493
FXUS64 KOHX 230415
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1015 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1013 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

- A couple more cold nights, but temperatures will warm through
  early next week.

- Next rain chance will be late Wednesday/early Thursday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 839 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

Temps cooling off this evening with cloud cover on the Plateau a
bit slower to move east than models suggested. With dropping temps
and calm winds overnight, added some fog mention especially near
bodies of water right around sunrise. Other than the cloud cover
and fog updates, rest of the forecast is on track.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Sunday)
Issued at 1112 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

There`s quite a bit of cloud cover around this morning ahead of a
shortwave which is currently centered over the Mississippi River in
West Tennessee. The cloud cover should decrease late this
afternoon and evening as the wave moves east. It will still be
cold tonight, but not as bad as the last few nights. Lows will be
in the low to mid 20s. Weak southerly low level flow will commence
on Sunday as surface high pressure moves east of the area. We`ll
have plenty of sunshine across the area. This will help boost
highs into the upper 40s to lower 50s. |

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1112 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

The warming trend will continue to start the work week with highs
getting into the upper 50s on Monday and the 60s on Tuesday and
Wednesday. Temperatures will still be cool to start Monday
morning with lows in the mid to upper 20s, but this will be the
last time most of the area is at or below freezing through the
rest of the forecast. The next rain chance looks to be late
Wednesday into early Thursday as a trough moves through the Great
Lakes dragging a cold front through the area. Behind the front,
temperatures will be cooler but generally around normal for late
February with highs in the 50s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1013 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

Cloud deck has finally dissipated/moved east over KCSV/KSRB, so
SKC conditions look to prevail. VFR conditions can be expected at
all terminals, with light and variable winds overnight. Southerly
winds at 5 knots or less can be expected during daytime hours. Fog
still looks possible overnight, but confidence remains on the
lower end for impacts to terminals.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      24  49  29  59 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    21  48  28  57 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     21  47  27  55 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       22  51  27  59 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     22  46  28  55 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      20  46  25  55 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   23  51  28  59 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   21  50  26  59 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        23  51  28  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

UPDATE.......Barnwell
SHORT TERM...Reagan
LONG TERM....Reagan
AVIATION.....Barnwell