875
FXUS64 KOHX 071729
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1229 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1222 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

- River flooding will be the main concern for the next several
  days.

- While we don`t do frost/freeze headlines until May 1,
  temperatures will be sufficient for a frosty conditions Tuesday
  and Wednesday mornings.

- Showers and a few thunderstorms Wednesday night - Friday, no
  severe weather expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1138 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

After a long stretch of active weather I think we are all ready
for some quieter conditions. I have some good news, things are
looking quite but chilly this week. We are still locked in the
clouds at this hour but the back edge of the clearing is starting
to push into our northwest. This clearing will continue to work
south and east through the afternoon. Highs today will be in the
50s to right around 60, a few gusts up to 20 mph will be possible
through the afternoon. A low exiting the Great Lakes will push a
cold front south and that will bring some clouds for the evening
and overnight but nothing major. Lows tonight will be chilly as
the cold air starts to settle in. We will see lows in the low to
mid 30s, we do not due frost/freeze products until May 1. If you
got an early start on the growing season you may want to cover up
or bring in your plants. Canadian high pressure will drift south
over the region on Tuesday. This will bring mostly sunny skies but
it will remain cool with highs only making it into the low to mid
50s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through next Monday)
Issued at 1138 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

High pressure will be situated over the region Tuesday night and
that will bring clear skies and light winds leading to cold
temperatures. We will see them fall into the lower 30s with a
60-90% chance of upper 20s south and east of Nashville. High
pressure pushes east Wednesday as a trough comes out of the north
Rockies and a low develops over the Great Lakes. This will bring
the return of southerly flow and push temperatures back into the
60s. A few showers will be possible Wednesday night into early
Thursday a head of a slowly approaching cold front, best chances
will be in northern areas. Shower chances will overspread the
entire area Thursday afternoon as the trough axis approaches. We
will see 200-500 j/kg of CAPE Thursday afternoon into the evening,
this will be enough for a few thunderstorms but the threat for
severe weather is low. Temperatures will continue to warm on
Thursday ahead of the front pushing into the upper 60s to lower
70s.

Cooler weather builds in Friday with highs falling back into the
upper 50s to lower 60s. The trough axis will linger over us and
that will keep a low chance for showers in the forecast mainly for
the afternoon. Strong ridging will then build over the central
part of the country and slowly push east over the weekend. This
will bring the return of dry weather along with warming
temperatures. Highs will push back into the 70s by Sunday and to
near 80 Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

IFR to MVFR CIGs clearing from W to E this afternoon, with VFR
CIGs area wide after 00z this evening. N winds gusting between 15
to 20 kts at the surface stick around through Tuesday, relaxing
overnight. Temperatures drop below freezing tonight and Tuesday
night. Fog could become a problem overnight if winds are able to
calm. Right now thinking winds will remain too strong overnight
for fog to develop over terminals.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      34  55  34  68 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    32  53  33  67 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     30  49  28  63 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       34  54  31  66 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     31  49  31  64 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      29  49  28  64 /  10   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   35  53  31  65 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   33  54  31  68 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        33  54  34  67 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Mueller
LONG TERM....Mueller
AVIATION.....Cravens