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Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Versions:
1
595 FGUS74 KOHX 111955 ESFOHX TNC003-015-021-027-031-035-037-041-043-049-055-061-081-083-085-087- 099-101-111-117-119-125-133-135-137-141-147-149-159-161-165-169-175- 177-181-185-187-189-130000- Hydrologic Outlook National Weather Service Nashville TN 155 PM CST Tue Feb 11 2025 ...There is an increased chance for flooding of area rivers this weekend into early next week... There is an increasing probability of widespread rainfall amounts of 3 inches or more from Friday night through Sunday. This could lead to flooding of rivers across Middle Tennessee. Some locations may even reach moderate flood stage. Here are the rivers where any location along the river has a chance to reach Action Stage, Minor Flood Stage, or Moderate Flood Stage over the weekend and into early next week: Buffalo River - 20% chance of reaching Moderate Flood Stage 40% chance of reaching Minor Flood Stage 70% chance of reaching Action Stage Cumberland River Below Old Hickory Dam - <5% chance of reaching Moderate Flood Stage 10% chance of reaching Minor Flood Stage 100% chance of reaching Action Stage Duck River Below Shelbyville - 10% chance of reaching Major Flood Stage 30% chance of reaching Moderate Flood Stage 40% chance of reaching Minor Flood Stage 70% chance of reaching Action Stage Harpeth River between Franklin and Kingston Springs - 20% chance of reaching Moderate Flood Stage 30% chance of reaching Minor Flood Stage 40% chance of reaching Action Stage The saturated soils in place ahead of this event could lead to quick rises in smaller creeks and streams as well, especially with any strong thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and evening. This time of year rainfall rates of 0.5 to 1.0 inches per hour are enough to cause flash flooding, and overwhelm low lying and poor draining areas. Stay tuned for additional updates and information to be prepared for this potentially significant flooding event. $$ LaRosa