Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
280
FNUS51 KOKX 090826
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Light wetting rains are likely this afternoon and tonight as a
complex low pressure system approaches from the west.
Additional light wetting rains are likely across southern
Connecticut and eastern Long Island on Monday as the system slowly
pulls away to the east.
NYZ212-101100-
New York City-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 60 40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-5) 49 (-2) 56
RH % (24h trend) 76 (+35) 99 (+4) 61
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 6-10 G22 S 4-8 NW 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 9-13 G23 W 3-7 W 8-12 G21
Precip Amount 0.05 0.09 0.05
Precip Duration 4 4 1
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2210 380 3280
Transport Wnd (mph) S 15 SW 10 W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 28730 3420 45920
Max ADI Early 26 Fair 11 Poor 22 Fair
Max ADI Late 28 Fair 8 Poor 32 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-101100-
Long Island-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 60 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-4) 48 (0) 58
RH % (24h trend) 78 (+28) 100 (+2) 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 7-11 G23 SE 5-9 G19 NW 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 9-13 G24 Lgt/Var W 7-11 G20
Precip Amount 0.06 0.12 0.13
Precip Duration 4 5 6
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1810 380 2800
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 16 SW 12 W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 25340 3800 39200
Max ADI Early 28 Fair 13 Gen Poor 18 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 29 Fair 8 Poor 26 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-101100-
Lower Hudson Valley-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (-4) 41 (-1) 53
RH % (24h trend) 79 (+34) 100 (0) 63
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 3-7 Lgt/Var W 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 5-9 G17 Lgt/Var NW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.04 0.15 0.06
Precip Duration 5 8 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2730 270 2440
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 14 W 7 W 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 32760 1620 26840
Max ADI Early 29 Fair 8 Poor 14 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 33 Fair 4 Very Poor 23 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-101100-
Western Passaic-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (-6) 42 (0) 52
RH % (24h trend) 81 (+40) 100 (0) 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 3-7 G17 Lgt/Var NW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.06 0.15 0.03
Precip Duration 5 5 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2550 220 2430
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 15 SE 10 NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 33150 1980 36450
Max ADI Early 29 Fair 6 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 31 Fair 5 Very Poor 28 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-101100-
Eastern Passaic-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-6) 45 (-1) 54
RH % (24h trend) 79 (+39) 100 (0) 61
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 5-9 G18 Lgt/Var NW 5-9 G17
Precip Amount 0.05 0.13 0.03
Precip Duration 4 5 1
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2250 320 2820
Transport Wnd (mph) S 13 W 7 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 24750 1920 36660
Max ADI Early 35 Fair 8 Poor 17 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 33 Fair 4 Very Poor 30 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-101100-
Western Bergen-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-5) 44 (0) 55
RH % (24h trend) 78 (+38) 100 (0) 63
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 4-8 G17 Lgt/Var NW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.05 0.14 0.03
Precip Duration 4 5 2
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2560 320 2790
Transport Wnd (mph) S 16 W 7 NW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 35840 1920 39060
Max ADI Early 35 Fair 8 Poor 16 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 36 Fair 4 Very Poor 29 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-101100-
Eastern Bergen-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 60 40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-5) 47 (0) 55
RH % (24h trend) 77 (+38) 100 (+1) 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 3-7 G17 Lgt/Var NW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 6-10 G18 Lgt/Var W 5-9
Precip Amount 0.06 0.10 0.04
Precip Duration 4 4 2
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2490 370 2970
Transport Wnd (mph) S 15 S 8 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 32370 2590 38610
Max ADI Early 41 Gen Good 8 Poor 17 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 38 Fair 5 Very Poor 28 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-101100-
Western Essex-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 60 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-6) 45 (-1) 54
RH % (24h trend) 81 (+39) 100 (0) 60
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 3-7 Lgt/Var NW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 6-10 G18 Lgt/Var NW 6-10 G18
Precip Amount 0.05 0.12 0.03
Precip Duration 4 5 1
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2160 220 2960
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 W 7 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 21600 1320 38480
Max ADI Early 30 Fair 8 Poor 15 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 26 Fair 5 Very Poor 30 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-101100-
Eastern Essex-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 60 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-7) 49 (0) 55
RH % (24h trend) 78 (+38) 96 (-2) 58
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 4-8 Lgt/Var NW 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 6-10 G18 Lgt/Var NW 6-10 G17
Precip Amount 0.07 0.09 0.03
Precip Duration 4 5 1
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2170 430 3230
Transport Wnd (mph) S 13 S 9 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 23870 3440 41990
Max ADI Early 33 Fair 8 Poor 18 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 33 Fair 6 Very Poor 29 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-101100-
Western Union-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 60 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-6) 45 (-2) 55
RH % (24h trend) 83 (+40) 100 (0) 58
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 5-9 G17 Lgt/Var NW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.05 0.11 0.02
Precip Duration 4 4 1
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 12 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2130 350 3200
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 S 8 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 21300 2450 41600
Max ADI Early 27 Fair 8 Poor 17 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 29 Fair 5 Very Poor 32 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-101100-
Eastern Union-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 60 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-8) 48 (0) 56
RH % (24h trend) 77 (+39) 98 (-1) 56
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 3-7 G17 Lgt/Var W 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 6-10 G21 Lgt/Var NW 6-10 G19
Precip Amount 0.06 0.09 0.03
Precip Duration 4 5 1
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 12 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2100 480 3380
Transport Wnd (mph) S 13 S 9 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 23100 3840 43940
Max ADI Early 28 Fair 8 Poor 19 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 33 Fair 5 Very Poor 32 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-101100-
Hudson-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 60 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-5) 49 (-1) 56
RH % (24h trend) 75 (+34) 95 (+1) 58
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 5-9 G19 SE 3-7 W 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 8-12 G20 W 3-7 NW 8-12 G19
Precip Amount 0.05 0.08 0.04
Precip Duration 4 4 1
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2180 410 3160
Transport Wnd (mph) S 14 S 10 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 26160 3690 41080
Max ADI Early 31 Fair 11 Poor 20 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 27 Fair 6 Very Poor 30 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-101100-
Northern Fairfield-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-4) 46 (+5) 55
RH % (24h trend) 80 (+39) 100 (0) 75
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 4-8 Lgt/Var NW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 7-11 G17 Lgt/Var NW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.06 0.18 0.14
Precip Duration 3 7 2
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2350 280 2150
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 16 S 8 W 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 32900 1960 19350
Max ADI Early 35 Fair 10 Poor 15 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 32 Fair 5 Very Poor 21 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-101100-
Southern Fairfield-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-6) 47 (+2) 56
RH % (24h trend) 80 (+38) 100 (+1) 73
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 5-9 G19 SE 3-7 NW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 7-11 G19 Lgt/Var W 6-10 G18
Precip Amount 0.06 0.14 0.11
Precip Duration 4 7 2
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2120 410 2360
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 14 SE 10 W 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 25440 3690 25960
Max ADI Early 28 Fair 10 Poor 16 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 27 Fair 6 Very Poor 23 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-101100-
Northern New Haven-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-4) 47 (+7) 56
RH % (24h trend) 78 (+33) 100 (0) 76
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 4-8 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 7-11 G19 Lgt/Var NW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.06 0.17 0.16
Precip Duration 2 7 4
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2320 260 2330
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 14 S 8 SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 27840 1820 23300
Max ADI Early 27 Fair 10 Poor 14 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 29 Fair 4 Very Poor 23 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-101100-
Southern New Haven-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 80 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-5) 48 (+5) 57
RH % (24h trend) 79 (+30) 100 (0) 76
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 5-9 G19 SE 3-7 G17 N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 8-12 G20 Lgt/Var NW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.07 0.14 0.17
Precip Duration 4 8 6
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1960 380 2020
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 15 S 8 SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 25480 2660 20200
Max ADI Early 28 Fair 12 Poor 15 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 27 Fair 5 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-101100-
Northern Middlesex-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 60 80 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-5) 48 (+8) 56
RH % (24h trend) 77 (+31) 100 (0) 81
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 4-8 G17 E 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 8-12 G20 Lgt/Var NW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.06 0.12 0.20
Precip Duration 2 6 6
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2370 250 1860
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 16 S 7 SW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 33180 1500 20460
Max ADI Early 33 Fair 10 Poor 15 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 31 Fair 4 Very Poor 21 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-101100-
Southern Middlesex-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 80 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-3) 49 (+6) 58
RH % (24h trend) 78 (+25) 100 (0) 79
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 5-9 G19 SE 3-7 G17 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 8-12 G20 Lgt/Var NW 6-10 G17
Precip Amount 0.09 0.12 0.18
Precip Duration 4 6 6
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1750 400 1760
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 16 S 8 W 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 24500 2800 21120
Max ADI Early 29 Fair 13 Gen Poor 13 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 27 Fair 4 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-101100-
Northern New London-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 60 70 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-4) 48 (+9) 59
RH % (24h trend) 78 (+25) 100 (0) 82
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 4-8 G17 E 4-8 G17 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 8-12 G19 Lgt/Var W 5-9
Precip Amount 0.06 0.11 0.22
Precip Duration 4 5 6
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2150 320 1600
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 16 S 7 S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 30100 1920 16000
Max ADI Early 36 Fair 11 Poor 15 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 31 Fair 3 Very Poor 19 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-101100-
Southern New London-
326 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-3) 48 (+6) 59
RH % (24h trend) 80 (+14) 100 (0) 79
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 5-9 G19 E 4-8 G18 NE 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 8-12 G20 Lgt/Var W 6-10
Precip Amount 0.07 0.12 0.20
Precip Duration 4 5 6
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1750 390 1590
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 16 S 7 SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 24500 2340 15900
Max ADI Early 33 Fair 12 Poor 13 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 26 Fair 4 Very Poor 19 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT AND VETERANS DAY...Partly cloudy and windy.
Areas of frost at night. Lows from the mid 20s to mid 30s. Highs
40 to 45. West winds 20 to 30 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy and windy. Lows from
the upper 20s to upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s and lower 50s.
Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Partly cloudy and windy.
Lows from the mid 30s to mid 40s. Highs in the lower 50s.
West winds 20 to 30 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Mostly clear and brisk. Lows in the
30s to around 40. Highs in the upper 40s and lower 50s.
Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows from the mid 20s
to mid 30s. Highs 45 to 50. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures and precipitation both above normal.
$$