Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
911
FNUS51 KOKX 130623
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Wet and windy conditions continue today and Tuesday with Min RH
values likely not dropping below 70 percent. Strongest winds will be
this morning with E/NE sustained at 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 35
to 45 for most. Winds then gradually lower through Tuesday.
NYZ212-140630-
New York City-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 90 80 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (0) 54 (-2) 65
RH % (24h trend) 88 (+26) 100 (+3) 75
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 19-23 G38 NE 16-20 G33 N 12-16 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 18-22 G36 NE 14-18 G30 N 11-15 G22
Precip Amount 0.63 0.14 0.02
Precip Duration 12 8 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2810 2060 2990
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 47 NE 33 N 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 115210 59740 65780
Max ADI Early 94 Good 86 Good 62 Good
Max ADI Late 108 Very Good51 Gen Good 61 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-140630-
Long Island-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Rain
Chance Precip (%) 100 80 40
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 64 (+2) 54 (-2) 64
RH % (24h trend) 86 (+20) 100 (0) 77
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 24-28 G49 NE 19-23 G36 N 14-18 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 21-25 G43 NE 16-20 G32 N 13-17 G27
Precip Amount 0.74 0.21 0.02
Precip Duration 12 9 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3140 1780 2760
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 56 NE 39 NE 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 153860 60520 66240
Max ADI Early 132 Very Good94 Good 70 Good
Max ADI Late 135 Very Good53 Gen Good 66 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-140630-
Lower Hudson Valley-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 100 50 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-4) 47 (-4) 63
RH % (24h trend) 90 (+26) 100 (0) 75
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 14-18 G33 NE 10-14 G27 N 8-12 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 12-16 G31 N 9-13 G23 N 6-10 G19
Precip Amount 0.54 0.09 0.00
Precip Duration 10 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3100 1420 3420
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 38 NE 26 NE 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 102300 32660 61560
Max ADI Early 87 Good 71 Good 48 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 89 Good 33 Fair 51 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-140630-
Western Passaic-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 90 50 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (-6) 48 (-2) 63
RH % (24h trend) 93 (+31) 100 (0) 76
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 12-16 G30 NE 9-13 G25 N 7-11 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 10-14 G27 N 8-12 G21 N 5-9 G19
Precip Amount 0.61 0.11 0.00
Precip Duration 10 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2890 1190 3170
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 37 NE 28 N 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 92480 28560 63400
Max ADI Early 81 Good 68 Good 44 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 83 Good 30 Fair 52 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-140630-
Eastern Passaic-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 100 60 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 57 (-6) 50 (-3) 64
RH % (24h trend) 90 (+29) 100 (0) 75
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 14-18 G31 NE 10-14 G27 N 9-13 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 12-16 G30 N 9-13 G23 N 7-11 G20
Precip Amount 0.53 0.08 0.00
Precip Duration 10 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3030 1720 3380
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 38 NE 29 N 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 99990 43000 70980
Max ADI Early 86 Good 76 Good 52 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 91 Good 41 Gen Good 61 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-140630-
Western Bergen-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 90 50 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (-3) 49 (-3) 63
RH % (24h trend) 90 (+27) 100 (0) 75
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 13-17 G31 NE 9-13 G26 N 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 11-15 G29 N 9-13 G22 N 7-11 G20
Precip Amount 0.50 0.07 0.00
Precip Duration 10 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3160 1420 3310
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 37 NE 28 N 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 101120 34080 69510
Max ADI Early 83 Good 74 Good 50 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 90 Good 33 Fair 59 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-140630-
Eastern Bergen-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 90 60 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (-4) 52 (-2) 64
RH % (24h trend) 88 (+26) 100 (+1) 74
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 15-19 G34 NE 11-15 G27 N 9-13 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 13-17 G31 N 10-14 G24 N 8-12 G20
Precip Amount 0.49 0.07 0.00
Precip Duration 11 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2980 1900 3150
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 40 NE 30 N 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 104300 49400 66150
Max ADI Early 83 Good 77 Good 54 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 95 Good 43 Gen Good 60 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-140630-
Western Essex-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 100 60 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (-4) 51 (-3) 64
RH % (24h trend) 89 (+26) 100 (+1) 73
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 15-19 G31 NE 12-16 G27 N 9-13 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 13-17 G30 N 10-14 G24 N 8-12 G21
Precip Amount 0.53 0.10 0.00
Precip Duration 11 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2860 1700 3360
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 39 NE 30 N 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 97240 44200 70560
Max ADI Early 85 Good 76 Good 52 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 89 Good 42 Gen Good 61 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-140630-
Eastern Essex-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 100 70 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (-4) 54 (-1) 65
RH % (24h trend) 88 (+29) 97 (+1) 73
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 16-20 G33 NE 13-17 G27 N 10-14 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 14-18 G32 N 11-15 G24 N 8-12 G20
Precip Amount 0.51 0.10 0.00
Precip Duration 11 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2750 2110 3190
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 41 NE 31 N 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 99000 56970 66990
Max ADI Early 89 Good 79 Good 57 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 95 Good 47 Gen Good 61 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-140630-
Western Union-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 100 70 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (-4) 51 (-3) 65
RH % (24h trend) 90 (+28) 100 (+1) 75
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 15-19 G31 NE 12-16 G27 N 9-13 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 13-17 G30 N 10-14 G23 N 8-12 G20
Precip Amount 0.46 0.11 0.00
Precip Duration 11 7
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2820 1720 3360
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 40 NE 30 N 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 98700 44720 70560
Max ADI Early 84 Good 79 Good 54 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 93 Good 42 Gen Good 62 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-140630-
Eastern Union-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 100 70 10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-3) 54 (-1) 65
RH % (24h trend) 84 (+27) 96 (0) 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 16-20 G34 NE 13-17 G31 N 10-14 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 15-19 G34 N 11-15 G25 N 8-12 G22
Precip Amount 0.55 0.12 0.01
Precip Duration 11 7 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2850 2090 3300
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 41 NE 31 N 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 102600 56430 69300
Max ADI Early 86 Good 81 Good 58 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 97 Good 47 Gen Good 62 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-140630-
Hudson-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 100 70 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-2) 54 (-2) 64
RH % (24h trend) 87 (+28) 98 (+2) 73
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 17-21 G36 NE 14-18 G31 N 11-15 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 16-20 G34 N 13-17 G26 N 10-14 G22
Precip Amount 0.56 0.10 0.01
Precip Duration 12 5 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2840 2080 3050
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 44 NE 32 N 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 107920 58240 67100
Max ADI Early 88 Good 83 Good 59 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 98 Good 47 Gen Good 60 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-140630-
Northern Fairfield-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 100 60 10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (-1) 49 (-2) 62
RH % (24h trend) 92 (+27) 100 (0) 78
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 15-19 G34 NE 12-16 G27 N 9-13 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 14-18 G31 NE 10-14 G24 N 8-12 G20
Precip Amount 0.52 0.08 0.01
Precip Duration 10 4 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2880 1370 2920
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 45 NE 33 NE 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 112320 39730 61320
Max ADI Early 94 Good 77 Good 52 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 100 Good 37 Fair 55 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-140630-
Southern Fairfield-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 100 70 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (0) 51 (-2) 64
RH % (24h trend) 91 (+26) 100 (0) 78
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 19-23 G40 NE 15-19 G32 N 11-15 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 17-21 G37 NE 13-17 G29 N 9-13 G21
Precip Amount 0.46 0.07 0.02
Precip Duration 12 5 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3120 1570 2990
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 46 NE 35 NE 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 124800 47100 65780
Max ADI Early 107 Very Good85 Good 59 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 112 Very Good45 Gen Good 61 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-140630-
Northern New Haven-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 90 60 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (0) 49 (-1) 62
RH % (24h trend) 89 (+17) 100 (0) 77
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 17-21 G34 NE 14-18 G29 N 11-15 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 15-19 G32 NE 12-16 G24 N 9-13 G22
Precip Amount 0.58 0.14 0.02
Precip Duration 11 5 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2970 1410 2730
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 45 NE 36 NE 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 115830 43710 62790
Max ADI Early 98 Good 80 Good 58 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 102 Very Good39 Fair 57 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-140630-
Southern New Haven-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 100 70 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+1) 51 (-2) 63
RH % (24h trend) 88 (+19) 100 (0) 77
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 19-23 G41 NE 15-19 G32 N 12-16 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 17-21 G37 NE 13-17 G27 N 10-14 G24
Precip Amount 0.41 0.11 0.02
Precip Duration 12 5 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3020 1610 2590
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 49 NE 35 NE 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 129860 48300 62160
Max ADI Early 110 Very Good85 Good 63 Good
Max ADI Late 113 Very Good42 Gen Good 62 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-140630-
Northern Middlesex-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 90 70 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (+1) 50 (-2) 61
RH % (24h trend) 92 (+22) 100 (0) 80
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 16-20 G35 NE 13-17 G29 N 10-14 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 15-19 G33 NE 11-15 G24 N 9-13 G22
Precip Amount 0.41 0.18 0.02
Precip Duration 12 5 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2850 1470 2470
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 47 NE 35 NE 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 116850 44100 56810
Max ADI Early 99 Good 79 Good 58 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 104 Very Good39 Fair 58 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-140630-
Southern Middlesex-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 100 70 40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+2) 51 (-3) 63
RH % (24h trend) 87 (+16) 100 (0) 74
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 19-23 G43 NE 15-19 G34 N 12-16 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 17-21 G39 NE 13-17 G29 N 10-14 G24
Precip Amount 0.37 0.18 0.02
Precip Duration 12 9 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3130 1640 2530
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 53 NE 36 NE 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 143980 50840 58190
Max ADI Early 121 Very Good90 Good 65 Good
Max ADI Late 125 Very Good42 Gen Good 65 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-140630-
Northern New London-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Tstms Rain
Chance Precip (%) 100 70 40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (0) 50 (-2) 60
RH % (24h trend) 92 (+22) 100 (0) 81
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 16-20 G36 NE 14-18 G27 N 10-14 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 15-19 G34 NE 11-15 G24 N 10-14 G23
Precip Amount 0.36 0.17 0.02
Precip Duration 12 9 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2850 1450 2350
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 48 NE 35 NE 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 119700 43500 54050
Max ADI Early 104 Very Good85 Good 60 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 110 Very Good42 Gen Good 60 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-140630-
Southern New London-
223 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Tstms Rain
Chance Precip (%) 100 80 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+2) 51 (-2) 63
RH % (24h trend) 89 (+18) 100 (0) 79
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 20-24 G44 NE 15-19 G33 N 12-16 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 18-22 G40 NE 13-17 G29 N 11-15 G25
Precip Amount 0.40 0.20 0.02
Precip Duration 12 10 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3040 1510 2400
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 52 NE 37 NE 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 136800 48320 57600
Max ADI Early 116 Very Good89 Good 67 Good
Max ADI Late 121 Very Good44 Gen Good 66 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50.
Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds 15 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Breezy, clear. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs around 60. North winds 15 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs around 70. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$