Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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573
FNUS51 KOKX 040601
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather continues through this weekend with high
pressure in control. Although RH values fall into the
range of 35-45% for many spots both days, winds will be
light.

NYZ212-051000-
New York City-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      81 (+10)     60 (+6)      82
RH % (24h trend)      35 (-9)      88 (+1)      40
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5730                      6070
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  8         SW  8        S  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     40110        0            42490
Max ADI Early         16 Gen Poor  28 Fair      8 Poor
Max ADI Late          41 Gen Good  3 Very Poor  37 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-051000-
Long Island-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      79 (+9)      57 (+5)      79
RH % (24h trend)      42 (-8)      100 (+7)     46
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4950                      4890
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 10         SW  8        S  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     44550        0            29340
Max ADI Early         13 Gen Poor  29 Fair      7 Poor
Max ADI Late          44 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  24 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-051000-
Lower Hudson Valley-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      81 (+9)      51 (+5)      83
RH % (24h trend)      38 (-5)      100 (+6)     39
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5800                      7030
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW  7        SW  2        S  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     34800        0            28120
Max ADI Early         10 Poor      24 Fair      10 Poor
Max ADI Late          39 Fair      1 Very Poor  35 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-051000-
Western Passaic-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      81 (+10)     52 (+6)      83
RH % (24h trend)      37 (-9)      99 (+8)      38
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5950                      7070
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW  7        NW  1        S  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     35700        0            28280
Max ADI Early         12 Poor      22 Fair      11 Poor
Max ADI Late          42 Gen Good  1 Very Poor  38 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-051000-
Eastern Passaic-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      82 (+9)      55 (+7)      84
RH % (24h trend)      34 (-8)      94 (0)       37
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6190                      7160
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW  7        NW  2        S  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     37140        0            28640
Max ADI Early         12 Poor      28 Fair      13 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          47 Gen Good  1 Very Poor  39 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-051000-
Western Bergen-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      83 (+11)     54 (+7)      84
RH % (24h trend)      34 (-8)      95 (+2)      36
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6150                      7170
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW  7        NE  1        S  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     36900        0            28680
Max ADI Early         13 Gen Poor  27 Fair      14 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          44 Gen Good  1 Very Poor  38 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-051000-
Eastern Bergen-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      83 (+10)     57 (+8)      84
RH % (24h trend)      33 (-8)      91 (-3)      37
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6040                      6830
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW  7        S  3         S  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     36240        0            27320
Max ADI Early         12 Poor      29 Fair      13 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          47 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  39 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-051000-
Western Essex-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      82 (+10)     55 (+7)      83
RH % (24h trend)      34 (-9)      95 (+3)      37
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5980                      6940
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW  7        W  3         S  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     35880        0            27760
Max ADI Early         7 Poor       27 Fair      10 Poor
Max ADI Late          46 Gen Good  1 Very Poor  38 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-051000-
Eastern Essex-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      83 (+10)     60 (+9)      83
RH % (24h trend)      33 (-5)      85 (-5)      38
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5890                      6470
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW  7        SW  5        S  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     35340        0            32350
Max ADI Early         14 Gen Poor  29 Fair      11 Poor
Max ADI Late          48 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  43 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-051000-
Western Union-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      82 (+9)      54 (+7)      83
RH % (24h trend)      34 (-6)      95 (-1)      36
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5900                      6510
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW  7        W  3         S  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     35400        0            26040
Max ADI Early         7 Poor       28 Fair      9 Poor
Max ADI Late          47 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  36 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-051000-
Eastern Union-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      83 (+10)     58 (+8)      83
RH % (24h trend)      34 (0)       90 (-1)      37
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5820                      6270
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW  7        SW  5        S  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     34920        0            25080
Max ADI Early         16 Gen Poor  31 Fair      9 Poor
Max ADI Late          48 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  37 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-051000-
Hudson-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      82 (+10)     60 (+6)      83
RH % (24h trend)      34 (-8)      85 (-3)      39
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5760                      6250
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  6         S  7         S  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     28800        0            37500
Max ADI Early         15 Gen Poor  25 Fair      10 Poor
Max ADI Late          38 Fair      3 Very Poor  44 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-051000-
Northern Fairfield-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      80 (+9)      52 (+6)      83
RH % (24h trend)      40 (-3)      99 (+5)      43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5330                      6240
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 10        NW  2        S  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     47970        0            24960
Max ADI Early         14 Gen Poor  32 Fair      7 Poor
Max ADI Late          56 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  35 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-051000-
Southern Fairfield-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      81 (+9)      56 (+7)      81
RH % (24h trend)      39 (-5)      95 (+2)      45
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5430                      6040
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  8         W  3         SE  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     38010        0            30200
Max ADI Early         12 Poor      33 Fair      8 Poor
Max ADI Late          50 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  34 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-051000-
Northern New Haven-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      81 (+9)      53 (+8)      82
RH % (24h trend)      38 (-3)      98 (+3)      42
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5590                      6200
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW  9        W  2         S  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     44720        0            31000
Max ADI Early         23 Fair      33 Fair      7 Poor
Max ADI Late          55 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  38 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-051000-
Southern New Haven-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      80 (+9)      56 (+8)      80
RH % (24h trend)      41 (-7)      99 (+4)      47
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5030                      5780
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  9         SW  2        S  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     40240        0            28900
Max ADI Early         17 Gen Poor  30 Fair      8 Poor
Max ADI Late          48 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  33 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-051000-
Northern Middlesex-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      80 (+9)      54 (+8)      83
RH % (24h trend)      39 (-4)      100 (+7)     43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5290                      6180
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW  9        SW  1        S  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     42320        0            24720
Max ADI Early         18 Gen Poor  30 Fair      7 Poor
Max ADI Late          50 Gen Good  1 Very Poor  34 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-051000-
Southern Middlesex-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      80 (+10)     55 (+5)      81
RH % (24h trend)      42 (-7)      99 (+8)      48
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4800                      5600
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  9         SW  2        S  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     38400        0            28000
Max ADI Early         24 Fair      30 Fair      7 Poor
Max ADI Late          47 Gen Good  1 Very Poor  27 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-051000-
Northern New London-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      79 (+9)      51 (+7)      82
RH % (24h trend)      39 (-8)      100 (+3)     43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4850                      6100
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW  9        W  2         S  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     38800        0            30500
Max ADI Early         11 Poor      31 Fair      9 Poor
Max ADI Late          50 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  35 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-051000-
Southern New London-
201 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      79 (+10)     54 (+6)      80
RH % (24h trend)      44 (-11)     100 (+3)     50
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4620                      5040
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  9         W  3         S  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     36960        0            30240
Max ADI Early         11 Poor      29 Fair      6 Very Poor
Max ADI Late          46 Gen Good  1 Very Poor  29 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog through the
night. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$