Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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190
FNUS51 KOKX 180827
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front sags well south of the area this morning. High
pressure builds in to the north through tonight and moves off the
northern New England coast Tuesday. East to northeast wind gusts
of 25 to 30 mph this morning, will gradually subside through the
afternoon, with min RH values in the 40 and 50 percent range.
Northeast winds will gust to 20 mph on Tuesday with min RH values
in the 40 and 50 percent range.


NYZ212-190830-
New York City-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      76 (-14)     62 (-7)      76
RH % (24h trend)      51           71 (-10)     44
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 14-18 G29 E 7-11 G21   E 7-11 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 10-14 G24 E 6-10 G18   E 8-12 G21
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4200         1960         5070
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 16         E 18         E 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     58800        31360        65910
Max ADI Early         48 Gen Good  16 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          49 Gen Good  17 Gen Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-190830-
Long Island-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      76 (-9)      57 (-10)     76
RH % (24h trend)      49           75 (-15)     46
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 14-18 G29 E 6-10 G20   E 6-10 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 11-15 G25  E 5-9 G17    SE 8-12 G20
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4280         260          4940
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 17        E 15         E 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     64200        3380         59280
Max ADI Early         51 Gen Good  11 Poor
Max ADI Late          59 Gen Good  11 Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-190830-
Lower Hudson Valley-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      76 (-14)     51 (-12)     76
RH % (24h trend)      37           89 (+6)      42
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 8-12 G23  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 6-10 G20  Lgt/Var      SE 5-9 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4830                      5700
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 10        E  7         SE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     43470        0            45600
Max ADI Early         46 Gen Good  4 Very Poor
Max ADI Late          47 Gen Good  4 Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-190830-
Western Passaic-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      75 (-15)     54 (-9)      76
RH % (24h trend)      46           88 (+5)      43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 7-11 G20  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 4-8 G17   Lgt/Var      SE 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4610                      5530
Transport Wnd (mph)   E  8         E  6         SE 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     32270        0            49770
Max ADI Early         43 Gen Good  3 Very Poor
Max ADI Late          49 Gen Good  4 Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-190830-
Eastern Passaic-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      76 (-17)     56 (-10)     78
RH % (24h trend)      50           80 (+2)      42
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 8-12 G20  Lgt/Var      E 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 6-10 G19   Lgt/Var      SE 5-9 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4750         270          5600
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 10         E  9         SE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     42750        2160         56000
Max ADI Early         57 Gen Good  5 Very Poor
Max ADI Late          56 Gen Good  4 Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-190830-
Western Bergen-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      76 (-16)     55 (-10)     77
RH % (24h trend)      46           86 (+6)      42
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 8-12 G19  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 5-9 G18    Lgt/Var      SE 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4850                      5620
Transport Wnd (mph)   E  9         E  6         SE 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     38800        0            50580
Max ADI Early         51 Gen Good  4 Very Poor
Max ADI Late          55 Gen Good  4 Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-190830-
Eastern Bergen-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      77 (-16)     58 (-9)      78
RH % (24h trend)      49           76 (0)       42
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G23 E 3-7        E 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11 G20  Lgt/Var      SE 6-10 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4740         280          5520
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 12         E 10         SE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     47400        2520         55200
Max ADI Early         57 Gen Good  6 Very Poor
Max ADI Late          59 Gen Good  6 Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-190830-
Western Essex-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      75 (-17)     57 (-9)      76
RH % (24h trend)      53           80 (0)       45
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G23 E 3-7        E 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 7-11 G19   Lgt/Var      SE 5-9 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4370         560          5380
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 12         E 12         SE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     43700        5600         53800
Max ADI Early         55 Gen Good  6 Very Poor
Max ADI Late          59 Gen Good  7 Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-190830-
Eastern Essex-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      76 (-17)     61 (-7)      77
RH % (24h trend)      54           71 (-5)      44
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 12-16 G25 E 4-8 G17    NE 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 8-12 G21  E 3-7        E 6-10 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4280         1720         5400
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 15        E 15         SE 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     55640        22360        59400
Max ADI Early         46 Gen Good  7 Poor
Max ADI Late          59 Gen Good  8 Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-190830-
Western Union-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      75 (-18)     59 (-7)      76
RH % (24h trend)      58           79 (-5)      48
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G22 E 3-7        NE 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 7-11 G20   Lgt/Var      E 5-9 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4160         130          5290
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 14         NE 10        E 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     49920        1170         63480
Max ADI Early         55 Gen Good  7 Poor
Max ADI Late          55 Gen Good  8 Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-190830-
Eastern Union-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      76 (-18)     61 (-7)      76
RH % (24h trend)      54           73 (-7)      47
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 12-16 G26 E 5-9 G18    NE 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 8-12 G22  NE 4-8       E 6-10 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4240         1910         5320
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 16        E 16         E 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     59360        26740        63840
Max ADI Early         44 Gen Good  8 Poor
Max ADI Late          56 Gen Good  9 Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-190830-
Hudson-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      76 (-16)     61 (-8)      77
RH % (24h trend)      52           70 (-6)      43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 13-17 G27 E 5-9 G18    E 5-9 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G22  E 4-8        E 6-10 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4220         1780         5240
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 15         E 17         E 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     54860        26700        57640
Max ADI Early         47 Gen Good  13 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          54 Gen Good  8 Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-190830-
Northern Fairfield-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      76 (-13)     50 (-14)     75
RH % (24h trend)      41           83 (-5)      45
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 9-13 G23  E 3-7        E 3-7 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11 G20  Lgt/Var      SE 6-10 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4990         10           5610
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 10         E  8         SE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     44910        70           44880
Max ADI Early         50 Gen Good  4 Very Poor
Max ADI Late          53 Gen Good  4 Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-190830-
Southern Fairfield-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      77 (-12)     55 (-11)     75
RH % (24h trend)      46           78 (-10)     45
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 11-15 G24 E 4-8        E 5-9 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 9-13 G22   E 3-7        SE 7-11 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4780                      5380
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 12         E 13         SE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     47800        0            53800
Max ADI Early         45 Gen Good  7 Poor
Max ADI Late          60 Gen Good  6 Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-190830-
Northern New Haven-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      78 (-12)     51 (-12)     77
RH % (24h trend)      40           79 (-7)      41
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G23 E 3-7        NE 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11 G20  Lgt/Var      SE 5-9 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5110                      5890
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 10        E  7         SE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     45990        0            47120
Max ADI Early         56 Gen Good  5 Very Poor
Max ADI Late          58 Gen Good  4 Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-190830-
Southern New Haven-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      78 (-10)     52 (-14)     76
RH % (24h trend)      41           76 (-12)     42
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 11-15 G24 E 4-8        NE 4-8 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G22  Lgt/Var      SE 6-10 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5030                      5550
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 12         NE 10        SE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     50300        0            55500
Max ADI Early         57 Gen Good  8 Poor
Max ADI Late          60 Gen Good  5 Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-190830-
Northern Middlesex-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      77 (-12)     50 (-14)     77
RH % (24h trend)      38           83 (-8)      40
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 9-13 G21  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 6-10 G19  Lgt/Var      SE 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5070                      5880
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 10        E  5         SE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     45630        0            41160
Max ADI Early         58 Gen Good  5 Very Poor
Max ADI Late          62 Good      4 Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-190830-
Southern Middlesex-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      78 (-8)      51 (-14)     76
RH % (24h trend)      39           80 (-13)     43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G23 E 3-7        NE 4-8 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 8-12 G21   Lgt/Var      SE 6-10 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5010                      5440
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 12        E  9         SE 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     50100        0            48960
Max ADI Early         54 Gen Good  8 Poor
Max ADI Late          61 Good      5 Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-190830-
Northern New London-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      76 (-12)     48 (-14)     76
RH % (24h trend)      36           87 (-8)      38
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G22 E 3-7        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 8-12 G21  Lgt/Var      SE 6-10 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4900                      5970
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 13        NE  5        SE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     53900        0            47760
Max ADI Early         64 Good      5 Very Poor
Max ADI Late          66 Good      4 Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-190830-
Southern New London-
427 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      77 (-8)      50 (-14)     75
RH % (24h trend)      37           82 (-11)     43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 12-16 G25 E 5-9 G18    NE 4-8 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 10-14 G23 Lgt/Var      SE 7-11 G20
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4820                      5400
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 14        E 10         SE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     57840        0            54000
Max ADI Early         58 Gen Good  9 Poor
Max ADI Late          68 Good      5 Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs around 80. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs
in the lower 80s. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds 10 to
15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$