Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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FNUS51 KOKX 200816
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front pushes well south of the area today. High pressure
builds in tonight and gradually slides east on Monday.

Elevated wildfire spread threat exists today with continued dry
conditions, highs in the 60s, northwest winds of 15-20G25-30 mph
and min RH values in the lower to mid 20 percent range. SPS for
elevated threat of fire spread has been coordinated for
southeastern NY and CT with state land and fire management
partners and neighboring offices.

For Monday, southeasterly winds of 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20
mph and min RH values in the 20 to 30 percent range for much of
eastern LI and southern CT, and 30 to 40 percent range for areas
farther west.


NYZ212-210830-
New York City-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      68 (-14)     43 (-13)     58
RH % (24h trend)      19           66 (-7)      38
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 14-18 G30 N 6-10 G21   E 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 13-17 G29 NE 3-7       SE 7-11 G20
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5150                      3490
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 21        N 13         S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     92700        0            48860
Max ADI Early         111 Very Good6 Very Poor  Very Poor
Max ADI Late          110 Very Good6 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-210830-
Long Island-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (-6)      38 (-15)     57
RH % (24h trend)      21           80 (-5)      32
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 12-16 G30 NW 4-8 G19   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 11-15 G29 Lgt/Var      S 6-10 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5150                      3350
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 26        NW 12        S 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     118450       0            30150
Max ADI Early         115 Very Good6 Very Poor  Very Poor
Max ADI Late          129 Very Good5 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-210830-
Lower Hudson Valley-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      64 (-18)     33 (-19)     60
RH % (24h trend)      22           81 (+4)      31
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 12-16 G27 NW 3-7 G19   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 12-16 G27 Lgt/Var      S 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5420         40           4070
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 25        N  7         S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     119240       240          40700
Max ADI Early         111 Very Good6 Very Poor  Very Poor
Max ADI Late          134 Very Good2 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-210830-
Western Passaic-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      64 (-18)     37 (-15)     59
RH % (24h trend)      22           72 (-3)      37
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 10-14 G25 Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 10-14 G25 Lgt/Var      S 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5050                      3820
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 24        N  5         S 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     106050       0            49660
Max ADI Early         108 Very Good6 Very Poor  Very Poor
Max ADI Late          117 Very Good1 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-210830-
Eastern Passaic-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (-19)     39 (-16)     59
RH % (24h trend)      20           69 (-3)      37
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 10-14 G25 Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 10-14 G25 Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5330                      3820
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 23         N  5         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     106600       0            45840
Max ADI Early         113 Very Good5 Very Poor  Very Poor
Max ADI Late          114 Very Good2 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-210830-
Western Bergen-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      67 (-17)     38 (-16)     59
RH % (24h trend)      21           69 (-4)      37
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 11-15 G26 Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 11-15 G26 Lgt/Var      S 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5370                      3960
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 24        N  6         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     112770       0            47520
Max ADI Early         115 Very Good6 Very Poor  Very Poor
Max ADI Late          121 Very Good2 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-210830-
Eastern Bergen-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      67 (-18)     42 (-14)     59
RH % (24h trend)      20           63 (-10)     35
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 12-16 G27 NW 4-8 G18   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 11-15 G27 Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5250                      3910
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 24        N  8         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     110250       0            46920
Max ADI Early         110 Very Good6 Very Poor  Very Poor
Max ADI Late          120 Very Good3 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-210830-
Western Essex-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      67 (-18)     40 (-15)     59
RH % (24h trend)      21           67 (-3)      37
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 10-14 G26 N 3-7 G18    Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 10-14 G26 Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5180                      3650
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 21         N  7         S 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     93240        0            47450
Max ADI Early         107 Very Good5 Very Poor  Very Poor
Max ADI Late          108 Very Good2 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-210830-
Eastern Essex-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      68 (-19)     42 (-14)     59
RH % (24h trend)      19           61 (-6)      38
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 13-17 G29 N 5-9 G21    Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 12-16 G27 Lgt/Var      SE 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5260                      3540
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 21        N 10         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     94680        0            42480
Max ADI Early         106 Very Good5 Very Poor  Very Poor
Max ADI Late          110 Very Good3 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-210830-
Western Union-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      68 (-17)     41 (-15)     61
RH % (24h trend)      20           66 (-5)      39
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 11-15 G27 N 4-8 G18    Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 11-15 G26 Lgt/Var      SE 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5210                      3520
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 20        N  8         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     88570        0            42240
Max ADI Early         99 Good      5 Very Poor  Very Poor
Max ADI Late          106 Very Good2 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-210830-
Eastern Union-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      69 (-17)     44 (-13)     60
RH % (24h trend)      19           64 (-3)      39
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 14-18 G30 N 6-10 G22   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 12-16 G29 Lgt/Var      SE 6-10 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5260                      3410
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 21        N 10         S 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     94680        0            44330
Max ADI Early         105 Very Good5 Very Poor  Very Poor
Max ADI Late          108 Very Good2 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-210830-
Hudson-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      68 (-17)     43 (-14)     59
RH % (24h trend)      19           61 (-8)      37
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 13-17 G30 N 5-9 G22    E 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 12-16 G27 NE 3-7       SE 6-10 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5210                      3590
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 21        N 12         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     93780        0            43080
Max ADI Early         107 Very Good5 Very Poor  Very Poor
Max ADI Late          97 Good      7 Poor       Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-210830-
Northern Fairfield-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      63 (-20)     31 (-21)     58
RH % (24h trend)      22           84 (+8)      27
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 11-15 G27 NW 3-7 G18   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 12-16 G27 Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5120         10           3990
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 30        NW  6        S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     133120       50           39900
Max ADI Early         130 Very Good8 Poor       Very Poor
Max ADI Late          128 Very Good3 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-210830-
Southern Fairfield-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      65 (-16)     38 (-15)     59
RH % (24h trend)      21           68 (-13)     31
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 12-16 G29 NW 3-7 G18   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 12-16 G29 Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5250         40           3760
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 28        N  6         S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     126000       200          37600
Max ADI Early         120 Very Good7 Poor       Very Poor
Max ADI Late          147 Very Good4 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-210830-
Northern New Haven-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      63 (-20)     32 (-19)     59
RH % (24h trend)      21           77 (-1)      25
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 11-15 G27 NW 3-7 G19   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 12-16 G27 Lgt/Var      S 5-9 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5300                      4140
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 30        N  6         SW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     137800       0            37260
Max ADI Early         130 Very Good8 Poor       Very Poor
Max ADI Late          130 Very Good2 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-210830-
Southern New Haven-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      64 (-12)     35 (-17)     58
RH % (24h trend)      21           74 (-7)      27
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 10-14 G27 NW 3-7 G18   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 11-15 G26 Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5170         40           3780
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 29        N  5         S 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     129250       160          34020
Max ADI Early         133 Very Good8 Poor       Very Poor
Max ADI Late          129 Very Good2 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-210830-
Northern Middlesex-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      62 (-18)     35 (-17)     60
RH % (24h trend)      23           70 (-7)      26
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 12-16 G29 NW 4-8 G19   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 13-17 G27 Lgt/Var      S 6-10 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5420                      4100
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 31        NW  8        SW  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     146340       0            32800
Max ADI Early         138 Very Good9 Poor       Very Poor
Max ADI Late          134 Very Good2 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-210830-
Southern Middlesex-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      64 (-9)      39 (-13)     57
RH % (24h trend)      22           68 (-14)     28
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 10-14 G26 NW 4-8 G19   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 11-15 G26 Lgt/Var      S 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5260         20           3650
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 29        NW  8        S  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     131500       140          29200
Max ADI Early         127 Very Good8 Poor       Very Poor
Max ADI Late          150 Very Good2 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-210830-
Northern New London-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      62 (-16)     33 (-19)     60
RH % (24h trend)      23           72 (-9)      28
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 11-15 G27 NW 4-8 G19   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 12-16 G27 Lgt/Var      S 6-10 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5420                      4010
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 30        N  8         S  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     140920       0            28070
Max ADI Early         137 Very Good7 Poor       Very Poor
Max ADI Late          130 Very Good2 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-210830-
Southern New London-
416 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      63 (-9)      34 (-17)     56
RH % (24h trend)      24           71 (-13)     32
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 11-15 G27 NW 4-8 G19   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 12-16 G29 Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5130                      3530
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 29        NW  9        S  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     128250       0            21180
Max ADI Early         129 Very Good5 Very Poor  Very Poor
Max ADI Late          156 Very Good2 Very Poor  Very Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows
in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$