732
FXUS64 KOHX 231721
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1121 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1117 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025

- Temperatures will warm well above normal Tuesday and Wednesday.

- There is a medium to high chance of rain (50-70%) Wednesday
  night and Thursday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Monday)
Issued at 1057 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025

Temperatures are warming nicely so far this morning as ample
sunshine graces the mid state. Observation sites around the area are
reporting temperatures in the low 40s with a forecast high today of
low 50s. Surface high pressure is currently analyzed just to our
northeast, keeping cloud cover near 0% for most of the region.
Another cold night is in store with lows in the upper 20s and calm
winds.

The start of the new work week looks very pleasant with even warmer
temperatures as ridging builds across the southeast. Highs will
reach near 60 degrees tomorrow with increasing clouds through the
afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Sunday)
Issued at 1057 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025

The warming trend will continue in the extended with well above-
normal temperatures on both Tuesday and Wednesday. The latest NBM
has Nashville reaching 71 degrees on Wednesday afternoon. An upper-
level low will swing across the Great Lakes Wednesday night that
will bring a cold front and rain across the area. The highest rain
chances will be north of I-40 with chances near 70% and chances of
40-50% across the rest of middle Tennessee. PWAT values will
approach 1" which is above the 90th percentile for this time of
year, so a soaking rainfall will be likely, but rainfall amounts
will be on the lower side due to how quick this system will push
through; generally less than 0.25" of rain is expected. Rain will
wrap up Thursday and we will dry out and warm back into the upper
50s just in time for the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1117 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025

VFR conditions will continue for the taf period. Winds will be 5
kts or less generally with a southerly component.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      50  29  60  39 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    48  28  57  37 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     47  27  57  36 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       51  28  60  37 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     47  28  57  36 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      46  26  57  36 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   51  28  60  36 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   50  26  60  36 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        49  28  57  36 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Baggett
LONG TERM....Baggett
AVIATION.....Reagan