Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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160
FNUS51 KOKX 160543
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.DISCUSSION...
It will be dry thru Fri, with min RH in the 20s and 30s today and
in the 30s on Fri. Gusty NW winds today, decreasing on Fri.


NYZ212-170645-
New York City-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      60 (-6)      43 (-5)      63
RH % (24h trend)      32 (-24)     64 (-5)      36
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 8-12 G20   N 9-13 G23   N 8-12 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 11-15 G24  N 9-13 G21   N 8-12 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5300         320          4620
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 26         N 18         N 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     121900       5120         60060
Max ADI Early         85 Good
Max ADI Late          96 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-170645-
Long Island-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Clear        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      58 (-7)      42 (-5)      63
RH % (24h trend)      40 (-18)     75 (+1)      43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 11-15 G24  N 13-17 G26  N 10-14 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 13-17 G25  N 11-15 G24  N 8-12 G19
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5060         350          4660
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 29         N 23         N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     126500       7000         69900
Max ADI Early         74 Good
Max ADI Late          90 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-170645-
Lower Hudson Valley-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      57 (-6)      34 (-6)      60
RH % (24h trend)      34 (-21)     74 (-2)      37
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 5-9 G21    N 6-10 G21   N 4-8 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 9-13 G24   N 4-8 G17    N 5-9 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5130         280          4330
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 26         N 13         N 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     117990       3080         56290
Max ADI Early         85 Good
Max ADI Late          116 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-170645-
Western Passaic-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      57 (-6)      37 (-4)      61
RH % (24h trend)      34 (-16)     72 (-1)      38
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 5-9 G21    N 5-9 G22    N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 7-11 G23   N 3-7        N 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5190         240          4260
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 28         N 14         N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     124560       2880         46860
Max ADI Early         82 Good
Max ADI Late          116 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-170645-
Eastern Passaic-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      59 (-7)      38 (-6)      62
RH % (24h trend)      33 (-16)     66 (-5)      36
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 5-9 G21   N 6-10 G22   N 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 8-12 G24   N 4-8        N 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5540         380          4550
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 25         N 13         N 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     121880       4180         54600
Max ADI Early         92 Good
Max ADI Late          122 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-170645-
Western Bergen-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      58 (-7)      38 (-4)      62
RH % (24h trend)      33 (-18)     68 (-5)      37
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 4-8 G19    N 4-8 G21    N 4-8 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 7-11 G23   N 3-7        N 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5480         360          4310
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 26         N 14         N 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     126040       4320         51720
Max ADI Early         91 Good
Max ADI Late          122 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-170645-
Eastern Bergen-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      59 (-7)      40 (-5)      62
RH % (24h trend)      32 (-21)     67 (-5)      36
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 5-9 G19    N 6-10 G22   N 6-10 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 8-12 G23   N 4-8        N 6-10 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5610         430          4540
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 25         N 15         N 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     123420       5590         54480
Max ADI Early         89 Good
Max ADI Late          126 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-170645-
Western Essex-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      59 (-7)      40 (-4)      62
RH % (24h trend)      32 (-15)     67 (-3)      33
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 6-10 G22  N 7-11 G22   N 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 9-13 G24   N 5-9        N 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5500         290          4860
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 26         N 14         N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     126500       3480         53460
Max ADI Early         92 Good
Max ADI Late          118 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-170645-
Eastern Essex-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      60 (-7)      43 (-3)      63
RH % (24h trend)      32 (-13)     61 (-6)      33
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 6-10 G20  N 7-11 G22   N 6-10 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 10-14 G23  N 5-9        N 6-10
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5700         480          5020
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 25         N 13         N 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     125400       5280         60240
Max ADI Early         97 Good
Max ADI Late          124 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-170645-
Western Union-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      60 (-7)      40 (-4)      63
RH % (24h trend)      32 (-11)     64 (-5)      32
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 6-10 G21  N 6-10 G22   N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 8-12 G24   N 4-8        N 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5670         380          5200
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 26         N 14         N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     130410       4560         57200
Max ADI Early         80 Good
Max ADI Late          115 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-170645-
Eastern Union-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      61 (-7)      42 (-4)      63
RH % (24h trend)      29 (-12)     61 (-5)      32
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 6-10 G21  N 7-11 G23   N 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 9-13 G27   N 4-8        N 5-9 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5700         500          5290
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 26         N 13         N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     131100       5500         58190
Max ADI Early         86 Good
Max ADI Late          121 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-170645-
Hudson-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      59 (-7)      43 (-5)      63
RH % (24h trend)      31 (-20)     63 (-4)      35
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 8-12 G19  N 8-12 G22   N 7-11 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 11-15 G23  N 7-11 G17   N 7-11 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5720         430          4800
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 26         N 16         N 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     131560       6020         57600
Max ADI Early         82 Good
Max ADI Late          93 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-170645-
Northern Fairfield-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Clear        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      56 (-6)      37 (-5)      60
RH % (24h trend)      41 (-17)     76 (-2)      46
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 8-12 G22   N 8-12 G22   N 8-12 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 11-15 G24  N 7-11 G17   N 8-12 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4590         310          4100
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 29         N 15         N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     114750       4030         57400
Max ADI Early         70 Good
Max ADI Late          84 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-170645-
Southern Fairfield-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Clear        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      57 (-7)      39 (-6)      61
RH % (24h trend)      41 (-19)     72 (-2)      44
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 8-12 G21   N 9-13 G23   N 9-13 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 11-15 G24  N 9-13 G21   N 8-12 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4600         340          4240
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 29         N 20         N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     115000       5780         59360
Max ADI Early         72 Good
Max ADI Late          87 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-170645-
Northern New Haven-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      56 (-7)      37 (-5)      62
RH % (24h trend)      39 (-11)     76 (-1)      44
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 9-13 G22   N 9-13 G23   N 7-11 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 12-16 G25  N 6-10 G18   N 7-11 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4840         290          4520
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 28         N 13         N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     116160       3190         63280
Max ADI Early         72 Good
Max ADI Late          88 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-170645-
Southern New Haven-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      57 (-8)      39 (-5)      62
RH % (24h trend)      40 (-14)     73 (-2)      44
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 9-13 G22   N 10-14 G24  N 8-12 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 11-15 G24  N 8-12 G21   N 8-12 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4810         400          4590
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 28         N 16         N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     115440       5600         64260
Max ADI Early         76 Good
Max ADI Late          91 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-170645-
Northern Middlesex-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      55 (-9)      38 (-3)      61
RH % (24h trend)      40 (-6)      77 (-2)      46
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 8-12 G23   N 9-13 G24   N 7-11 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 12-16 G26  N 6-10 G20   N 7-11 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4980         280          4400
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 28         N 13         N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     119520       3080         66000
Max ADI Early         72 Good
Max ADI Late          90 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-170645-
Southern Middlesex-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      57 (-9)      39 (-4)      62
RH % (24h trend)      39 (-15)     75 (-1)      43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 9-13 G22   N 10-14 G25  N 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 11-15 G24  N 7-11 G23   N 7-11 G19
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4910         470          4530
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 28         N 18         N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     117840       7520         63420
Max ADI Early         72 Good
Max ADI Late          92 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-170645-
Northern New London-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      55 (-9)      38 (-2)      61
RH % (24h trend)      41 (-7)      79 (-2)      47
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 8-12 G23  N 8-12 G23   N 7-11 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 11-15 G25  N 6-10 G20   N 7-11 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5230         340          4870
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 26         N 13         N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     120290       3740         68180
Max ADI Early         67 Good
Max ADI Late          80 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-170645-
Southern New London-
143 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      56 (-9)      39 (-3)      63
RH % (24h trend)      41 (-12)     78 (0)       45
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 8-12 G22   N 9-13 G24   N 7-11 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 11-15 G24  N 7-11 G21   N 7-11 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5110         420          4900
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 26         N 16         N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     117530       5880         68600
Max ADI Early         67 Good
Max ADI Late          80 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs
in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Showers likely.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 20 to
25 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$