Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
985
FNUS51 KOKX 170749
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Offshore high pressure will move east today. A pre-frontal
trough will move through this afternoon and evening, followed by
a cold front later tonight. Strong high pressure will then
build southeast from Ontario and Quebec into New England on
Monday.
NYZ212-181000-
New York City-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 30 0
Temp (24h trend) 92 (+11) 66 (-7) 75
RH % (24h trend) 46 (-19) 88 (+1) 65
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 5-9 SW 6-10 G19 NE 14-18 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 8-12 G21 N 11-15 G26 NE 9-13 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.13 0.01
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5210 520 3630
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 14 SW 10 E 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 62520 4680 43560
Max ADI Early 40 Fair 13 Gen Poor 40 Fair
Max ADI Late 55 Gen Good 20 Gen Poor 40 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-181000-
Long Island-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 87 (+6) 63 (-8) 75
RH % (24h trend) 57 (-6) 98 (+6) 59
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 5-9 SW 6-10 G19 NE 14-18 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 8-12 G21 N 9-13 G25 NE 10-14 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.09 0.01
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3040 540 3260
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 SW 13 E 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 42560 5940 48900
Max ADI Early 39 Fair 15 Gen Poor 50 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 42 Gen Good 24 Fair 50 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-181000-
Lower Hudson Valley-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 91 (+7) 57 (-11) 75
RH % (24h trend) 45 (-13) 94 (-2) 61
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var NW 3-7 NE 7-11 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 4-8 N 7-11 G22 NE 4-8 G17
Precip Amount 0.08 0.08 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6300 290 3930
Transport Wnd (mph) W 13 NW 8 NE 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 69300 2030 31440
Max ADI Early 38 Fair 11 Poor 34 Fair
Max ADI Late 78 Good 18 Gen Poor 34 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-181000-
Western Passaic-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 91 (+4) 59 (-10) 73
RH % (24h trend) 47 (-5) 93 (-2) 65
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6-10 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 3-7 N 7-11 G17 NE 3-7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.09 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6510 150 3950
Transport Wnd (mph) W 13 NW 7 E 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 71610 900 31600
Max ADI Early 50 Gen Good 11 Poor 32 Fair
Max ADI Late 86 Good 20 Gen Poor 32 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-181000-
Eastern Passaic-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 93 (+4) 62 (-9) 75
RH % (24h trend) 43 (-13) 87 (-5) 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6-10 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 N 5-9 E 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.20 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7000 420 4060
Transport Wnd (mph) W 14 W 7 E 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 84000 2520 36540
Max ADI Early 42 Gen Good 8 Poor 44 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 102 Very Good21 Fair 44 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-181000-
Western Bergen-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 93 (+5) 60 (-10) 75
RH % (24h trend) 44 (-9) 90 (-3) 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 7-11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 N 7-11 G18 NE 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.15 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7050 270 4040
Transport Wnd (mph) W 13 W 6 E 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 77550 1350 32320
Max ADI Early 46 Gen Good 9 Poor 38 Fair
Max ADI Late 95 Good 19 Gen Poor 38 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-181000-
Eastern Bergen-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 93 (+6) 63 (-8) 75
RH % (24h trend) 42 (-15) 84 (-7) 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SW 3-7 NE 8-12 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6-10 N 7-11 G21 NE 5-9 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6960 550 4110
Transport Wnd (mph) W 14 N 8 E 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 83520 3850 41100
Max ADI Early 43 Gen Good 13 Gen Poor 36 Fair
Max ADI Late 101 Very Good19 Gen Poor 36 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-181000-
Western Essex-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 92 (+4) 63 (-7) 74
RH % (24h trend) 44 (-13) 87 (-6) 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6-10 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 N 5-9 G18 E 5-9 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.22 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6830 350 3710
Transport Wnd (mph) W 14 NW 7 E 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 81960 2100 33390
Max ADI Early 39 Fair 8 Poor 43 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 100 Good 21 Fair 43 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-181000-
Eastern Essex-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 30 0
Temp (24h trend) 93 (+6) 66 (-6) 75
RH % (24h trend) 40 (-16) 81 (-8) 65
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 W 4-8 NE 10-14 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 7-11 N 10-14 G25 NE 6-10 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7020 500 3680
Transport Wnd (mph) W 14 NE 21 E 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 84240 9000 44160
Max ADI Early 44 Gen Good 17 Gen Poor 40 Fair
Max ADI Late 100 Good 19 Gen Poor 40 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-181000-
Western Union-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 30 0
Temp (24h trend) 93 (+6) 64 (-5) 75
RH % (24h trend) 44 (-15) 86 (-10) 68
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 3-7 NE 8-12 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 N 7-11 G21 NE 5-9 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.16 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6910 470 3330
Transport Wnd (mph) W 14 NW 10 E 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 82920 4230 36630
Max ADI Early 45 Gen Good 17 Gen Poor 41 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 101 Very Good24 Fair 41 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-181000-
Eastern Union-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 30 0
Temp (24h trend) 94 (+9) 66 (-5) 75
RH % (24h trend) 41 (-17) 84 (-5) 64
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 W 5-9 N 11-15 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6-10 N 11-15 G25 NE 6-10 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.12 0.01
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6640 580 3390
Transport Wnd (mph) W 14 NE 21 E 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 79680 10440 40680
Max ADI Early 46 Gen Good 18 Gen Poor 41 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 93 Good 24 Fair 41 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-181000-
Hudson-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 30 0
Temp (24h trend) 92 (+8) 66 (-6) 75
RH % (24h trend) 42 (-21) 83 (-6) 64
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 SW 5-9 NE 12-16 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 7-11 N 10-14 G26 NE 7-11 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.15 0.01
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6460 530 3710
Transport Wnd (mph) W 15 NE 21 E 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 83980 9540 44520
Max ADI Early 45 Gen Good 14 Gen Poor 37 Fair
Max ADI Late 81 Good 19 Gen Poor 37 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-181000-
Northern Fairfield-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 89 (+5) 60 (-9) 75
RH % (24h trend) 49 (-14) 96 (+2) 58
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var NE 9-13 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 NE 7-11 G21 NE 6-10 G18
Precip Amount 0.05 0.09 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5720 330 4040
Transport Wnd (mph) W 13 NW 7 NE 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 62920 1980 32320
Max ADI Early 39 Fair 10 Poor 35 Fair
Max ADI Late 73 Good 18 Gen Poor 35 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-181000-
Southern Fairfield-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 90 (+7) 62 (-9) 76
RH % (24h trend) 49 (-12) 95 (+4) 59
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 SW 4-8 NE 11-15 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6-10 N 10-14 G23 NE 7-11 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.12 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4760 480 3970
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 13 W 8 E 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 52360 3360 39700
Max ADI Early 37 Fair 11 Poor 39 Fair
Max ADI Late 53 Gen Good 22 Fair 39 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-181000-
Northern New Haven-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 90 (+6) 61 (-6) 77
RH % (24h trend) 50 (-15) 93 (-4) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 9-13 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 N 8-12 G22 NE 6-10 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.10 0.01
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5840 350 4320
Transport Wnd (mph) W 14 N 7 NE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 70080 2100 43200
Max ADI Early 41 Gen Good 10 Poor 37 Fair
Max ADI Late 77 Good 20 Gen Poor 37 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-181000-
Southern New Haven-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 89 (+6) 61 (-10) 78
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-10) 94 (0) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 SW 3-7 NE 11-15 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6-10 N 8-12 G23 NE 7-11 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.01
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3540 590 4130
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 10 NE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 46020 5310 41300
Max ADI Early 39 Fair 14 Gen Poor 41 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 49 Gen Good 25 Fair 41 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-181000-
Northern Middlesex-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 89 (+3) 61 (-6) 77
RH % (24h trend) 49 (-2) 96 (-1) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 N 6-10 G20 NE 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.17 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5120 550 4590
Transport Wnd (mph) W 15 N 12 NE 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 66560 5500 41310
Max ADI Early 40 Fair 11 Poor 40 Fair
Max ADI Late 79 Good 18 Gen Poor 40 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-181000-
Southern Middlesex-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 87 (+5) 62 (-6) 77
RH % (24h trend) 55 (-6) 97 (0) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 SW 3-7 NE 10-14 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6-10 N 8-12 G21 NE 6-10 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3030 510 4140
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 12 NE 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 39390 5100 45540
Max ADI Early 38 Fair 14 Gen Poor 44 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 46 Gen Good 24 Fair 44 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-181000-
Northern New London-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 87 (+4) 60 (-4) 76
RH % (24h trend) 54 (-1) 97 (-2) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 9-13 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 N 7-11 G21 NE 7-11 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.14 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4500 680 4710
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 NE 16 NE 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 63000 9520 51810
Max ADI Early 41 Gen Good 11 Poor 44 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 76 Good 16 Gen Poor 44 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-181000-
Southern New London-
349 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 85 (+7) 61 (-6) 76
RH % (24h trend) 62 (-8) 98 (0) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 SW 3-7 NE 13-17 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6-10 N 9-13 G23 NE 9-13 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.14 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2960 530 4420
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 SW 12 NE 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 41440 5300 53040
Max ADI Early 39 Fair 12 Poor 45 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 52 Gen Good 20 Gen Poor 45 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the mid 70s. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Northeast winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Rainfall above normal.
$$