719
FNUS73 KOAX 010954
FWSOAX

Spot Forecast for NE-TGP Rx Fire...Partner Agency
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
454 AM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on June 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Light and variable winds this morning will first organize out of
the northwest at about 0-10 mph before becoming southerly at 3-13
by 2PM. Skies are expected to be mostly clear, but Canadian
wildfire smoke will remain overhead. Some surface wildfire smoke
early this morning will produce visibility as low as 5 miles in
spots before slowly improving over the course of the day.


Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 16 mph gust

Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 29%

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy smoke in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Temperature.........57 at ignition...Max 89.
RH..................89 percent at ignition...Min 32 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming south around 4 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming south around 6 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 2 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming south
                    around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest
                    3 to 7 mph late in the afternoon, then shifting
                    to the south around 7 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /1300 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /38000 knot-ft/.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40  45  50  51  53  52  47  44  42  38  33  31
Weather cov.....            PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....            SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........
Temp............57  59  63  68  75  79  82  84  87  87  88  89
RH..............89  88  82  74  60  52  44  38  35  34  32  32
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   4   5   5
20 FT wind gust.4   4           4   4   5   6   6   7   8   10
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   3   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.3   3   2   2   3   3   4   4   5   5   6   7
Surface wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S
Surface wnd spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   5   6   6
Surface wnd gst.5   5           5   5   6   7   8   9   10  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 2.6 4.0 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.6   8   8   6   5   5   3   3   5   6   7   7
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
SDspl kt-ft/10001   3   3   3   4   7   11  16  22  28  33  38

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Patchy smoke
                    early in the evening. Patchy smoke late in the
                    evening, then patchy smoke after 3 am.
Temperature.........Min 61.
RH..................Max 82 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds around 4 mph.
Surface winds (mph).South winds around 6 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 16 mph increasing to 13 to 17 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (40300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........29  28  27  26  27  25  26  25  24  25  26  27
Weather cov.....PTY PTY             PTY                 PTY
Weather type....SMK SMK             SMK                 SMK
Tstm cov........
Temp............87  86  84  78  75  72  69  68  66  65  64  63
RH..............33  34  39  44  50  56  60  65  69  74  76  78
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.8   8   7   7   7   8   10  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.6   6   5   5   5   6   7   7   7   7   7   8
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.10  10  9   9   9   10  12  12  12  12  12  13
Mix hgt (kft)...4.7 4.2 2.4 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  10  7   8   12  14  16  16  17  15  14  13
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
SDspl kt-ft/100040  38  28  15  5   3   6   8   8   7   7   5

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........Max 90.
RH..................Min 36 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 11 mph increasing to around
                    11 mph with gusts to around 17 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 8 to 19 mph with gusts to around 29
                    mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 16 mph with gusts to around 23
                    mph.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 22 mph increasing to 25 to 29 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (104600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (117100
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  26  25  21  11  32  38  31  23  17  11  7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............62  64  68  72  78  82  85  87  89  89  90  90
RH..............80  82  73  68  57  48  42  40  38  36  36  36
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   9   11  13  14  15  15  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.10  10  13  14  16  17  18  20  22  23  23  22
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   5   7   8   10  11  11  11  11  11  11
Eye lvl wnd gst.8   8   10  11  12  13  14  15  17  17  17  17
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.8   8   9   11  14  16  18  19  19  19  19  19
Surface wnd gst.13  13  16  18  20  21  23  25  28  29  29  28
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 1.5 2.3 3.1 3.7 4.4 4.9 5.1 5.2 5.1 5.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  15  18  22  25  25  26  28  28  28  28  29
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
SDspl kt-ft/10005   11  26  47  68  88  105 117 123 124 123 124

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Much cooler. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds around 12 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. North winds around
11 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...Nicolaisen
Requested by...Bennett Joseph Amdor
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515103.0/OAX
.DELDT 06/01/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bamdor@unomaha.edu