


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
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637 FXUS64 KOHX 250215 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 915 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025 ...New UPDATE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 911 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025 - Fall-like temperatures are on the way for the work week, with highs 10-20 degrees below normal expected. - Dry days ahead, with the probability for severe weather low. && .UPDATE... Issued at 911 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025 Quite conditions this evening as our cold front has passed through Middle TN. Some high clouds are streaming overhead while temperatures currently read in the low 70s with dewpoints in the low 50s. Overnight lows are expected to drop into the mid 50s. Gusty winds that we saw earlier this evening are subsiding, but will increase back between 10-12 kts Monday afternoon. && .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Monday) Issued at 1128 AM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025 The day has arrived! Our first false fall has begun. The cold front has passed through, turning our winds northerly and clearing the skies over Middle Tennessee. Today will be the last day for a bit that the highs reach 90 degrees in some areas. Dewpoints across the mid-state have already dropped into the 60s, so starting to feel a little better already. Tonight, despite a drier air mass, patchy fog will once again be an issue on the Cumberland Plateau. Not expecting much given the dropping dewpoints, however. Expect a cooler night with lows in the 50s and 60s. && .LONG TERM... (Monday Night through next Sunday) Issued at 1128 AM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025 Guidance continues to show temperatures 10-20 degrees below normal into mid-week next week. Best of all, less moisture in the incoming air mass means very low precipitation chances next week and a continued drier feeling to the air outside. Rain chances do increase slightly starting Thursday, but remain low (<30%). The low pressure system that is behind the cold front we experienced earlier will stay to our north, putting us in northwest and eventually westerly flow. This pattern means UL disturbances can pass through Middle Tennessee with ease, and some of these disturbances look to affect us and areas south towards the end of the work week. Hard to say with certainty if rain chances will remain low, but right now it looks like some areas will see isolated showers and others will not see a drop from any of these disturbances. High temperatures will be in the mid 70s to mid 80s through the period, with lows in the 50s initially then increasing into the low 60s. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 639 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025 VFR conditions are forecast through this TAF period at all Middle TN airfields. Winds will prevail N to NW, increasing back to 7-10 kts tomorrow afternoon with increasing mid to high-level clouds. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 61 82 59 80 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 56 80 54 81 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 53 73 52 73 / 0 0 0 0 Columbia 58 81 58 80 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 55 76 54 75 / 0 0 0 0 Jamestown 54 74 52 73 / 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 58 79 57 78 / 0 0 10 0 Murfreesboro 58 81 57 80 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 57 80 56 80 / 0 0 10 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ UPDATE.......Cravens SHORT TERM...Holley LONG TERM....Holley AVIATION.....Sizemore