Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
319
FNUS51 KOKX 270847
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Strong low pressure remains to the north with high pressure well
to the southwest of the region today through Friday.
Mainly dry conditions are expected through the forecast period.
Gusty westerly winds are expected through much of the forecast
period with Friday being relatively the highest in terms of gusts.
Peak gusts today are forecast to be around 35 mph and up to 40 to
45 mph for Friday. Occasional higher gusts will be possible.
Minimum RH forecast ranges mainly between 40 and 55 percent for both
today and Friday.
NYZ212-280900-
New York City-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 44 (-16) 31 (-7) 42
RH % (24h trend) 43 69 (-9) 45
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 12-16 G26 W 12-16 G29 W 16-20 G35
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 15-19 G30 W 12-16 G29 W 19-23 G38
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5470 1860 7970
Transport Wnd (mph) W 26 W 32 W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 125810 52080 215190
Max ADI Early 80 Good 50 Gen Good 103 Very Good
Max ADI Late 80 Good 46 Gen Good 122 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-280900-
Long Island-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 44 (-14) 29 (-8) 42
RH % (24h trend) 49 76 (-8) 48
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 12-16 G26 W 13-17 G29 W 16-20 G35
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 15-19 G30 W 12-16 G29 W 20-24 G37
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5300 1100 8510
Transport Wnd (mph) W 25 W 29 W 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 116600 27500 246790
Max ADI Early 76 Good 49 Gen Good 101 Very Good
Max ADI Late 77 Good 38 Fair 130 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-280900-
Lower Hudson Valley-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 43 (-15) 26 (-7) 41
RH % (24h trend) 44 75 (-8) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 8-12 G24 SW 7-11 G24 W 12-16 G33
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 11-15 G29 SW 7-11 G23 W 16-20 G36
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 4 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6300 1450 9360
Transport Wnd (mph) W 23 W 23 W 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 126000 29000 262080
Max ADI Early 74 Good 37 Fair 112 Very Good
Max ADI Late 80 Good 28 Fair 124 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-280900-
Western Passaic-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 42 (-17) 27 (-5) 40
RH % (24h trend) 47 72 (-11) 45
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 6-10 G24 W 5-9 G24 W 10-14 G33
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 9-13 G29 W 6-10 G23 W 12-16 G34
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5930 1470 8940
Transport Wnd (mph) W 22 W 24 W 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 112670 30870 250320
Max ADI Early 79 Good 34 Fair 108 Very Good
Max ADI Late 75 Good 23 Fair 126 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-280900-
Eastern Passaic-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 43 (-16) 28 (-7) 42
RH % (24h trend) 46 72 (-10) 44
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 8-12 G25 W 6-10 G24 W 12-16 G34
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 11-15 G30 W 7-11 G22 W 15-19 G37
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5900 1750 8830
Transport Wnd (mph) W 23 W 26 W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 118000 40250 238410
Max ADI Early 82 Good 35 Fair 105 Very Good
Max ADI Late 78 Good 37 Fair 119 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-280900-
Western Bergen-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 44 (-14) 28 (-6) 42
RH % (24h trend) 46 71 (-11) 44
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 7-11 G24 W 5-9 G22 W 10-14 G33
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 10-14 G29 W 5-9 G21 W 14-18 G35
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5950 1580 8950
Transport Wnd (mph) W 23 W 24 W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 119000 33180 241650
Max ADI Early 75 Good 34 Fair 107 Very Good
Max ADI Late 77 Good 23 Fair 115 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-280900-
Eastern Bergen-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 44 (-15) 30 (-6) 42
RH % (24h trend) 45 70 (-10) 44
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9-13 G25 W 7-11 G24 W 12-16 G34
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 12-16 G30 SW 7-11 G23 W 16-20 G37
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5870 1780 8630
Transport Wnd (mph) W 23 W 25 W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 117400 39160 189860
Max ADI Early 85 Good 48 Gen Good 105 Very Good
Max ADI Late 77 Good 35 Fair 108 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-280900-
Western Essex-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 43 (-16) 28 (-7) 41
RH % (24h trend) 45 71 (-10) 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9-13 G26 W 8-12 G25 W 13-17 G35
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 12-16 G31 W 8-12 G23 W 16-20 G38
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5600 1670 8540
Transport Wnd (mph) W 24 W 29 W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 117600 41750 230580
Max ADI Early 83 Good 48 Gen Good 101 Very Good
Max ADI Late 77 Good 39 Fair 114 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-280900-
Eastern Essex-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 44 (-17) 31 (-6) 42
RH % (24h trend) 43 67 (-12) 44
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9-13 G25 W 8-12 G24 W 14-18 G34
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13-17 G30 W 9-13 G23 W 17-21 G38
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5570 1990 8240
Transport Wnd (mph) W 25 W 30 W 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 122540 51740 206000
Max ADI Early 95 Good 49 Gen Good 106 Very Good
Max ADI Late 79 Good 46 Gen Good 110 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-280900-
Western Union-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 43 (-17) 28 (-7) 42
RH % (24h trend) 47 71 (-9) 44
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9-13 G25 W 8-12 G24 W 12-16 G34
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 11-15 G30 W 8-12 G23 W 15-19 G37
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5420 1770 8150
Transport Wnd (mph) W 24 W 30 W 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 113820 46020 211900
Max ADI Early 90 Good 51 Gen Good 101 Very Good
Max ADI Late 80 Good 44 Gen Good 113 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-280900-
Eastern Union-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 44 (-17) 30 (-7) 42
RH % (24h trend) 43 68 (-9) 42
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9-13 G27 W 8-12 G27 W 13-17 G38
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13-17 G34 W 8-12 G24 W 16-20 G43
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5480 2000 8390
Transport Wnd (mph) W 25 W 30 W 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 120560 52000 218140
Max ADI Early 94 Good 51 Gen Good 105 Very Good
Max ADI Late 80 Good 46 Gen Good 113 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-280900-
Hudson-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 44 (-17) 31 (-7) 42
RH % (24h trend) 43 69 (-10) 45
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 11-15 G25 W 11-15 G25 W 15-19 G34
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 15-19 G30 W 11-15 G25 W 19-23 G37
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5490 1940 8050
Transport Wnd (mph) W 25 W 31 W 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 120780 52380 201250
Max ADI Early 82 Good 49 Gen Good 105 Very Good
Max ADI Late 80 Good 46 Gen Good 107 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-280900-
Northern Fairfield-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 43 (-15) 27 (-6) 41
RH % (24h trend) 48 75 (-10) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 8-12 G22 W 6-10 G21 W 12-16 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 11-15 G26 W 7-11 G19 W 16-20 G35
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5920 1350 9270
Transport Wnd (mph) W 23 W 22 W 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 118400 25650 259560
Max ADI Early 71 Good 35 Fair 105 Very Good
Max ADI Late 78 Good 18 Gen Poor 127 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-280900-
Southern Fairfield-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 44 (-15) 28 (-7) 42
RH % (24h trend) 46 74 (-8) 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10-14 G24 W 9-13 G24 W 13-17 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13-17 G27 W 9-13 G23 W 17-21 G35
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5810 1270 8980
Transport Wnd (mph) W 23 W 25 W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 116200 27940 242460
Max ADI Early 75 Good 47 Gen Good 105 Very Good
Max ADI Late 78 Good 29 Fair 128 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-280900-
Northern New Haven-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 45 (-13) 27 (-7) 42
RH % (24h trend) 47 74 (-10) 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 8-12 G23 SW 7-11 G21 W 12-16 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 11-15 G26 SW 7-11 G19 W 16-20 G36
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6070 1260 9590
Transport Wnd (mph) W 23 W 22 W 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 121400 23940 239750
Max ADI Early 68 Good 44 Gen Good 104 Very Good
Max ADI Late 77 Good 21 Fair 113 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-280900-
Southern New Haven-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 45 (-13) 28 (-8) 42
RH % (24h trend) 48 75 (-9) 45
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9-13 G23 W 8-12 G24 W 12-16 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 12-16 G26 W 8-12 G21 W 17-21 G34
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5840 1060 9240
Transport Wnd (mph) W 22 W 23 W 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 110960 21200 258720
Max ADI Early 71 Good 35 Fair 101 Very Good
Max ADI Late 76 Good 19 Gen Poor 126 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-280900-
Northern Middlesex-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 44 (-14) 28 (-7) 41
RH % (24h trend) 48 74 (-10) 45
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9-13 G23 W 6-10 G22 SW 11-15 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 11-15 G27 SW 6-10 G20 W 17-21 G36
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5960 980 9480
Transport Wnd (mph) W 22 W 21 W 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 113240 17640 265440
Max ADI Early 66 Good 34 Fair 91 Good
Max ADI Late 73 Good 17 Gen Poor 121 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-280900-
Southern Middlesex-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 45 (-13) 29 (-7) 42
RH % (24h trend) 48 75 (-9) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10-14 G24 W 8-12 G24 W 12-16 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 12-16 G27 W 8-12 G24 W 17-21 G34
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5710 850 9520
Transport Wnd (mph) W 22 W 22 W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 108490 16150 257040
Max ADI Early 70 Good 34 Fair 101 Very Good
Max ADI Late 76 Good 17 Gen Poor 129 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-280900-
Northern New London-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 44 (-14) 27 (-8) 41
RH % (24h trend) 48 77 (-9) 45
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9-13 G22 W 6-10 G22 W 11-15 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 11-15 G26 W 6-10 G20 W 17-21 G35
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5730 490 9340
Transport Wnd (mph) W 22 W 21 W 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 108870 8820 261520
Max ADI Early 65 Good 34 Fair 88 Good
Max ADI Late 72 Good 14 Gen Poor 123 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-280900-
Southern New London-
347 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 45 (-13) 28 (-8) 42
RH % (24h trend) 50 77 (-9) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10-14 G24 W 7-11 G24 W 12-16 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 12-16 G27 W 7-11 G24 W 17-21 G34
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5550 400 9070
Transport Wnd (mph) W 22 W 22 W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 105450 7600 244890
Max ADI Early 67 Good 48 Gen Good 96 Good
Max ADI Late 74 Good 16 Gen Poor 129 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Windy. Mostly clear. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 40s. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 15 to
20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain
and snow. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$