009
FXUS64 KOHX 021113
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
613 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 612 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025

- Patchy fog east of I-65 into early Wednesday morning. Locally
  dense fog is possible.

- Stable weather through Thursday with decreased humidity and
  temperatures near normal.

- Increasing temperatures for Independence Day through the
  holiday weekend with continued dry weather.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday Night)
Issued at 1030 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

Water vapor imagery shows much drier tropospheric air working into
Middle Tennessee in association with a shortwave trough and
surface "cold" front passing through. Dewpoints are already
decreasing into the 60s across the northern zones with clear
skies. PWs have taken a sharp decrease as well, and high pressure
will remain in control through the remainder of the short-term
period as the drier air mass settles into the area. Temperatures
should run near normal values along with decreased humidity
levels.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1016 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

By Independence Day, temperatures will take on a more above normal
posture across Middle TN as deep-layer ridging builds across the
region. This trend will continue through the holiday weekend with
highs well into the 90s for much of the forecast area along with a
slight increase in humidity due to weak southerly flow. This could
support heat index values close to 100 degrees for some areas.
Rain chances make a return to Middle TN early next week due to
steadily increasing moisture values and approaching disturbances
aloft.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 612 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025

Dense fog is impacting southern and eastern portions of Middle TN,
including KSRB. This fog will diminish through the mid-morning
hours. VFR conditions prevail thereafter with light northerly
winds and mostly clear skies.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      91  69  92  70 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    89  67  90  70 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     84  62  85  64 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       89  66  90  68 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     86  63  86  66 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      85  62  86  64 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   88  65  88  66 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   89  66  90  68 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        89  67  90  68 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Sizemore
LONG TERM....Sizemore
AVIATION.....Clements