Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
683
FNUS51 KOKX 030620
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Weak low pressure approaches from the south today ahead
of a fast moving cold front passage tonight. There will be a
chance for showers with isolated thunderstorms today into
tonight, with best chances for precipitation for eastern area.
Precipitation amounts should average less than 1/4". High
pressure builds in for Tuesday with a return to dry conditions.
Winds start off south 5 to 10 mph, and increase to 15 to 20 mph
tonight, shifting to the WNW. Gusts 20 to 30 mph are possible
overnight and into Tuesday. Minimum RH values will range from 50%
to 70% today and 30% to 50% on Tuesday.
NYZ212-040630-
New York City-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 40 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+1) 45 (-3) 59
RH % (24h trend) 66 (+18) 88 (+1) 36
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 10-14 G27 W 12-16 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6-10 W 12-16 G27 W 12-16 G26
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3070 320 5710
Transport Wnd (mph) S 14 NW 23 NW 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 36840 6400 137040
Max ADI Early 23 Fair 55 Gen Good 106 Very Good
Max ADI Late 62 Good 66 Good 119 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-040630-
Long Island-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Rain Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 50 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+2) 45 (0) 58
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+17) 96 (+2) 40
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 4-8 W 10-14 G27 W 15-19 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 G17 NW 15-19 G31 W 14-18 G29
Precip Amount 0.07 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3240 290 5710
Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 NW 30 NW 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 48600 7540 131330
Max ADI Early 45 Gen Good 51 Gen Good 110 Very Good
Max ADI Late 61 Good 61 Good 122 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-040630-
Lower Hudson Valley-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Rain Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 30 20 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (+2) 40 (+2) 57
RH % (24h trend) 64 (+16) 91 (-8) 39
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 7-11 G25 W 10-14 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 W 9-13 G25 NW 10-14 G26
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3850 330 5830
Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 W 20 NW 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 57750 5610 151580
Max ADI Early 35 Fair 51 Gen Good 107 Very Good
Max ADI Late 86 Good 53 Gen Good 125 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-040630-
Western Passaic-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (+1) 41 (+2) 57
RH % (24h trend) 68 (+22) 86 (-13) 38
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 5-9 G23 NW 8-12 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 W 7-11 G24 NW 7-11 G25
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3300 500 5620
Transport Wnd (mph) S 16 NW 18 NW 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 46200 8000 140500
Max ADI Early 38 Fair 35 Fair 107 Very Good
Max ADI Late 84 Good 33 Fair 125 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-040630-
Eastern Passaic-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (0) 42 (0) 58
RH % (24h trend) 69 (+23) 86 (-10) 37
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 6-10 G23 NW 9-13 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 W 8-12 G23 NW 9-13 G26
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3100 340 5790
Transport Wnd (mph) S 15 NW 16 NW 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 40300 4760 138960
Max ADI Early 23 Fair 50 Gen Good 107 Very Good
Max ADI Late 79 Good 52 Gen Good 123 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-040630-
Western Bergen-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+1) 41 (0) 59
RH % (24h trend) 69 (+24) 87 (-11) 37
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 5-9 G23 NW 9-13 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 W 8-12 G23 NW 8-12 G25
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3160 390 5780
Transport Wnd (mph) S 15 NW 17 NW 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 41080 5850 138720
Max ADI Early 24 Fair 53 Gen Good 107 Very Good
Max ADI Late 79 Good 54 Gen Good 126 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-040630-
Eastern Bergen-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 40 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+1) 44 (0) 59
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+21) 87 (-4) 36
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 6-10 G23 W 10-14 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 W 9-13 G23 NW 10-14 G26
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3270 430 5870
Transport Wnd (mph) S 15 NW 18 NW 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 42510 6880 135010
Max ADI Early 22 Fair 52 Gen Good 107 Very Good
Max ADI Late 75 Good 61 Good 126 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-040630-
Western Essex-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (-1) 43 (0) 58
RH % (24h trend) 69 (+22) 86 (-7) 36
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 7-11 G23 W 10-14 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 W 9-13 G23 W 10-14 G27
Precip Amount 0.04 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2890 270 5660
Transport Wnd (mph) S 14 NW 16 NW 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 34680 3780 124520
Max ADI Early 22 Fair 50 Gen Good 106 Very Good
Max ADI Late 75 Good 50 Gen Good 121 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-040630-
Eastern Essex-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 40 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+1) 46 (0) 59
RH % (24h trend) 68 (+23) 81 (-6) 35
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 7-11 G23 W 10-14 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 W 10-14 G23 W 10-14 G26
Precip Amount 0.04 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2900 450 5910
Transport Wnd (mph) S 13 NW 17 NW 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 31900 6750 135930
Max ADI Early 21 Fair 52 Gen Good 107 Very Good
Max ADI Late 72 Good 60 Gen Good 123 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-040630-
Western Union-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 40 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (0) 42 (-1) 59
RH % (24h trend) 69 (+23) 86 (-8) 36
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 6-10 G23 W 9-13 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 W 8-12 G22 W 9-13 G25
Precip Amount 0.04 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2880 390 5830
Transport Wnd (mph) S 13 NW 20 NW 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 31680 6630 128260
Max ADI Early 21 Fair 50 Gen Good 105 Very Good
Max ADI Late 70 Good 50 Gen Good 115 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-040630-
Eastern Union-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 40 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (0) 45 (-1) 60
RH % (24h trend) 65 (+21) 83 (-6) 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 6-10 G24 W 9-13 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 W 9-13 G24 W 9-13 G31
Precip Amount 0.04 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2740 470 5920
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 NW 20 NW 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 27400 7990 136160
Max ADI Early 21 Fair 51 Gen Good 107 Very Good
Max ADI Late 69 Good 51 Gen Good 123 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-040630-
Hudson-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 40 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+2) 46 (-2) 59
RH % (24h trend) 65 (+19) 84 (-3) 34
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 9-13 G23 W 12-16 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 W 12-16 G24 W 12-16 G26
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2890 420 5880
Transport Wnd (mph) S 14 NW 20 NW 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 34680 7140 141120
Max ADI Early 21 Fair 52 Gen Good 105 Very Good
Max ADI Late 68 Good 59 Gen Good 117 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-040630-
Northern Fairfield-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Rain Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (+3) 41 (+2) 57
RH % (24h trend) 70 (+19) 96 (-3) 44
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 7-11 G20 W 12-16 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 5-9 W 10-14 G23 NW 11-15 G26
Precip Amount 0.04 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3640 300 5800
Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 NW 20 NW 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 54600 5100 150800
Max ADI Early 29 Fair 46 Gen Good 111 Very Good
Max ADI Late 81 Good 25 Fair 123 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-040630-
Southern Fairfield-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Rain Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 40 20 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+3) 43 (0) 58
RH % (24h trend) 69 (+18) 96 (-1) 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 8-12 G23 W 12-16 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 5-9 W 11-15 G26 NW 11-15 G25
Precip Amount 0.04 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3530 320 5660
Transport Wnd (mph) S 16 W 23 NW 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 49420 6400 141500
Max ADI Early 27 Fair 51 Gen Good 108 Very Good
Max ADI Late 76 Good 54 Gen Good 123 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-040630-
Northern New Haven-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Rain Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+4) 41 (+2) 58
RH % (24h trend) 66 (+17) 95 (-4) 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 7-11 G21 W 12-16 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 W 11-15 G23 NW 12-16 G29
Precip Amount 0.06 0.04 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3700 290 6100
Transport Wnd (mph) S 18 NW 20 NW 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 59200 4930 164700
Max ADI Early 30 Fair 36 Fair 115 Very Good
Max ADI Late 86 Good 24 Fair 130 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-040630-
Southern New Haven-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Rain Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 50 40 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+3) 42 (-1) 58
RH % (24h trend) 68 (+18) 97 (0) 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 8-12 G23 W 12-16 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 G17 W 11-15 G26 NW 12-16 G26
Precip Amount 0.06 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3590 350 5990
Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 NW 21 NW 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 53850 6300 149750
Max ADI Early 29 Fair 36 Fair 109 Very Good
Max ADI Late 77 Good 42 Gen Good 127 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-040630-
Northern Middlesex-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Rain Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 40 40 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+4) 41 (+1) 57
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+21) 100 (0) 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SW 7-11 G21 NW 12-16 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 G17 W 9-13 G23 NW 13-17 G30
Precip Amount 0.09 0.05 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3780 290 5940
Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 NW 17 NW 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 56700 4350 166320
Max ADI Early 31 Fair 33 Fair 120 Very Good
Max ADI Late 82 Good 24 Fair 137 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-040630-
Southern Middlesex-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Clear
Precip Type Rain Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 40 50 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+3) 42 (-2) 58
RH % (24h trend) 65 (+19) 98 (+3) 41
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 3-7 W 7-11 G25 W 13-17 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 G17 W 11-15 G27 NW 13-17 G26
Precip Amount 0.08 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3570 350 6080
Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 W 24 NW 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 53550 7350 158080
Max ADI Early 49 Gen Good 48 Gen Good 116 Very Good
Max ADI Late 77 Good 51 Gen Good 134 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-040630-
Northern New London-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Clear
Precip Type Rain Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 30 50 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (+4) 41 (+4) 56
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+21) 100 (0) 42
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SW 7-11 G21 NW 13-17 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 W 10-14 G24 NW 13-17 G31
Precip Amount 0.10 0.09 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3650 350 5660
Transport Wnd (mph) S 18 NW 20 NW 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 58400 5950 158480
Max ADI Early 44 Gen Good 32 Fair 123 Very Good
Max ADI Late 81 Good 27 Fair 140 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-040630-
Southern New London-
120 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Clear
Precip Type Rain Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 40 50 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+4) 41 (0) 57
RH % (24h trend) 68 (+21) 99 (0) 42
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 3-7 SW 7-11 G24 W 13-17 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 G17 W 10-14 G27 NW 13-17 G29
Precip Amount 0.11 0.06 0.00
Precip Duration 2 3
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3430 340 5920
Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 NW 24 NW 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 51450 7140 165760
Max ADI Early 48 Gen Good 43 Gen Good 119 Very Good
Max ADI Late 74 Good 49 Gen Good 137 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40.
Highs around 60. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. A chance
of rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Rain likely.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 15 to
25 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain.
Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$