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 71 (+7) 58 (+2) 76
RH % (24h trend) 82 (-3) 100 (0) 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.07 0.01 0.01
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2190 160 3780
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 SE 2 SW 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 19710 320 30240
Max ADI Early 9 Poor 15 Gen Poor 14 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 23 Fair 2 Very Poor 34 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-160715-
Northern New Haven-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 0 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 71 (-1) 59 (+2) 78
RH % (24h trend) 78 (+11) 100 (0) 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.11 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3530 750 4440
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 SW 3 SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 35300 2250 44400
Max ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 26 Fair 23 Fair
Max ADI Late 39 Fair 3 Very Poor 49 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-160715-
Southern New Haven-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 70 (0) 57 (+1) 75
RH % (24h trend) 80 (+13) 100 (0) 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.12 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2600 110 3410
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 9 SE 5 S 6
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 20800 440 17050
Max ADI Early 8 Poor 13 Gen Poor 15 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 24 Fair 2 Very Poor 29 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-160715-
Northern Middlesex-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 72 (-3) 59 (+2) 78
RH % (24h trend) 79 (+24) 100 (0) 65
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.13 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3640 580 4490
Transport Wnd (mph) S 10 SW 3 SW 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 32760 1740 35920
Max ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 24 Fair 24 Fair
Max ADI Late 38 Fair 3 Very Poor 39 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-160715-
Southern Middlesex-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 71 (+2) 57 (+1) 74
RH % (24h trend) 81 (+15) 100 (0) 71
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.12 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 0
Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2310 130 3460
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 9 S 2 S 7
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 18480 260 20760
Max ADI Early 7 Poor 8 Poor 19 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 19 Gen Poor 2 Very Poor 28 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-160715-
Northern New London-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 71 (-3) 57 (+2) 77
RH % (24h trend) 78 (+25) 100 (0) 65
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.13 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 0
Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3310 250 4530
Transport Wnd (mph) S 9 SW 3 SW 8
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 26480 750 31710
Max ADI Early 10 Poor 22 Fair 28 Fair
Max ADI Late 36 Fair 3 Very Poor 37 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-160715-
Southern New London-
302 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 69 (0) 56 (+1) 73
RH % (24h trend) 81 (+14) 100 (0) 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.10 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 0
Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1660 130 3390
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 8 SE 7 SW 7
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 11620 780 20340
Max ADI Early 8 Poor 6 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 9 Poor 1 Very Poor 30 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely
and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid
70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the upper 60s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$