Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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717
FNUS73 KOAX 211400
FWSOAX

Spot Forecast for Two Creeks...Lincoln Parks
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
900 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on August 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

We currently do not anticipate any fire weather concerns today
into tonight. Expect mostly sunny skies today. Southeast winds
will be fairly light, around 3-8mph with gusts up to 10mph.
Relative humidity values will range form 70-80 percent this
morning. Minimum relative humidity values this afternoon will fall
to around 57-63 percent. A passing shower (10% chance) will be
possible through around 11am. Dry conditions will be expected for
the rest of the day. The next chance for showers/thunderstorms in
the spot area will be Friday afternoon.

Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn:10mph

Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 57-63 percent

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming east around 4 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming east around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph late in the
                    morning becoming light, then becoming southeast
                    around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (27200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18  15  4   13  13  26  17  10  8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............73  76  80  82  84  85  86  86  86
RH..............83  77  72  69  65  63  61  61  61
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.        6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   2   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.        4       5   5   5   5   5
Surface wnd dir.E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
Surface wnd spd.3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.        7   7   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.4 2.9 4.6 5.1 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.4
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   SE  SE  E   E   SE
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   5   5   6   6   6   6
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
SDspl kt-ft/10005   7   11  16  20  24  27  27  25

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds around 4 mph becoming light.
Surface winds (mph).South winds around 6 mph becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 13 mph shifting to the south 10
                    to 12 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (20100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........9   8   10  8   4   11  18  13  20  15  13  20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............87  86  82  78  75  73  72  71  70  68  68  67
RH..............59  59  67  74  79  81  81  84  87  90  90  90
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   7   7   6   7   6   6   6   6
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5       5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4
Surface wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
Surface wnd gst.8   8   7   8   9   9   8   9   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...5.1 2.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   12  12  12  13  13  12  10  12  10
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
SDspl kt-ft/100020  15  11  8   5   5   5   6   6   5   5   5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers in the afternoon. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southwest around 4 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    shifting to the northwest late in the
                    afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming southwest 6 to 8 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    shifting to the northwest around 8 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then shifting
                    to the west around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (48600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  36  28  19  21  14  17  19  27  34  42  44
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                        SCH SCH
Temp............66  67  68  72  76  80  83  85  87  88  88  87
RH..............93  90  90  81  76  69  65  61  57  55  55  57
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.4   4   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   NW
Surface wnd spd.5   5   5   5   6   6   8   8   8   8   8   8
Surface wnd gst.7   7   8   9   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.4 2.3 3.3 4.1 4.9 5.4 5.4 4.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  14  14  12  10  9   9   9   10  10
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
SDspl kt-ft/10004   5   8   12  17  22  27  33  40  47  49  41

$$
Forecaster...ANW
Requested by...Aaron Druery
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2520371.0/OAX
.DELDT 08/21/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL adruery@lincoln.ne.gov