Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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861
FNUS51 KOKX 050615
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather continues through Monday with high
pressure in control. Although RH values fall into the
range of 35-45% for parts of NE NJ and the Lower
Hudson Valley today, winds will be light. Minimum
RH values will be higher on Monday with winds still
relatively light.


NYZ212-060615-
New York City-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      83 (+2)      59 (+1)      79
RH % (24h trend)      40 (-8)      95 (+5)      46
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 4-8        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 3-7        Lgt/Var      S 5-9 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5460                      4020
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  7         S 13         SW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     32760        0            44220
Max ADI Early         6 Very Poor  24 Fair      27 Fair
Max ADI Late          34 Fair      5 Very Poor  48 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-060615-
Long Island-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      81 (+3)      56 (0)       76
RH % (24h trend)      49 (-9)      100 (+2)     55
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 5-9 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4080         20           3270
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  8         S 10         SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     28560        180          42510
Max ADI Early         6 Very Poor  17 Gen Poor  27 Fair
Max ADI Late          23 Fair      5 Very Poor  49 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-060615-
Lower Hudson Valley-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      84 (+2)      49 (-3)      81
RH % (24h trend)      39 (-6)      100 (+7)     40
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7340                      5790
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         S  6         SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     29360        0            57900
Max ADI Early         6 Very Poor  27 Fair      25 Fair
Max ADI Late          37 Fair      2 Very Poor  71 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-060615-
Western Passaic-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      83 (+1)      52 (-1)      80
RH % (24h trend)      39 (-5)      100 (+13)    41
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7180                      5680
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         S  3         SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     28720        0            56800
Max ADI Early         7 Poor       27 Fair      26 Fair
Max ADI Late          37 Fair      1 Very Poor  64 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-060615-
Eastern Passaic-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      85 (0)       54 (0)       81
RH % (24h trend)      36 (-4)      98 (+10)     40
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7200                      5520
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         S  5         SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     28800        0            55200
Max ADI Early         8 Poor       27 Fair      29 Fair
Max ADI Late          37 Fair      2 Very Poor  71 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-060615-
Western Bergen-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      85 (+1)      54 (0)       81
RH % (24h trend)      36 (-4)      100 (+15)    39
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7330                      5680
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         S  5         SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     29320        0            56800
Max ADI Early         9 Poor       28 Fair      29 Fair
Max ADI Late          38 Fair      2 Very Poor  73 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-060615-
Eastern Bergen-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      85 (0)       56 (+1)      81
RH % (24h trend)      36 (-4)      98 (+9)      41
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7000                      5240
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         S  8         SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     28000        0            52400
Max ADI Early         11 Poor      26 Fair      30 Fair
Max ADI Late          36 Fair      3 Very Poor  69 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-060615-
Western Essex-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      85 (0)       54 (0)       80
RH % (24h trend)      37 (-4)      99 (+10)     41
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6890                      5240
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         S  6         SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     27560        0            52400
Max ADI Early         7 Poor       26 Fair      28 Fair
Max ADI Late          35 Fair      2 Very Poor  64 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-060615-
Eastern Essex-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      85 (-1)      58 (+1)      82
RH % (24h trend)      37 (-2)      94 (+8)      42
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6370                      4840
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         S  9         SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     25480        0            48400
Max ADI Early         9 Poor       25 Fair      29 Fair
Max ADI Late          37 Fair      3 Very Poor  66 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-060615-
Western Union-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      85 (-1)      53 (0)       81
RH % (24h trend)      37 (-3)      99 (+5)      42
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6530                      5020
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5        S  5         SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     26120        0            50200
Max ADI Early         5 Very Poor  22 Fair      25 Fair
Max ADI Late          33 Fair      2 Very Poor  63 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-060615-
Eastern Union-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      85 (0)       57 (+1)      81
RH % (24h trend)      37 (-1)      98 (+8)      42
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6300                      4910
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         S  7         SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     25200        0            49100
Max ADI Early         7 Poor       25 Fair      26 Fair
Max ADI Late          36 Fair      3 Very Poor  63 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-060615-
Hudson-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      84 (0)       59 (+1)      81
RH % (24h trend)      38 (-5)      92 (+6)      44
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 3-7        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5920                      4670
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         S 12         SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     29600        0            46700
Max ADI Early         9 Poor       28 Fair      29 Fair
Max ADI Late          38 Fair      4 Very Poor  56 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-060615-
Northern Fairfield-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      83 (0)       52 (+1)      79
RH % (24h trend)      44 (-3)      100 (+5)     45
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6840                      4630
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         S  7         SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     27360        0            55560
Max ADI Early         6 Very Poor  22 Fair      26 Fair
Max ADI Late          34 Fair      2 Very Poor  67 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-060615-
Southern Fairfield-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      82 (+1)      55 (0)       79
RH % (24h trend)      46 (-5)      100 (+12)    47
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5420                      4180
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         S  8         SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     27100        0            50160
Max ADI Early         5 Very Poor  18 Gen Poor  30 Fair
Max ADI Late          26 Fair      3 Very Poor  61 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-060615-
Northern New Haven-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      84 (+1)      54 (+3)      79
RH % (24h trend)      43 (-2)      100 (+4)     47
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6980                      4520
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         S  6         SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     34900        0            58760
Max ADI Early         5 Very Poor  24 Fair      31 Fair
Max ADI Late          38 Fair      2 Very Poor  69 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-060615-
Southern New Haven-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      82 (+2)      57 (+3)      78
RH % (24h trend)      49 (-4)      100 (+3)     51
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5230                      3720
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  7         S  6         SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     31380        0            48360
Max ADI Early         5 Very Poor  19 Gen Poor  32 Fair
Max ADI Late          28 Fair      2 Very Poor  60 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-060615-
Northern Middlesex-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      84 (+2)      56 (+5)      79
RH % (24h trend)      42 (-5)      100 (+1)     48
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6870                      4030
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         S  5         SW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     27480        0            56420
Max ADI Early         5 Very Poor  23 Fair      32 Fair
Max ADI Late          35 Fair      2 Very Poor  66 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-060615-
Southern Middlesex-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      81 (+2)      58 (+3)      77
RH % (24h trend)      49 (-7)      100 (+4)     53
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4580         10           3520
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7        S  5         SW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     27480        40           49280
Max ADI Early         5 Very Poor  16 Gen Poor  32 Fair
Max ADI Late          26 Fair      2 Very Poor  62 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-060615-
Northern New London-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      84 (+2)      56 (+7)      77
RH % (24h trend)      43 (-6)      100 (0)      49
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6770                      3680
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  6        S  5         SW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     33850        0            55200
Max ADI Early         5 Very Poor  26 Fair      31 Fair
Max ADI Late          40 Fair      2 Very Poor  62 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-060615-
Southern New London-
215 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      80 (+2)      57 (+5)      76
RH % (24h trend)      53 (-6)      100 (+1)     58
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4060         40           3090
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  8        S  6         SW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     28420        200          46350
Max ADI Early         5 Very Poor  18 Gen Poor  30 Fair
Max ADI Late          28 Fair      2 Very Poor  55 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$