Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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702
FNUS51 KOKX 210611
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Windy and dry conditions expected today with a northeast flow of 15
to 20 mph and gusts up to 25 to 35 mph. Min RH values will be around
60 to 70 percent. Winds lower quickly into Friday. By the afternoon
a north flow will be under 10 kt. Min RH values on Friday will be 30
to 40 percent.


NYZ212-220615-
New York City-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Clear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      75 (+1)      60 (-2)      84
RH % (24h trend)      63 (-8)      77 (-22)     33
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 13-17 G26 NE 12-16 G29 N 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 14-18 G30 N 11-15 G24  N 5-9
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3700         520          7600
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 33        N 26         N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     107300       11960        83600
Max ADI Early         74 Good      72 Good      102 Very Good
Max ADI Late          90 Good      42 Gen Good  111 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-220615-
Long Island-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      74 (0)       59 (-3)      83
RH % (24h trend)      66 (-8)      82 (-16)     37
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 15-19 G33 NE 16-20 G32 N 11-15 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 16-20 G33 N 14-18 G31  N 5-9 G20
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3540         760          7160
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 40        N 32         N 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     123900       21280        93080
Max ADI Early         86 Good      81 Good      94 Good
Max ADI Late          103 Very Good45 Gen Good  111 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-220615-
Lower Hudson Valley-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      73 (+4)      51 (-5)      82
RH % (24h trend)      65 (-15)     92 (-8)      39
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 6-10 G22  NE 5-9 G21   N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 8-12 G22  N 5-9 G20    N 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4060                      7900
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 21        NE 16        N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     73080        0            71100
Max ADI Early         51 Gen Good  54 Gen Good  89 Good
Max ADI Late          68 Good      8 Poor       98 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-220615-
Western Passaic-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      72 (+3)      54 (-2)      82
RH % (24h trend)      68 (-13)     89 (-11)     38
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 5-9 G19   NE 4-8 G20   N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 6-10 G21  N 3-7        Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3860                      7660
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 20        N 13         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     65620        0            68940
Max ADI Early         61 Good      55 Gen Good  95 Good
Max ADI Late          78 Good      7 Poor       105 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-220615-
Eastern Passaic-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      74 (+1)      56 (-3)      84
RH % (24h trend)      65 (-10)     79 (-21)     35
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 8-12 G22  NE 7-11 G23  N 4-8 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G24  N 6-10 G20   N 3-7
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3950         200          7700
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 24        N 18         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     82950        3200         69300
Max ADI Early         63 Good      56 Gen Good  104 Very Good
Max ADI Late          66 Good      13 Gen Poor  118 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-220615-
Western Bergen-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      73 (+1)      54 (-4)      84
RH % (24h trend)      65 (-14)     84 (-16)     35
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 6-10 G21  NE 5-9 G21   N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 8-12 G23  N 5-9 G18    N 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4020                      7740
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 22        NE 16        N 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     76380        0            77400
Max ADI Early         59 Gen Good  54 Gen Good  103 Very Good
Max ADI Late          65 Good      11 Poor      118 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-220615-
Eastern Bergen-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      74 (0)       58 (-2)      84
RH % (24h trend)      63 (-9)      75 (-24)     33
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 9-13 G23  NE 8-12 G24  N 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 10-14 G25 N 7-11 G20   N 4-8
Precip Amount         0.03         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4020         240          7720
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 25        N 21         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     88440        4320         69480
Max ADI Early         64 Good      59 Gen Good  103 Very Good
Max ADI Late          71 Good      18 Gen Poor  110 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-220615-
Western Essex-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      73 (+1)      57 (-2)      83
RH % (24h trend)      68 (-7)      78 (-22)     35
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 9-13 G23  NE 8-12 G24  N 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 10-14 G24 N 7-11 G21   N 3-7
Precip Amount         0.03         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3790         150          7610
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 25        NE 23        N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     83380        3000         68490
Max ADI Early         64 Good      57 Gen Good  99 Good
Max ADI Late          69 Good      15 Gen Poor  108 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-220615-
Eastern Essex-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      74 (0)       59 (-2)      84
RH % (24h trend)      65 (-4)      71 (-28)     32
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G23 NE 9-13 G24  N 6-10 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 11-15 G25 N 8-12 G20   N 4-8
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3780         250          7680
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 28        N 23         N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     90720        5000         84480
Max ADI Early         69 Good      63 Good      106 Very Good
Max ADI Late          77 Good      33 Fair      112 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-220615-
Western Union-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      73 (0)       57 (-3)      84
RH % (24h trend)      68 (-6)      76 (-24)     34
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 8-12 G23  NE 8-12 G23  N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 10-14 G24 N 6-10 G20   N 3-7
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3640         120          7560
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 26        N 21         N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     83720        2160         60480
Max ADI Early         68 Good      59 Gen Good  98 Good
Max ADI Late          74 Good      14 Gen Poor  113 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-220615-
Eastern Union-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      75 (0)       59 (-2)      85
RH % (24h trend)      62 (-10)     73 (-26)     31
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G31 NE 9-13 G30  N 5-9 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 11-15 G33 N 7-11 G23   N 3-7
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3790         180          7650
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 29        N 21         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     94750        3240         68850
Max ADI Early         69 Good      65 Good      108 Very Good
Max ADI Late          82 Good      17 Gen Poor  118 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-220615-
Hudson-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Clear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      75 (+1)      60 (-1)      84
RH % (24h trend)      63 (-6)      75 (-23)     33
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 12-16 G24 NE 11-15 G24 N 8-12 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 13-17 G26 N 9-13 G21   N 5-9
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3770         250          7600
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 30        N 25         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     98020        5500         68400
Max ADI Early         69 Good      65 Good      100 Good
Max ADI Late          81 Good      40 Fair      109 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-220615-
Northern Fairfield-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      72 (+2)      53 (-3)      82
RH % (24h trend)      67 (-9)      86 (-14)     39
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 8-12 G22  NE 8-12 G21  N 6-10 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 10-14 G22 N 7-11 G19   N 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3980         170          7570
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 25        NE 23        N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     87560        3400         68130
Max ADI Early         55 Gen Good  58 Gen Good  107 Very Good
Max ADI Late          69 Good      15 Gen Poor  113 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-220615-
Southern Fairfield-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Clear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      75 (+3)      56 (-2)      83
RH % (24h trend)      65 (-9)      82 (-18)     37
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 11-15 G23 NE 11-15 G23 N 8-12 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 11-15 G23 N 9-13 G22   N 4-8
Precip Amount         0.05         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4020         170          7650
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 28        N 25         N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     96480        3740         84150
Max ADI Early         64 Good      65 Good      115 Very Good
Max ADI Late          79 Good      29 Fair      118 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-220615-
Northern New Haven-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      74 (+3)      54 (-1)      83
RH % (24h trend)      64 (-6)      85 (-15)     38
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 9-13 G22  NE 10-14 G22 N 7-11 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 11-15 G23 N 9-13 G21   N 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4110         250          7740
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 26        N 24         N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     94530        5250         85140
Max ADI Early         57 Gen Good  62 Good      109 Very Good
Max ADI Late          73 Good      27 Fair      118 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-220615-
Southern New Haven-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      75 (+2)      55 (-2)      83
RH % (24h trend)      63 (-6)      81 (-19)     37
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G25 NE 11-15 G25 N 9-13 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 12-16 G25 N 10-14 G24  N 5-9 G17
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3990         250          7770
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 30        N 26         N 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     103740       5750         101010
Max ADI Early         64 Good      68 Good      100 Good
Max ADI Late          83 Good      33 Fair      119 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-220615-
Northern Middlesex-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      73 (+1)      54 (-1)      83
RH % (24h trend)      65 (-2)      85 (-15)     39
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 8-12 G22  NE 10-14 G24 N 8-12 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 11-15 G23 N 9-13 G23   N 5-9 G18
Precip Amount         0.07         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3980         250          7580
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 28        N 24         N 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     95520        5250         98540
Max ADI Early         58 Gen Good  65 Good      103 Very Good
Max ADI Late          78 Good      27 Fair      115 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-220615-
Southern Middlesex-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      74 (0)       56 (-1)      83
RH % (24h trend)      64 (-5)      83 (-17)     37
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G25 NE 11-15 G26 N 9-13 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 12-16 G26 N 10-14 G25  N 5-9 G18
Precip Amount         0.05         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3810         320          7480
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 33        N 28         N 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     110490       7680         97240
Max ADI Early         69 Good      71 Good      125 Very Good
Max ADI Late          89 Good      31 Fair      131 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-220615-
Northern New London-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      72 (0)       54 (0)       82
RH % (24h trend)      68 (+2)      87 (-13)     39
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 9-13 G23  NE 10-14 G25 N 8-12 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 11-15 G24 N 9-13 G24   N 6-10 G19
Precip Amount         0.09         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3810         580          7340
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 31        N 28         N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     102870       13920        102760
Max ADI Early         66 Good      67 Good      98 Good
Max ADI Late          84 Good      31 Fair      125 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-220615-
Southern New London-
211 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      73 (0)       56 (-1)      82
RH % (24h trend)      68 (0)       85 (-15)     39
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G25 NE 11-15 G26 N 9-13 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 12-16 G27 N 10-14 G25  N 6-10 G19
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3650         820          7240
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 33        N 31         N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     105850       22140        101360
Max ADI Early         74 Good      72 Good      103 Very Good
Max ADI Late          90 Good      38 Fair      127 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs
in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs
in the upper 70s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the mid 70s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$