Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
833
FNUS51 KOKX 190605
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions today, with min RH values around 50 percent, and then
wet on Wednesday with showers expected and min RH around 65 to 80
percent. Easterly winds forecast the next 48 hours, 10 to 15 mph
today and then just a bit higher for Wednesday.
NYZ212-200615-
New York City-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 76 (+1) 66 (+1) 76
RH % (24h trend) 45 80 (+7) 68
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 6-10 SE 6-10 E 6-10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 8-12 G17 E 4-8 E 8-12 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.09
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5410 3120 3710
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 14 SE 15 SE 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 64920 40560 48230
Max ADI Early 80 Good 46 Gen Good 64 Good
Max ADI Late 77 Good 20 Gen Poor 57 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-200615-
Long Island-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+2) 63 (0) 76
RH % (24h trend) 46 86 (+11) 68
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 6-10 G17 SE 5-9 E 6-10 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 7-11 G17 E 4-8 E 9-13 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.09
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5360 150 4450
Transport Wnd (mph) E 13 E 13 SE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 58960 1650 71200
Max ADI Early 74 Good 47 Gen Good 63 Good
Max ADI Late 73 Good 9 Poor 60 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-200615-
Lower Hudson Valley-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+2) 57 (0) 70
RH % (24h trend) 44 89 (+1) 75
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 3-7 Lgt/Var E 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.21
Precip Duration 5
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6630 220 3420
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 9 SE 9 SE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 53040 1760 51300
Max ADI Early 52 Gen Good 49 Gen Good 52 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 68 Good 6 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-200615-
Western Passaic-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+2) 60 (+2) 70
RH % (24h trend) 45 90 (+3) 78
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 3-7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.20
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6130 250 3250
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 SE 8 SE 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 55170 1750 45500
Max ADI Early 57 Gen Good 51 Gen Good 46 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 76 Good 5 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-200615-
Eastern Passaic-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 78 (+1) 62 (+1) 73
RH % (24h trend) 42 86 (+6) 71
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SE 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 4-8 Lgt/Var E 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.13
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5960 390 3590
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 E 10 SE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 53640 3510 53850
Max ADI Early 70 Good 54 Gen Good 60 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 77 Good 7 Poor 58 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-200615-
Western Bergen-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+1) 60 (0) 73
RH % (24h trend) 43 88 (+3) 74
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 3-7 Lgt/Var E 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.14
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6310 3630
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 9 SE 7 SE 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 50480 0 50820
Max ADI Early 63 Good 53 Gen Good 56 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 77 Good 5 Very Poor 54 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-200615-
Eastern Bergen-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 78 (+1) 63 (0) 75
RH % (24h trend) 42 81 (+4) 68
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 3-7 SE 4-8 E 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 5-9 Lgt/Var E 6-10 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.11
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6210 1670 3700
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 SE 13 SE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 55890 18370 55500
Max ADI Early 71 Good 54 Gen Good 61 Good
Max ADI Late 75 Good 9 Poor 61 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-200615-
Western Essex-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 76 (+1) 63 (+1) 73
RH % (24h trend) 45 87 (+6) 73
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SE 3-7 E 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 5-9 Lgt/Var E 5-9 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.11
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5550 250 3370
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 12 E 10 SE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 55500 2250 50550
Max ADI Early 73 Good 53 Gen Good 54 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 76 Good 9 Poor 55 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-200615-
Eastern Essex-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+1) 65 (+1) 75
RH % (24h trend) 44 78 (+4) 69
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 3-7 SE 4-8 E 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 6-10 E 3-7 E 7-11 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.10
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5540 2840 3470
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 13 SE 14 SE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 60940 34080 52050
Max ADI Early 80 Good 57 Gen Good 62 Good
Max ADI Late 81 Good 9 Poor 61 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-200615-
Western Union-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 76 (+1) 63 (0) 74
RH % (24h trend) 49 87 (+7) 74
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 3-7 SE 3-7 E 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 5-9 Lgt/Var E 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.11
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5230 100 3340
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 13 E 10 SE 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 57530 900 46760
Max ADI Early 79 Good 51 Gen Good 54 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 79 Good 8 Poor 54 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-200615-
Eastern Union-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 76 (0) 66 (+1) 75
RH % (24h trend) 46 81 (+6) 69
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 3-7 SE 4-8 G17 E 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 6-10 G18 Lgt/Var E 7-11 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.10
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5260 2270 3560
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 14 SE 14 SE 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 63120 27240 49840
Max ADI Early 83 Good 52 Gen Good 60 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 84 Good 9 Poor 58 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-200615-
Hudson-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+2) 66 (+1) 75
RH % (24h trend) 44 80 (+8) 67
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 5-9 SE 6-10 E 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 8-12 G17 E 4-8 E 8-12 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.09
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5510 3280 3770
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 14 SE 14 SE 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 66120 39360 49010
Max ADI Early 79 Good 48 Gen Good 64 Good
Max ADI Late 78 Good 10 Poor 61 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-200615-
Northern Fairfield-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 75 (-1) 57 (+1) 71
RH % (24h trend) 46 87 (-2) 75
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SE 3-7 E 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 4-8 Lgt/Var E 6-10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.16
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5880 150 3890
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 8 E 8 SE 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 41160 1050 70020
Max ADI Early 54 Gen Good 42 Gen Good 65 Good
Max ADI Late 60 Gen Good 7 Poor 74 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-200615-
Southern Fairfield-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 76 (0) 61 (0) 74
RH % (24h trend) 47 83 (+4) 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 4-8 SE 4-8 E 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 6-10 E 3-7 E 7-11
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.12
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5850 500 4460
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 SE 13 SE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 52650 5500 71360
Max ADI Early 68 Good 46 Gen Good 68 Good
Max ADI Late 69 Good 9 Poor 68 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-200615-
Northern New Haven-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 77 (0) 57 (+1) 71
RH % (24h trend) 42 87 (+1) 71
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 4-8 Lgt/Var E 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.16
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6110 90 4550
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 7 SE 7 SE 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 36660 540 77350
Max ADI Early 37 Fair 39 Fair 67 Good
Max ADI Late 56 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 75 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-200615-
Southern New Haven-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 76 (-1) 59 (0) 74
RH % (24h trend) 44 82 (+5) 68
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 3-7 SE 3-7 E 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 5-9 Lgt/Var E 7-11 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.14
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5670 4870
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 9 E 8 SE 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 45360 0 87660
Max ADI Early 45 Gen Good 39 Fair 75 Good
Max ADI Late 62 Good 7 Poor 82 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-200615-
Northern Middlesex-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 76 (-1) 57 (+2) 72
RH % (24h trend) 42 87 (+4) 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 3-7 Lgt/Var E 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.16
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6260 30 4710
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 6 SE 5 SE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 31300 120 75360
Max ADI Early 35 Fair 33 Fair 64 Good
Max ADI Late 49 Gen Good 2 Very Poor 74 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-200615-
Southern Middlesex-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 76 (0) 58 (+1) 74
RH % (24h trend) 45 85 (+7) 67
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 4-8 Lgt/Var E 6-10 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.15
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5730 5200
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 9 E 7 SE 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 45840 0 88400
Max ADI Early 43 Gen Good 36 Fair 71 Good
Max ADI Late 56 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 86 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-200615-
Northern New London-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 76 (+1) 56 (+2) 71
RH % (24h trend) 43 90 (+5) 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 3-7 Lgt/Var E 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.15
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6210 40 4790
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 6 E 3 SE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 31050 120 71850
Max ADI Early 34 Fair 31 Fair 60 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 41 Gen Good 2 Very Poor 79 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-200615-
Southern New London-
205 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 75 (0) 57 (+1) 73
RH % (24h trend) 46 86 (+5) 65
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 4-8 Lgt/Var E 6-10 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.14
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5680 5060
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 8 E 6 SE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 39760 0 80960
Max ADI Early 42 Gen Good 36 Fair 64 Good
Max ADI Late 53 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 84 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. A chance
of showers. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. Northeast winds
15 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs around 80. North winds 20 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$