Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
967
FNUS51 KOKX 180832
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure slides well offshore today. A cold front approaches
late Saturday and moves through Saturday night into early Sunday
morning.
Marginally elevated risk for brush fire spread for the late
morning into the mid afternoon today as RH levels drop into the
lower to mid 30 percent range away from the south coasts and
frequent winds gusts increase to the 20 to 30 mph range. Southerly
wind gusts continue to increase to 25 to 35 mph late this
afternoon into evening, while increasing RH levels to 35 to 50%
range. Temps will be near seasonable for LI and CT, and several
degrees above normal west of the Hudson River.
Min rhs values will further moderate into the 40 to 50 percent
range on Saturday, with southwest winds of 15 to 20 mph with
gusts
25 to 35 mph. Temps will be 10 to 20 degrees above normal on
Saturday.
NYZ212-190845-
New York City-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 68 (+8) 52 (+9) 83
RH % (24h trend) 32 (+11) 79 (+26) 40
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 13-17 G36 SW 10-14 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 14-18 G36 S 8-12 G21 SW 15-19 G30
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4670 20 4670
Transport Wnd (mph) S 28 S 32 SW 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 112080 560 149440
Max ADI Early 81 Good 36 Fair 88 Good
Max ADI Late 98 Good 24 Fair 121 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-190845-
Long Island-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+5) 48 (+10) 77
RH % (24h trend) 32 (+7) 87 (+17) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 14-18 G33 SW 11-15 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 12-16 G33 SW 10-14 G23 SW 14-18 G30
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3600 100 2700
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 26 S 38 SW 38
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 82800 3300 89100
Max ADI Early 56 Gen Good 30 Fair 43 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 82 Good 27 Fair 47 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-190845-
Lower Hudson Valley-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 70 (+12) 52 (+19) 82
RH % (24h trend) 29 (+8) 80 (+10) 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 7-11 G25 SW 6-10 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 11-15 G29 S 3-7 SW 12-16 G27
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5380 210 5740
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 30 S 15 W 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 139880 2730 172200
Max ADI Early 100 Good 104 Very Good93 Good
Max ADI Late 138 Very Good17 Gen Poor 128 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-190845-
Western Passaic-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 70 (+12) 54 (+21) 82
RH % (24h trend) 31 (+9) 81 (+13) 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 5-9 G24 SW 5-9 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 10-14 G25 Lgt/Var W 11-15 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5520 460 5750
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 29 SW 17 W 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 138000 6900 178250
Max ADI Early 103 Very Good137 Very Good114 Very Good
Max ADI Late 178 Very Good13 Gen Poor 162 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-190845-
Eastern Passaic-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 71 (+10) 56 (+19) 83
RH % (24h trend) 30 (+9) 82 (+15) 40
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 7-11 G26 SW 6-10 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 11-15 G29 SW 3-7 W 13-17 G27
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5450 80 6020
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 29 S 13 W 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 136250 880 192640
Max ADI Early 104 Very Good112 Very Good92 Good
Max ADI Late 145 Very Good13 Gen Poor 138 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-190845-
Western Bergen-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 70 (+10) 54 (+18) 83
RH % (24h trend) 30 (+9) 82 (+17) 40
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 7-11 G24 SW 5-9 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 10-14 G27 Lgt/Var SW 13-17 G27
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5370 180 6060
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 28 S 13 W 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 128880 1980 187860
Max ADI Early 101 Very Good110 Very Good91 Good
Max ADI Late 146 Very Good12 Poor 132 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-190845-
Eastern Bergen-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 69 (+8) 54 (+14) 84
RH % (24h trend) 30 (+9) 80 (+23) 38
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 8-12 G26 SW 7-11 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 11-15 G29 S 4-8 SW 14-18 G29
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5040 110 5680
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 29 S 16 W 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 126000 1540 181760
Max ADI Early 102 Very Good102 Very Good94 Good
Max ADI Late 139 Very Good18 Gen Poor 134 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-190845-
Western Essex-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 71 (+10) 55 (+18) 83
RH % (24h trend) 30 (+10) 79 (+11) 39
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 8-12 G26 SW 7-11 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 11-15 G27 SW 4-8 W 14-18 G27
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5450 50 5550
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 29 S 14 W 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 136250 600 177600
Max ADI Early 102 Very Good111 Very Good92 Good
Max ADI Late 145 Very Good17 Gen Poor 138 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-190845-
Eastern Essex-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+10) 56 (+16) 84
RH % (24h trend) 29 (+10) 76 (+26) 40
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 9-13 G26 SW 8-12 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 11-15 G29 SW 6-10 G17 SW 14-18 G27
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5270 120 5170
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 29 S 20 W 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 131750 2040 165440
Max ADI Early 101 Very Good109 Very Good98 Good
Max ADI Late 144 Very Good17 Gen Poor 139 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-190845-
Western Union-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+10) 56 (+19) 84
RH % (24h trend) 30 (+10) 77 (+8) 40
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 8-12 G26 SW 8-12 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 11-15 G27 SW 4-8 SW 13-17 G26
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5510 90 5490
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 29 S 13 W 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 137750 990 170190
Max ADI Early 99 Good 111 Very Good95 Good
Max ADI Late 145 Very Good16 Gen Poor 143 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-190845-
Eastern Union-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+9) 56 (+16) 84
RH % (24h trend) 28 (+9) 77 (+24) 38
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 9-13 G26 SW 8-12 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 11-15 G29 SW 5-9 G18 SW 15-19 G30
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5410 120 5360
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 29 S 18 W 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 135250 1920 171520
Max ADI Early 105 Very Good109 Very Good100 Good
Max ADI Late 145 Very Good17 Gen Poor 143 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-190845-
Hudson-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 70 (+9) 55 (+12) 84
RH % (24h trend) 30 (+11) 76 (+30) 39
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 10-14 G27 SW 9-13 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 12-16 G29 SW 7-11 G19 SW 14-18 G30
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4780 130 4600
Transport Wnd (mph) S 26 S 21 W 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 109940 2340 147200
Max ADI Early 97 Good 96 Good 97 Good
Max ADI Late 129 Very Good22 Fair 134 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-190845-
Northern Fairfield-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 66 (+7) 51 (+17) 81
RH % (24h trend) 29 (+10) 84 (+25) 44
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 9-13 G25 SW 7-11 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 11-15 G25 S 4-8 SW 12-16 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4770 80 5010
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 25 S 13 W 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 104940 880 145290
Max ADI Early 88 Good 64 Good 92 Good
Max ADI Late 110 Very Good16 Gen Poor 126 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-190845-
Southern Fairfield-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 65 (+6) 50 (+11) 82
RH % (24h trend) 30 (+9) 88 (+30) 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 9-13 G25 SW 7-11 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 10-14 G25 S 4-8 SW 12-16 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4640 60 3880
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 25 S 25 W 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 102080 1320 112520
Max ADI Early 79 Good 57 Gen Good 88 Good
Max ADI Late 108 Very Good19 Gen Poor 117 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-190845-
Northern New Haven-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 64 (+5) 51 (+18) 82
RH % (24h trend) 28 (+11) 86 (+26) 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 9-13 G26 SW 6-10 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 12-16 G27 S 4-8 SW 12-16 G26
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4710 80 4900
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 26 S 12 W 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 108330 800 147000
Max ADI Early 83 Good 79 Good 89 Good
Max ADI Late 112 Very Good17 Gen Poor 139 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-190845-
Southern New Haven-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+4) 49 (+12) 79
RH % (24h trend) 29 (+7) 90 (+30) 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 7-11 G24 SW 6-10 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 10-14 G25 S 4-8 SW 12-16 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4430 70 3430
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 26 S 22 SW 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 101890 1330 99470
Max ADI Early 59 Gen Good 62 Good 65 Good
Max ADI Late 100 Good 18 Gen Poor 64 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-190845-
Northern Middlesex-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 64 (+5) 50 (+14) 80
RH % (24h trend) 28 (+11) 85 (+33) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 10-14 G26 SW 8-12 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 11-15 G27 S 6-10 G17 SW 13-17 G26
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4670 90 3920
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 24 S 17 W 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 98070 1350 117600
Max ADI Early 80 Good 80 Good 74 Good
Max ADI Late 113 Very Good21 Fair 140 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-190845-
Southern Middlesex-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+4) 48 (+10) 76
RH % (24h trend) 30 (+6) 90 (+43) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 8-12 G23 SW 8-12 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 9-13 G24 SW 6-10 G17 SW 12-16 G26
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4130 50 2870
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 25 S 22 SW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 90860 950 88970
Max ADI Early 61 Good 63 Good 59 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 97 Good 19 Gen Poor 58 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-190845-
Northern New London-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+5) 48 (+15) 78
RH % (24h trend) 28 (+4) 87 (+27) 49
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 9-13 G25 SW 8-12 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 11-15 G26 SW 6-10 SW 13-17 G26
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4460 100 3080
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 22 SW 16 SW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 84740 1400 95480
Max ADI Early 78 Good 78 Good 72 Good
Max ADI Late 108 Very Good22 Fair 97 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-190845-
Southern New London-
432 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+3) 47 (+12) 74
RH % (24h trend) 32 (+2) 89 (+26) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 9-13 G23 SW 8-12 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 10-14 G24 SW 6-10 SW 12-16 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3660 60 2420
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 26 S 22 SW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 84180 1140 75020
Max ADI Early 58 Gen Good 59 Gen Good 49 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 88 Good 20 Gen Poor 48 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. A chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum
RH 32 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 70. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$