


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
468 FXUS64 KOHX 121102 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 602 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 601 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025 - Rain chances return next weekend. - Temperatures slightly warm into the low to mid 80s through the end of the week. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Monday Night) Issued at 601 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025 An area of low pressure to the SE shifts further E as high pressure builds over the SE U.S. As high pressure remains the dominate feature aloft, pleasant weather will continue for Middle TN. Feeling the fall season upon us, afternoon highs will remain in the upper 70s to around 80 through Monday. With little flow aloft, winds will be thermally driven, staying generally light and out of the NE. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through next Sunday) Issued at 601 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025 Dry weather sticks around through the end of the week as high pressure sticks around. By Friday, the axis of a mid-level ridge moves over Middle TN. This will bring slightly warmer temperatures for the end of the week, with highs approaching the mid 80s. A short wave trough then moves overhead through the weekend. This will bring rain chances back to the forecast. Latest models suggest a deep trough developing Saturday into Sunday, with a mid- level jet between 60-70 kts. This could offer our first severe weather risk that we`ve seen in a while. That said, we will need to monitor model trends through the week and see how the trough progression shifts. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 601 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025 VFR conditions persist this taf cycle with SKC conditions. Winds will be mainly NNE less than 10KT. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 80 51 79 54 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 79 49 79 53 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 72 47 73 49 / 0 0 0 0 Columbia 79 48 79 52 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 73 48 74 50 / 0 0 0 0 Jamestown 72 48 73 49 / 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 77 47 77 50 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 78 48 79 51 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 78 51 79 53 / 0 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Cravens LONG TERM....Cravens AVIATION.....13