Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
687
FNUS73 KOAX 061320
FWSOAX
Spot Forecast for Hickory Prairie - Wilderness Park...Lincoln Parks and Recreation
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
820 AM CDT Tue May 6 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Dry, mild weather continues today with increasing high clouds.
Winds, light and variable this morning, will increase out of the
east starting around 11 AM. Humidity this afternoon will drop to
about 28 percent. Mixing heights start under 500 ft this morning
under a morning inversion which starts to mix out around 9-10 AM.
Mixing heights rise to around 7000 ft by 1 PM. This combined with
transport winds out of the east around 10 to 15 mph will lead to
Very Good smoke dispersal today.
Low rain chances (25%) on Wednesday afternoon under cloudy skies.
Winds will again start out light and variable increasing out of
the east as the morning inversion mixes out around 9-10 AM.
Humidity will stay higher through the afternoon around 35 percent.
Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 18 mph
Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 26%
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Temperature.........71 at ignition...Max 79.
RH..................44 percent at ignition...Min 28 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds up to 7 mph.
Surface winds (mph).East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 7700 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /28500 knot-ft/ at ignition.
Max...excellent /93100 knot-ft/.
GFDI................0.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P
Sky (%).........15 25 31 47 51 54 44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............71 74 76 77 78 77 79
RH..............44 37 32 31 30 31 28
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..5 6 8 8 9 9 9
20 FT wind gust.7 10 12 13 13 14 14
Eye lvl wnd dir.E E E E E E E
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 4 6 6 7 7 7
Eye lvl wnd gst.5 7 9 10 10 10 10
Surface wnd dir.E E E E E E E
Surface wnd spd.6 8 10 10 11 11 11
Surface wnd gst.9 12 15 16 16 17 17
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 6.2 7.2 7.3 7.5 7.7 7.5
Transp wind dir.NE NE E E E E E
Transp wind spd.10 12 12 13 14 14 14
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SDspl kt-ft/100029 52 72 86 93 92 82
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Temperature.........Min 54.
RH..................Max 80 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds up to 7 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 13 mph shifting to the southeast 6
to 12 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (64300 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (700 knot-ft) late in the
night.
GFDI................0.
TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID
Sky (%).........66 69 78 78 72 74 75 82 85 84 84 71
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............77 76 73 67 64 62 61 60 58 57 56 56
RH..............31 33 37 45 50 56 58 62 67 69 72 72
20 FT wind dir..E E E E SE SE SE SE SE E E E
20 FT wind spd..9 8 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.13 12 11 10 8 7 6 6 5 4 4 4
Eye lvl wnd dir.E E E E SE SE SE SE SE E E E
Eye lvl wnd spd.7 6 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 1 1 1
Eye lvl wnd gst.10 9 8 7 6 5 4 4 4 3 3 3
Surface wnd dir.E E E E SE SE SE SE SE E E E
Surface wnd spd.11 10 8 8 6 6 5 5 4 3 3 3
Surface wnd gst.16 15 14 12 10 9 7 7 6 5 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...7.2 4.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.13 13 10 12 12 13 13 12 12 10 8 6
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SDspl kt-ft/100064 46 30 15 6 2 3 5 5 4 3 1
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 75.
RH..................Min 35 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming east up to 8 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming east 6 to 14 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 12 mph early in the morning
becoming light, then becoming east 5 to 12 mph
in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 9 mph increasing to 15 to 18 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (98400 knot-ft) in the
afternoon increasing to excellent (81800
knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
GFDI................0.
TIME (CDT) 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P
Sky (%).........74 70 74 75 66 80 77 73 75 76 78 79
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............55 54 56 60 66 68 70 72 74 75 75 75
RH..............74 80 74 67 54 51 46 41 38 36 36 35
20 FT wind dir..NE NE E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 4 5 6 8 10 11 10 10 10
20 FT wind gust.4 4 5 6 8 10 12 14 14 14 14 13
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE NE E E E E E E E E E E
Eye lvl wnd spd.1 1 2 3 4 4 6 8 8 8 8 8
Eye lvl wnd gst.3 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11 11 10 10
Surface wnd dir.NE NE E E E E E E E E E E
Surface wnd spd.3 3 4 5 6 8 10 13 14 13 13 13
Surface wnd gst.5 5 6 8 10 13 15 17 18 18 17 16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.6 1.4 3.1 4.9 5.7 6.6 7.2 7.0 6.2 5.6
Transp wind dir.SE E E E E E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.5 6 7 9 15 16 17 17 18 18 17 16
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SDspl kt-ft/10000 2 11 24 40 61 83 98 104 101 93 82
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the upper 70s. East winds around 6 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. East
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
Forecaster...Nicolaisen
Requested by...Aaron Druery
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2513197.0/OAX
.DELDT 05/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL adruery@lincoln.ne.gov