Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
428
FNUS51 KOKX 080834
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will swing through this morning and pass east by
early afternoon, bringing a wetting rainfall. A large dome of high
pressure will then build in from tonight into Thursday.
NYZ212-091000-
New York City-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 72 (-6) 47 (-16) 60
RH % (24h trend) 56 (-4) 75 (-25) 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9-13 G21 N 10-14 G23 N 9-13 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 10-14 G23 N 9-13 G23 N 8-12 G21
Precip Amount 0.51 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 6
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 4 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3750 300 4530
Transport Wnd (mph) N 21 N 20 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 67500 5100 67950
Max ADI Early 32 Fair 24 Fair 62 Good
Max ADI Late 57 Gen Good 15 Gen Poor 67 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-091000-
Long Island-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-3) 45 (-16) 60
RH % (24h trend) 57 (-11) 84 (-16) 35
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 11-15 G25 N 10-14 G24 N 11-15 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 11-15 G24 N 10-14 G25 N 8-12 G22
Precip Amount 0.63 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 8
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3180 340 5120
Transport Wnd (mph) N 23 N 22 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 63600 6460 76800
Max ADI Early 37 Fair 26 Fair 55 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 53 Gen Good 18 Gen Poor 71 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-091000-
Lower Hudson Valley-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 10 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 68 (-11) 38 (-20) 58
RH % (24h trend) 51 (-2) 84 (-16) 35
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 6-10 G17 N 6-10 G19 N 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 8-12 G21 N 5-9 G17 N 5-9 G17
Precip Amount 0.30 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 5
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5190 340 4630
Transport Wnd (mph) N 23 N 15 N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 103800 4420 64820
Max ADI Early 29 Fair 11 Poor 66 Good
Max ADI Late 88 Good 9 Poor 72 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-091000-
Western Passaic-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 10 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 68 (-10) 40 (-18) 58
RH % (24h trend) 52 (0) 82 (-18) 36
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 4-8 G19 N 4-8 G20 N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 6-10 G21 N 3-7 N 3-7
Precip Amount 0.30 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 5
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 12 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5050 300 4500
Transport Wnd (mph) N 24 N 13 N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 106050 3300 63000
Max ADI Early 29 Fair 12 Poor 71 Good
Max ADI Late 98 Good 7 Poor 82 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-091000-
Eastern Passaic-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 69 (-13) 43 (-18) 60
RH % (24h trend) 52 (+2) 80 (-20) 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 6-10 G19 N 6-10 G21 N 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 8-12 G22 N 4-8 G17 N 5-9 G17
Precip Amount 0.30 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 5
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4260 390 4840
Transport Wnd (mph) N 21 N 16 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 76680 5460 72600
Max ADI Early 29 Fair 12 Poor 59 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 82 Good 10 Poor 87 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-091000-
Western Bergen-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 70 (-10) 41 (-19) 60
RH % (24h trend) 53 (+3) 80 (-20) 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 5-9 G17 N 5-9 G19 N 4-8 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 7-11 G21 N 3-7 N 5-9 G17
Precip Amount 0.30 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 5
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4490 410 4680
Transport Wnd (mph) N 22 N 16 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 85310 5740 70200
Max ADI Early 30 Fair 12 Poor 64 Good
Max ADI Late 84 Good 7 Poor 89 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-091000-
Eastern Bergen-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 90 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 69 (-12) 43 (-19) 60
RH % (24h trend) 54 (+5) 79 (-21) 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 7-11 G17 N 6-10 G20 N 6-10 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 8-12 G22 N 5-9 G17 N 6-10 G17
Precip Amount 0.33 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 5
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4300 530 4680
Transport Wnd (mph) N 20 N 16 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 73100 7420 70200
Max ADI Early 31 Fair 12 Poor 66 Good
Max ADI Late 79 Good 12 Poor 70 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-091000-
Western Essex-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 69 (-12) 44 (-16) 60
RH % (24h trend) 52 (+1) 78 (-22) 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 7-11 G20 N 7-11 G21 N 6-10 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 8-12 G22 N 5-9 G17 N 5-9 G17
Precip Amount 0.31 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 5
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4300 280 4850
Transport Wnd (mph) N 21 N 16 N 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 77400 3920 63050
Max ADI Early 28 Fair 12 Poor 57 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 80 Good 12 Poor 76 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-091000-
Eastern Essex-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 70 (-11) 46 (-16) 60
RH % (24h trend) 53 (+7) 74 (-26) 32
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 7-11 G18 N 7-11 G21 N 7-11 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 9-13 G22 N 6-10 G17 N 6-10 G17
Precip Amount 0.38 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 5
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4070 490 4860
Transport Wnd (mph) N 20 N 17 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 69190 7350 72900
Max ADI Early 31 Fair 23 Fair 62 Good
Max ADI Late 74 Good 12 Poor 70 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-091000-
Western Union-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 70 (-11) 44 (-17) 61
RH % (24h trend) 51 (+1) 78 (-22) 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 7-11 G18 N 6-10 G20 N 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 7-11 G22 N 5-9 G17 N 5-9
Precip Amount 0.41 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 5
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3960 440 4990
Transport Wnd (mph) N 21 N 17 N 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 71280 6600 59880
Max ADI Early 29 Fair 12 Poor 58 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 75 Good 11 Poor 80 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-091000-
Eastern Union-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 71 (-11) 46 (-16) 61
RH % (24h trend) 50 (+5) 75 (-25) 31
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 7-11 G19 N 7-11 G22 N 6-10 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 8-12 G25 N 6-10 G18 N 6-10 G19
Precip Amount 0.51 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 5
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4170 520 4980
Transport Wnd (mph) N 20 N 15 N 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 70890 6760 64740
Max ADI Early 30 Fair 12 Poor 61 Good
Max ADI Late 79 Good 12 Poor 78 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-091000-
Hudson-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 71 (-10) 47 (-16) 60
RH % (24h trend) 53 (+5) 73 (-27) 31
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9-13 G19 N 9-13 G21 N 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 10-14 G22 N 8-12 G20 N 8-12 G19
Precip Amount 0.44 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 6
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3930 470 4680
Transport Wnd (mph) N 20 N 17 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 66810 7050 70200
Max ADI Early 30 Fair 24 Fair 64 Good
Max ADI Late 62 Good 12 Poor 68 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-091000-
Northern Fairfield-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 10 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 69 (-10) 40 (-18) 59
RH % (24h trend) 55 (-2) 82 (-18) 36
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 8-12 G18 N 6-10 G19 N 8-12 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 10-14 G22 N 6-10 N 7-11 G17
Precip Amount 0.41 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 6
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 4 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3590 360 4780
Transport Wnd (mph) N 24 N 15 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 75390 4680 71700
Max ADI Early 28 Fair 12 Poor 68 Good
Max ADI Late 63 Good 10 Poor 70 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-091000-
Southern Fairfield-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 10 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 70 (-8) 43 (-17) 59
RH % (24h trend) 55 (-6) 80 (-20) 36
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9-13 G20 N 8-12 G21 N 8-12 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 10-14 G22 N 8-12 G22 N 7-11 G19
Precip Amount 0.47 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 6
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 4 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3280 370 5060
Transport Wnd (mph) N 23 N 18 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 65600 5920 75900
Max ADI Early 30 Fair 16 Gen Poor 68 Good
Max ADI Late 61 Good 13 Gen Poor 69 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-091000-
Northern New Haven-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 10 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 70 (-8) 41 (-18) 60
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-8) 81 (-19) 34
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 8-12 G20 N 7-11 G19 N 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 10-14 G21 N 6-10 G17 N 7-11 G19
Precip Amount 0.55 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 6
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 4 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3440 330 5190
Transport Wnd (mph) N 22 N 14 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 65360 3960 77850
Max ADI Early 28 Fair 12 Poor 68 Good
Max ADI Late 56 Gen Good 9 Poor 75 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-091000-
Southern New Haven-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 10 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 70 (-8) 43 (-18) 60
RH % (24h trend) 56 (-12) 78 (-22) 35
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 9-13 G21 N 8-12 G20 N 9-13 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 10-14 G22 N 7-11 G20 N 8-12 G19
Precip Amount 0.58 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 7
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 4 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3060 440 5350
Transport Wnd (mph) N 22 N 16 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 58140 6160 80250
Max ADI Early 29 Fair 17 Gen Poor 70 Good
Max ADI Late 52 Gen Good 11 Poor 75 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-091000-
Northern Middlesex-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 10 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 69 (-10) 42 (-18) 58
RH % (24h trend) 58 (-2) 82 (-18) 35
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 8-12 G20 N 7-11 G19 N 7-11 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 9-13 G22 N 5-9 G17 N 8-12 G19
Precip Amount 0.69 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 7
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 4 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2890 360 5000
Transport Wnd (mph) N 18 N 13 N 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 46240 3960 80000
Max ADI Early 28 Fair 12 Poor 69 Good
Max ADI Late 55 Gen Good 9 Poor 77 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-091000-
Southern Middlesex-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 71 (-7) 43 (-17) 60
RH % (24h trend) 59 (-9) 81 (-19) 35
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 9-13 G22 N 7-11 G21 N 8-12 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 10-14 G22 N 7-11 G21 N 7-11 G20
Precip Amount 0.73 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 8
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2890 460 5180
Transport Wnd (mph) N 22 N 18 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 54910 7360 77700
Max ADI Early 31 Fair 16 Gen Poor 69 Good
Max ADI Late 53 Gen Good 12 Poor 75 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-091000-
Northern New London-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 69 (-9) 41 (-18) 58
RH % (24h trend) 65 (+4) 83 (-17) 36
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 9-13 G21 N 6-10 G19 N 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 8-12 G21 N 5-9 G17 N 8-12 G19
Precip Amount 0.78 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 8
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2730 420 5370
Transport Wnd (mph) N 18 N 14 N 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 43680 5040 85920
Max ADI Early 25 Fair 12 Poor 70 Good
Max ADI Late 50 Gen Good 9 Poor 77 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-091000-
Southern New London-
434 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 90 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 71 (-4) 42 (-18) 59
RH % (24h trend) 62 (-11) 82 (-18) 35
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 10-14 G23 N 6-10 G20 N 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 9-13 G21 N 6-10 G20 N 7-11 G19
Precip Amount 0.73 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 8
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2610 470 5370
Transport Wnd (mph) N 21 N 17 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 46980 7050 80550
Max ADI Early 32 Fair 17 Gen Poor 70 Good
Max ADI Late 45 Gen Good 12 Poor 75 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Clear. Areas of frost until mid
morning. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
34 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a chance
of rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds 15 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND COLUMBUS DAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a
chance of rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Northeast winds 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$