Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
532
FNUS51 KOKX 160611
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Strong W/WNW winds gusts 30 to 40 mph through the day. The
gusty winds continues Monday, up to 35 mph. Absent a spotty
showers, conditions remain dry and a wetting rain is not
expected. Min RH values largely range from 35 to 50 percent
both days.
NYZ212-170815-
New York City-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (+4) 35 (-14) 45
RH % (24h trend) 39 59 (-29) 40
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 13-17 G34 W 15-19 G34 W 14-18 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 16-20 G37 W 14-18 G32 NW 14-18 G32
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8100 4740 6750
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 43 W 39 NW 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 299700 161160 216000
Max ADI Early 133 Very Good89 Good 126 Very Good
Max ADI Late 163 Very Good73 Good 129 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-170815-
Long Island-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (+7) 33 (-12) 45
RH % (24h trend) 46 67 (-26) 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 14-18 G33 W 17-21 G37 W 16-20 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 17-21 G36 W 16-20 G34 NW 15-19 G31
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7810 4180 6230
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 44 W 41 NW 39
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 296780 150480 211820
Max ADI Early 126 Very Good89 Good 131 Very Good
Max ADI Late 161 Very Good76 Good 133 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-170815-
Lower Hudson Valley-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (+5) 30 (-12) 43
RH % (24h trend) 47 68 (-29) 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 11-15 G33 W 10-14 G32 W 11-15 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13-17 G36 W 9-13 G27 NW 11-15 G29
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 10 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7730 3340 6520
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 44 W 36 NW 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 293740 103540 208640
Max ADI Early 128 Very Good85 Good 122 Very Good
Max ADI Late 161 Very Good65 Good 128 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-170815-
Western Passaic-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 51 (0) 30 (-12) 42
RH % (24h trend) 45 66 (-30) 45
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9-13 G33 W 8-12 G31 NW 8-12 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 10-14 G34 W 7-11 G26 NW 7-11 G26
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7570 2980 6570
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 44 NW 37 NW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 287660 95360 203670
Max ADI Early 131 Very Good72 Good 131 Very Good
Max ADI Late 163 Very Good69 Good 152 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-170815-
Eastern Passaic-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (+2) 33 (-12) 44
RH % (24h trend) 40 61 (-32) 42
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10-14 G34 W 9-13 G32 W 10-14 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13-17 G37 W 8-12 G26 NW 10-14 G29
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8140 3650 6810
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 41 W 36 NW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 293040 113150 211110
Max ADI Early 131 Very Good88 Good 134 Very Good
Max ADI Late 162 Very Good71 Good 127 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-170815-
Western Bergen-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (+3) 32 (-12) 44
RH % (24h trend) 42 63 (-32) 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9-13 G33 W 8-12 G30 W 9-13 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 11-15 G35 W 7-11 G25 NW 9-13 G26
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8070 3010 6780
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 40 W 35 NW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 282450 90300 210180
Max ADI Early 127 Very Good66 Good 134 Very Good
Max ADI Late 164 Very Good58 Gen Good 156 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-170815-
Eastern Bergen-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+5) 34 (-12) 44
RH % (24h trend) 39 61 (-31) 42
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10-14 G34 W 10-14 G31 W 10-14 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13-17 G37 W 9-13 G27 NW 11-15 G29
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8250 4070 6790
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 41 W 37 NW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 297000 130240 210490
Max ADI Early 129 Very Good88 Good 126 Very Good
Max ADI Late 163 Very Good68 Good 128 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-170815-
Western Essex-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (+1) 33 (-13) 44
RH % (24h trend) 39 60 (-32) 41
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 11-15 G35 W 10-14 G32 W 11-15 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 14-18 G38 W 10-14 G26 NW 11-15 G30
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8090 3730 6770
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 41 W 36 NW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 291240 115630 209870
Max ADI Early 133 Very Good84 Good 118 Very Good
Max ADI Late 156 Very Good63 Good 126 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-170815-
Eastern Essex-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (+3) 35 (-13) 45
RH % (24h trend) 37 56 (-31) 39
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 12-16 G34 W 11-15 G32 W 11-15 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 14-18 G37 W 10-14 G27 NW 12-16 G29
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8320 4860 6940
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 43 NW 37 NW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 307840 155520 215140
Max ADI Early 133 Very Good86 Good 121 Very Good
Max ADI Late 160 Very Good69 Good 129 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-170815-
Western Union-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (0) 33 (-13) 45
RH % (24h trend) 39 60 (-31) 40
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10-14 G34 W 10-14 G31 W 10-14 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13-17 G37 W 9-13 G25 NW 10-14 G29
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8130 3680 6970
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 43 W 35 NW 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 300810 110400 209100
Max ADI Early 137 Very Good82 Good 132 Very Good
Max ADI Late 159 Very Good71 Good 150 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-170815-
Eastern Union-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (+2) 35 (-13) 46
RH % (24h trend) 36 57 (-31) 37
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 11-15 G38 W 10-14 G34 W 11-15 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 14-18 G44 W 9-13 G29 NW 11-15 G34
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8380 4520 7050
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 43 W 37 NW 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 310060 144640 211500
Max ADI Early 139 Very Good84 Good 120 Very Good
Max ADI Late 161 Very Good69 Good 127 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-170815-
Hudson-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (+4) 35 (-14) 45
RH % (24h trend) 38 57 (-31) 39
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 13-17 G34 W 13-17 G32 W 14-18 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 16-20 G37 W 13-17 G29 NW 14-18 G31
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8180 4970 6880
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 43 NW 38 NW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 302660 164010 213280
Max ADI Early 133 Very Good89 Good 122 Very Good
Max ADI Late 161 Very Good71 Good 129 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-170815-
Northern Fairfield-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (+7) 30 (-10) 43
RH % (24h trend) 52 67 (-33) 48
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 11-15 G31 W 11-15 G30 W 11-15 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 14-18 G35 W 9-13 G25 NW 12-16 G27
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7770 3490 5680
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 43 W 37 NW 38
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 287490 111680 187440
Max ADI Early 128 Very Good83 Good 122 Very Good
Max ADI Late 156 Very Good65 Good 126 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-170815-
Southern Fairfield-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+6) 32 (-11) 44
RH % (24h trend) 50 67 (-30) 48
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 12-16 G31 W 13-17 G33 W 13-17 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 15-19 G35 W 12-16 G31 W 13-17 G30
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8020 3720 6060
Transport Wnd (mph) W 41 W 37 NW 39
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 288720 119040 206040
Max ADI Early 127 Very Good86 Good 129 Very Good
Max ADI Late 161 Very Good69 Good 132 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-170815-
Northern New Haven-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+8) 30 (-9) 44
RH % (24h trend) 52 69 (-31) 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 11-15 G31 W 11-15 G31 W 11-15 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 14-18 G35 W 9-13 G24 NW 12-16 G27
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7900 3750 5900
Transport Wnd (mph) W 39 W 38 NW 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 268600 123750 188800
Max ADI Early 132 Very Good80 Good 118 Very Good
Max ADI Late 150 Very Good66 Good 124 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-170815-
Southern New Haven-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (+7) 32 (-10) 44
RH % (24h trend) 52 67 (-31) 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 11-15 G30 W 12-16 G34 W 12-16 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 14-18 G34 W 10-14 G29 NW 12-16 G27
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7780 3390 6120
Transport Wnd (mph) W 39 W 37 NW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 264520 108480 189720
Max ADI Early 131 Very Good81 Good 120 Very Good
Max ADI Late 153 Very Good70 Good 125 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-170815-
Northern Middlesex-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (+5) 31 (-8) 43
RH % (24h trend) 54 68 (-32) 48
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10-14 G31 W 10-14 G31 W 11-15 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 14-18 G35 W 8-12 G25 NW 12-16 G29
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7430 3510 5940
Transport Wnd (mph) W 38 W 36 NW 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 245190 108810 190080
Max ADI Early 119 Very Good81 Good 117 Very Good
Max ADI Late 143 Very Good64 Good 121 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-170815-
Southern Middlesex-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (+8) 32 (-9) 45
RH % (24h trend) 52 69 (-30) 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 11-15 G30 W 12-16 G35 W 12-16 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 14-18 G33 W 10-14 G31 W 12-16 G29
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8000 3670 6100
Transport Wnd (mph) W 39 W 38 NW 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 272000 121110 195200
Max ADI Early 128 Very Good84 Good 126 Very Good
Max ADI Late 152 Very Good72 Good 124 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-170815-
Northern New London-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+7) 30 (-7) 43
RH % (24h trend) 54 70 (-30) 48
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10-14 G31 W 11-15 G30 W 12-16 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13-17 G33 W 9-13 G25 W 13-17 G29
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7400 3570 5670
Transport Wnd (mph) W 38 W 36 NW 40
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 244200 110670 198450
Max ADI Early 112 Very Good82 Good 126 Very Good
Max ADI Late 140 Very Good62 Good 128 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-170815-
Southern New London-
111 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (+8) 31 (-10) 44
RH % (24h trend) 54 70 (-29) 49
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10-14 G30 W 12-16 G35 W 12-16 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13-17 G32 W 10-14 G31 W 12-16 G29
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7660 2890 5840
Transport Wnd (mph) W 37 W 39 NW 38
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 245120 98260 192720
Max ADI Early 116 Very Good83 Good 126 Very Good
Max ADI Late 144 Very Good67 Good 127 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the upper 40s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain.
Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 50s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$