Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
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FNUS73 KOAX 121411
FWSOAX
Spot Forecast for jones ck...Partner Agency
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
911 AM CDT Wed Mar 12 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on March 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Today`s dewpoints will be a bit higher than they were on Tuesday,
but with warmer temperatures, the RH values will actually slip a
bit lower than 24 hours ago.
Light and variable winds this morning may first gain a southerly
component before generally coming out of the east by 4pm.
Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 9mph gust
Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 27%
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........49 at ignition...Max 67.
RH..................63 percent at ignition...Min 32 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming east around 4 mph late in
the afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming east around 6 mph late in
the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 3 mph at ignition...otherwise
East winds around 5 mph early in the morning
becoming light, then becoming east around 5 mph
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /3400 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
/25800 knot-ft/.
GFDI................1.
Haines Index........MISSING.
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14 25 36 40 41 39 41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............49 54 60 63 65 66 66
RH..............63 54 46 38 34 32 32
20 FT wind dir..S S S SE SE E E
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 4 5 5
20 FT wind gust. 4 4
Eye lvl wnd dir.S S S SE SE E E
Eye lvl wnd spd.2 2 2 2 3 4 4
Eye lvl wnd gst. 3 3
Surface wnd dir.S S S SE SE E E
Surface wnd spd.4 4 4 4 5 6 6
Surface wnd gst. 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.1 1.5 2.1 2.9 3.2 3.3
Transp wind dir.S S S SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.8 7 6 8 9 9 8
GFDI............1 1 1 1 2 2 2
Haines index....M M M M M M M
SDspl kt-ft/10003 5 8 15 22 26 20
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
clear (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........Min 39.
RH..................Max 90 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast around 4 mph in
the late evening and overnight.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming southeast around 6 mph in
the late evening and overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light, then becoming east around 5 mph
in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1700 knot-ft).
GFDI................2.
Haines Index........MISSING.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........47 38 37 30 16 4 4 3 2 4 4 5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............65 63 58 55 52 49 48 47 46 44 43 42
RH..............34 39 47 51 56 63 65 71 71 73 76 76
20 FT wind dir..E NE E E E E E E E E E SE
20 FT wind spd..4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.
Eye lvl wnd dir.E NE E E E E E E E E E SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Surface wnd dir.E NE E E E E E E E E E SE
Surface wnd spd.5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Surface wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.SE E E E E E E E E E E SE
Transp wind spd.7 9 10 13 13 14 14 14 13 12 10 10
GFDI............2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Haines index....M M M M M M M M M M M M
SDspl kt-ft/100011 3 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........Max 74.
RH..................Min 32 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 10 mph increasing to 9 to 11
mph with gusts to around 15 mph late in the
afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 6 to 18 mph with gusts to around 25
mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph with gusts to around 20
mph.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 18 mph increasing to 20 to 21 mph
late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2500 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (56200 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
GFDI................4 increasing to 14 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........MISSING.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7 4 13 21 2 2 11 18 22 23 24 28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............40 40 43 47 51 57 63 68 72 74 74 73
RH..............82 89 82 76 68 59 52 45 37 33 32 33
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 6 6 7 8 11 13 14 13 12
20 FT wind gust. 7 8 10 14 18 20 19 18
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 4 4 4 4 5 6 8 10 11 10 9
Eye lvl wnd gst. 5 6 8 11 14 15 14 13
Surface wnd dir.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
Surface wnd spd.6 6 6 8 8 9 10 14 16 18 16 15
Surface wnd gst. 9 10 13 18 23 25 24 22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.1 2.4
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.10 10 10 13 13 16 17 18 20 21 21 20
GFDI............1 1 1 1 2 2 4 7 12 15 15 12
Haines index....M M M M M M M M M M M M
SDspl kt-ft/10003 3 3 4 7 14 23 33 45 54 56 43
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Rain and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Much colder. Rain with possible snow and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Southeast winds around
12 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the mid 40s.
Northwest winds around 12 mph.
$$
Forecaster...Nicolaisen
Requested by...Jeff Seago
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2506169.0/OAX
.DELDT 03/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jeffrey.Seago@dnr.iowa.gov