Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
039
FNUS51 KOKX 210815
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A wetting rainfall through Friday will help mitigate short term
concerns for fire danger, but will not be enough to lift us from
long term drought.
NYZ212-210915-
New York City-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 90 70 60
Temp (24h trend) 51 (-6) 36 (-12) 45
RH % (24h trend) 84 (+31) 100 (+1) 64
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 12-16 G24 W 14-18 G29 SW 11-15 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 12-16 G26 SW 13-17 G29 S 7-11 G19
Precip Amount 0.88 0.29 0.15
Precip Duration 12 4 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2360
Transport Wnd (mph) E 26 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 54280
Max ADI Early 56 Gen Good Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 16 Gen Poor Very Poor Very Poor
LAL 1-8 Strikes No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-210915-
Long Island-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 100 70 60
Temp (24h trend) 53 (-4) 34 (-14) 49
RH % (24h trend) 80 (+30) 100 (+2) 61
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 15-19 G31 W 14-18 G30 SW 11-15 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 14-18 G32 SW 13-17 G30 S 6-10 G19
Precip Amount 0.95 0.18 0.10
Precip Duration 11 4 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 7 AM
Precip End Continuing 1 AM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3200
Transport Wnd (mph) E 35 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 96000
Max ADI Early 84 Good Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 25 Fair Very Poor Very Poor
LAL 1-8 Strikes 1-8 Strikes No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-210915-
Lower Hudson Valley-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 100 80 50
Temp (24h trend) 47 (-8) 31 (-11) 44
RH % (24h trend) 89 (+39) 100 (0) 69
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 7-11 G22 W 7-11 G22 S 7-11 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 7-11 G22 SW 9-13 G22 SE 4-8
Precip Amount 0.93 0.63 0.15
Precip Duration 12 7 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2040
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 18 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 32640
Max ADI Early 37 Fair Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 10 Poor Very Poor Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-210915-
Western Passaic-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 90 80 60
Temp (24h trend) 47 (-7) 30 (-11) 41
RH % (24h trend) 92 (+39) 100 (0) 76
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 6-10 G19 W 7-11 G21 S 6-10 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 5-9 G19 SW 7-11 G22 SE 3-7
Precip Amount 1.00 0.60 0.16
Precip Duration 12 7 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1770
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 18 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 28320
Max ADI Early 35 Fair Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 10 Poor Very Poor Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-210915-
Eastern Passaic-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 90 80 60
Temp (24h trend) 49 (-8) 32 (-12) 43
RH % (24h trend) 88 (+38) 100 (0) 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 7-11 G20 W 7-11 G22 S 7-11 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 7-11 G22 SW 8-12 G22 S 4-8
Precip Amount 0.94 0.41 0.15
Precip Duration 12 5 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1800
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 20 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 30600
Max ADI Early 41 Gen Good Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 12 Poor Very Poor Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-210915-
Western Bergen-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 90 80 60
Temp (24h trend) 47 (-8) 32 (-11) 44
RH % (24h trend) 90 (+38) 100 (0) 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 7-11 G20 W 7-11 G22 S 7-11 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 6-10 G20 SW 8-12 G21 S 4-8
Precip Amount 0.93 0.47 0.16
Precip Duration 12 6 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1820
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 17 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 27300
Max ADI Early 39 Fair Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 11 Poor Very Poor Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-210915-
Eastern Bergen-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 90 80 50
Temp (24h trend) 49 (-8) 34 (-12) 44
RH % (24h trend) 87 (+38) 100 (0) 67
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 8-12 G21 W 8-12 G23 S 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 8-12 G22 SW 9-13 G23 S 5-9
Precip Amount 0.90 0.42 0.14
Precip Duration 12 5 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1930
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 21 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 34740
Max ADI Early 41 Gen Good Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 12 Poor Very Poor Very Poor
LAL 1-8 Strikes No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-210915-
Western Essex-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 90 70 60
Temp (24h trend) 49 (-8) 32 (-12) 43
RH % (24h trend) 86 (+35) 100 (0) 68
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 8-12 G21 W 9-13 G23 SW 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 8-12 G22 SW 9-13 G23 S 5-9 G17
Precip Amount 0.91 0.37 0.17
Precip Duration 12 5 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1840
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 21 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 33120
Max ADI Early 40 Fair Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 11 Poor Very Poor Very Poor
LAL 1-8 Strikes No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-210915-
Eastern Essex-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 90 70 60
Temp (24h trend) 50 (-9) 35 (-12) 44
RH % (24h trend) 86 (+41) 98 (-2) 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 10-14 G21 W 10-14 G23 SW 9-13 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 9-13 G23 SW 10-14 G24 S 6-10 G17
Precip Amount 0.86 0.34 0.16
Precip Duration 12 4 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1940
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 20 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 32980
Max ADI Early 45 Gen Good Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 13 Gen Poor Very Poor Very Poor
LAL 1-8 Strikes No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-210915-
Western Union-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 90 70 60
Temp (24h trend) 49 (-9) 31 (-14) 43
RH % (24h trend) 89 (+38) 100 (0) 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 9-13 G20 W 9-13 G23 SW 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 8-12 G22 SW 9-13 G23 S 5-9 G17
Precip Amount 0.81 0.28 0.19
Precip Duration 12 5 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1820
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 22 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 34580
Max ADI Early 40 Fair Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 12 Poor Very Poor Very Poor
LAL 1-8 Strikes No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-210915-
Eastern Union-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 90 70 60
Temp (24h trend) 50 (-9) 35 (-11) 45
RH % (24h trend) 86 (+37) 99 (0) 64
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 10-14 G22 W 10-14 G25 SW 9-13 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 10-14 G25 SW 10-14 G25 S 5-9 G18
Precip Amount 0.82 0.28 0.17
Precip Duration 12 4 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1890
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 22 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 35910
Max ADI Early 46 Gen Good Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 13 Gen Poor Very Poor Very Poor
LAL 1-8 Strikes No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-210915-
Hudson-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 90 70 60
Temp (24h trend) 51 (-7) 36 (-12) 45
RH % (24h trend) 84 (+37) 99 (0) 64
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 10-14 G22 W 11-15 G24 SW 9-13 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 10-14 G24 SW 11-15 G24 S 7-11 G17
Precip Amount 0.87 0.32 0.15
Precip Duration 12 4 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2080
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 22 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 39520
Max ADI Early 48 Gen Good Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 13 Gen Poor Very Poor Very Poor
LAL 1-8 Strikes No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-210915-
Northern Fairfield-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 100 80 50
Temp (24h trend) 48 (-10) 33 (-10) 45
RH % (24h trend) 88 (+47) 100 (0) 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 8-12 G22 N 8-12 G21 S 7-11 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 9-13 G23 SW 8-12 G20 SE 5-9
Precip Amount 0.76 0.37 0.13
Precip Duration 10 7 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2040
Transport Wnd (mph) E 23 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 40800
Max ADI Early 43 Gen Good Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 13 Gen Poor Very Poor Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-210915-
Southern Fairfield-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 100 80 50
Temp (24h trend) 50 (-7) 33 (-12) 47
RH % (24h trend) 87 (+39) 100 (0) 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 11-15 G25 W 10-14 G25 SW 9-13 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 11-15 G25 SW 11-15 G25 S 5-9
Precip Amount 0.91 0.42 0.13
Precip Duration 11 5 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1870
Transport Wnd (mph) E 28 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 44880
Max ADI Early 48 Gen Good Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 14 Gen Poor Very Poor Very Poor
LAL 1-8 Strikes No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-210915-
Northern New Haven-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 100 80 50
Temp (24h trend) 49 (-10) 34 (-8) 47
RH % (24h trend) 88 (+51) 100 (0) 65
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 9-13 G24 E 9-13 G21 S 6-10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 9-13 G22 SW 8-12 G19 SE 4-8
Precip Amount 0.82 0.26 0.10
Precip Duration 10 7 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2120
Transport Wnd (mph) E 24 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 44520
Max ADI Early 43 Gen Good Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 14 Gen Poor Very Poor Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-210915-
Southern New Haven-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 100 70 60
Temp (24h trend) 51 (-6) 35 (-9) 48
RH % (24h trend) 84 (+37) 98 (-2) 65
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 11-15 G29 E 11-15 G24 S 8-12 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 11-15 G25 SW 10-14 G26 S 5-9
Precip Amount 0.86 0.20 0.10
Precip Duration 10 5 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 7 AM
Precip End Continuing 4 AM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2530
Transport Wnd (mph) E 29 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 63250
Max ADI Early 58 Gen Good Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 19 Gen Poor Very Poor Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-210915-
Northern Middlesex-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 100 70 60
Temp (24h trend) 49 (-12) 35 (-7) 48
RH % (24h trend) 88 (+52) 100 (0) 67
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 9-13 G24 E 9-13 G23 S 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 9-13 G24 SW 7-11 G20 SE 4-8
Precip Amount 0.90 0.17 0.08
Precip Duration 10 5 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 7 AM
Precip End Continuing 4 AM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2570
Transport Wnd (mph) E 29 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 64250
Max ADI Early 59 Gen Good Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 20 Gen Poor Very Poor Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-210915-
Southern Middlesex-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 100 70 60
Temp (24h trend) 51 (-5) 37 (-7) 49
RH % (24h trend) 86 (+39) 99 (-1) 64
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 11-15 G27 SE 11-15 G27 S 8-12 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 12-16 G29 SW 10-14 G29 S 4-8
Precip Amount 0.96 0.14 0.08
Precip Duration 10 5 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 7 AM
Precip End Continuing 4 AM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3000
Transport Wnd (mph) E 33 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 87000
Max ADI Early 77 Good Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 26 Fair Very Poor Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-210915-
Northern New London-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 100 80 60
Temp (24h trend) 49 (-8) 35 (-5) 49
RH % (24h trend) 88 (+43) 100 (0) 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 9-13 G24 E 10-14 G24 S 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 10-14 G25 S 7-11 G21 SE 4-8
Precip Amount 0.90 0.20 0.08
Precip Duration 11 6 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 7 AM
Precip End Continuing 4 AM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2820
Transport Wnd (mph) E 32 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 78960
Max ADI Early 73 Good Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 25 Fair Very Poor Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-210915-
Southern New London-
315 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 100 70 70
Temp (24h trend) 51 (-4) 37 (-6) 50
RH % (24h trend) 86 (+34) 99 (0) 63
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 12-16 G27 SE 12-16 G27 SW 8-12 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 12-16 G29 SW 10-14 G27 S 4-8
Precip Amount 0.96 0.17 0.08
Precip Duration 10 3 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 7 AM
Precip End Continuing 4 AM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3160
Transport Wnd (mph) E 36 N/A N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 97960
Max ADI Early 84 Good Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Late 28 Fair Very Poor Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 2
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of
rain showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s.
Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the lower 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$