Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
467
FNUS51 KOKX 210830
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Some intermittent, mainly light, rain into this morning will be
followed by dry conditions for the rest of the day and into much
of tonight as a cold front pushes south of the region and strong
high pressure starts to build in from the north. Another chance of
rain arrives late tonight into Tuesday as a weak wave of low
pressure approaches the region. Chance for rain lower mid to late
Tuesday afternoon.
Northerly winds near 10 to 15 mph today become more northeasterly
tonight into Tuesday. For Tuesday, winds become a little higher
with a range near 10 to 20 mph. Gusts will range mainly near 20
to 30 mph.
Minimum relative humidity is forecast to range mainly between 50
and 65 percent for both today and Tuesday.
NYZ212-220830-
New York City-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+2) 58 (-3) 65
RH % (24h trend) 50 (-32) 84 (-16) 55
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 11-15 G23 NE 8-12 NE 11-15 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 9-13 G18 NE 9-13 G20 NE 12-16 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.09
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4670 560 5050
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 16 NE 22 NE 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 65380 10640 111100
Max ADI Early 57 Gen Good 31 Fair 55 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 56 Gen Good 39 Fair Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-220830-
Long Island-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 70 (+2) 55 (-6) 66
RH % (24h trend) 56 (-25) 87 (-13) 56
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 11-15 G24 NE 8-12 G19 NE 12-16 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 10-14 G23 NE 9-13 G23 NE 13-17 G29
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.05
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4280 290 5090
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 18 NE 25 NE 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 68480 6380 122160
Max ADI Early 62 Good 32 Fair 51 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 61 Good 37 Fair Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-220830-
Lower Hudson Valley-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 69 (+4) 48 (-8) 64
RH % (24h trend) 55 (-35) 93 (-7) 55
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 6-10 G19 NE 4-8 NE 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 6-10 NE 3-7 NE 6-10 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 AM
Precip End 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4550 190 5500
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 14 NE 14 NE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 54600 2280 88000
Max ADI Early 61 Good 26 Fair 19 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 67 Good 13 Gen Poor Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-220830-
Western Passaic-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 68 (+2) 50 (-7) 62
RH % (24h trend) 58 (-34) 93 (-7) 60
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 5-9 G19 Lgt/Var NE 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 5-9 Lgt/Var NE 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.06
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4230 630 5380
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 14 NE 14 NE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 50760 7560 80700
Max ADI Early 60 Gen Good 21 Fair 19 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 66 Good 13 Gen Poor Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-220830-
Eastern Passaic-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 71 (+2) 54 (-5) 65
RH % (24h trend) 52 (-37) 90 (-10) 55
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 5-9 G20 NE 4-8 NE 6-10 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 6-10 G18 NE 4-8 G17 E 7-11 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.06
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4740 250 5480
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 14 NE 17 NE 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 56880 3750 98640
Max ADI Early 61 Good 23 Fair 21 Fair
Max ADI Late 64 Good 17 Gen Poor Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-220830-
Western Bergen-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 71 (+4) 51 (-7) 65
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-36) 90 (-10) 56
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 6-10 G19 NE 4-8 NE 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 5-9 G17 NE 3-7 NE 6-10 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.06
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4620 220 5490
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 13 NE 14 NE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 50820 2640 87840
Max ADI Early 62 Good 22 Fair 19 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 65 Good 13 Gen Poor Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-220830-
Eastern Bergen-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+3) 55 (-5) 66
RH % (24h trend) 50 (-34) 85 (-15) 53
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 8-12 G19 NE 5-9 NE 7-11 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 6-10 G17 NE 5-9 NE 8-12 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.06
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4800 30 5470
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 14 NE 17 NE 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 57600 450 103930
Max ADI Early 63 Good 31 Fair 28 Fair
Max ADI Late 65 Good 21 Fair Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-220830-
Western Essex-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 71 (+2) 54 (-6) 64
RH % (24h trend) 52 (-36) 90 (-10) 58
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 7-11 G20 NE 4-8 NE 7-11 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 6-10 G18 NE 4-8 G18 NE 7-11 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.08
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4620 610 5310
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 14 NE 18 NE 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 55440 9760 100890
Max ADI Early 57 Gen Good 23 Fair 28 Fair
Max ADI Late 61 Good 19 Gen Poor Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-220830-
Eastern Essex-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+2) 57 (-3) 65
RH % (24h trend) 51 (-32) 85 (-15) 58
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 9-13 G20 NE 5-9 NE 8-12 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 8-12 G17 NE 6-10 G17 NE 9-13 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.09
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4700 870 5210
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 15 NE 20 NE 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 61100 14790 104200
Max ADI Early 50 Gen Good 33 Fair 44 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 58 Gen Good 32 Fair Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-220830-
Western Union-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 71 (+2) 55 (-6) 64
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-34) 92 (-8) 63
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 8-12 G19 NE 4-8 NE 7-11 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 6-10 G17 NE 4-8 G17 NE 8-12 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.11
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4490 1060 5140
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 14 NE 18 NE 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 53880 16960 102800
Max ADI Early 55 Gen Good 23 Fair 34 Fair
Max ADI Late 65 Good 25 Fair Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-220830-
Eastern Union-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+2) 57 (-4) 64
RH % (24h trend) 52 (-31) 88 (-12) 61
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 10-14 G22 NE 6-10 NE 9-13 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 8-12 G20 NE 7-11 G17 NE 10-14 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.11
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4660 1830 5070
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 15 NE 21 NE 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 60580 32940 106470
Max ADI Early 52 Gen Good 32 Fair 45 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 58 Gen Good 34 Fair Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-220830-
Hudson-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+2) 57 (-4) 65
RH % (24h trend) 50 (-34) 84 (-16) 56
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 10-14 G23 NE 6-10 NE 9-13 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 8-12 G17 NE 7-11 G17 NE 10-14 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.09
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4680 250 5100
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 15 NE 20 NE 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 60840 4250 107100
Max ADI Early 52 Gen Good 32 Fair 46 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 60 Gen Good 31 Fair Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-220830-
Northern Fairfield-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 69 (+4) 49 (-6) 63
RH % (24h trend) 55 (-32) 89 (-11) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 7-11 G18 NE 4-8 NE 7-11 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 7-11 G17 NE 4-8 NE 8-12 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4790 5150
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 15 NE 13 NE 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 62270 0 87550
Max ADI Early 59 Gen Good 21 Fair 22 Fair
Max ADI Late 69 Good 17 Gen Poor Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-220830-
Southern Fairfield-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 70 (+4) 53 (-5) 65
RH % (24h trend) 54 (-34) 86 (-14) 53
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 10-14 G21 NE 6-10 NE 11-15 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 9-13 NE 8-12 G20 NE 11-15 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4490 5270
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 16 NE 20 NE 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 62860 0 100130
Max ADI Early 53 Gen Good 31 Fair 36 Fair
Max ADI Late 64 Good 27 Fair Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-220830-
Northern New Haven-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 70 (+6) 49 (-6) 65
RH % (24h trend) 54 (-34) 87 (-13) 49
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 8-12 G22 NE 3-7 NE 7-11 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 6-10 G18 NE 5-9 NE 8-12 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4970 5260
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 15 NE 12 NE 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 64610 0 89420
Max ADI Early 65 Good 18 Gen Poor 24 Fair
Max ADI Late 70 Good 19 Gen Poor Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-220830-
Southern New Haven-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 71 (+5) 52 (-6) 66
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-31) 87 (-13) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 10-14 G21 NE 5-9 NE 10-14 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 8-12 G19 NE 6-10 G17 NE 10-14 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4860 5330
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 14 NE 16 NE 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 58320 0 95940
Max ADI Early 57 Gen Good 26 Fair 32 Fair
Max ADI Late 66 Good 24 Fair Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-220830-
Northern Middlesex-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 70 (+6) 51 (-4) 64
RH % (24h trend) 52 (-36) 89 (-11) 49
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 7-11 G21 Lgt/Var NE 6-10 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 6-10 G18 N 3-7 NE 7-11 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5010 5220
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 14 NE 9 NE 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 60120 0 88740
Max ADI Early 51 Gen Good 17 Gen Poor 15 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 64 Good 12 Poor Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-220830-
Southern Middlesex-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 70 (+3) 52 (-5) 65
RH % (24h trend) 55 (-29) 88 (-12) 53
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 9-13 G21 NE 4-8 NE 9-13 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 7-11 G20 NE 6-10 G18 NE 9-13 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4730 10 5220
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 15 NE 20 NE 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 61490 170 99180
Max ADI Early 57 Gen Good 23 Fair 37 Fair
Max ADI Late 69 Good 25 Fair Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-220830-
Northern New London-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 69 (+6) 50 (-5) 64
RH % (24h trend) 54 (-28) 92 (-8) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 8-12 G20 Lgt/Var NE 7-11 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 8-12 G18 NE 3-7 NE 9-13 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4780 30 5080
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 16 NE 10 NE 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 66920 270 96520
Max ADI Early 59 Gen Good 21 Fair 15 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 72 Good 13 Gen Poor Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-220830-
Southern New London-
430 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 70 (+5) 52 (-5) 65
RH % (24h trend) 56 (-26) 89 (-11) 53
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 10-14 G21 NE 5-9 NE 10-14 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 10-14 G20 NE 6-10 G18 NE 11-15 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End 11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4530 5290
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 18 NE 16 NE 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 72480 0 105800
Max ADI Early 58 Gen Good 33 Fair 34 Fair
Max ADI Late 61 Good 25 Fair Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. Lows around
50. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds 25 to 30 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds 25 to 30 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy with a chance
of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. North
winds 25 to 35 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds
25 to 35 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds
25 to 30 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$