Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FNUS73 KOAX 201328
FWSOAX

Spot Forecast for Hickory Prairie - Wilderness Park...Lincoln Parks and Recreation
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
828 AM CDT Wed Aug 20 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 CDT on August 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Skies will be mostly sunny today with afternoon temperatures
warming into the upper 80s. 1 PM relative humidity of around 60
percent will fall to around 55 percent by late afternoon into
early evening. Winds will be light (5-7 mph) from the northeast,
with peak mixing heights of around 6500 ft and good smoke
dispersal.

Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 10 mph

Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 53-55 percent
.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    through the day. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northeast around 4 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming northeast 6 to 8 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (26100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (39000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........11  24  23  26  22
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH
Temp............86  86  87  88  88
RH..............63  65  61  57  57
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..4   5   5   6   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   7
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.4   5   5   5   5
Surface wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Surface wnd spd.5   6   6   8   6
Surface wnd gst.7   8   8   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...5.2 5.8 6.2 6.5 6.1
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  N   NE
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   7   7
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0
SDspl kt-ft/100026  33  38  39  34

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight
                    chance of showers early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds around 4 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Surface winds (mph).East winds 6 to 8 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 10 mph increasing to 8 to 12 mph late
                    in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (24500 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........8   17  11  10  7   8   7   8   10  21  23  39
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH
Temp............88  86  83  79  77  75  74  72  71  70  68  68
RH..............57  63  70  79  82  84  84  87  90  90  97  93
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5       4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   2
Surface wnd dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Surface wnd spd.8   6   6   5   5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3
Surface wnd gst.9   8   7   7   7   7   6   6   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...6.4 2.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   10  10  10  12  10  10  9   9   8
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
SDspl kt-ft/100025  16  11  7   5   4   4   5   5   5   4   3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming east around 4 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming east around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast around
                    5 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (24800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40  54  39  42  31  15  12  8   8   8   8   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............67  66  69  72  76  80  83  84  85  86  86  86
RH..............97  100 97  90  82  74  67  65  63  61  61  61
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.            4   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   1   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.2   2   2   3   4   4   4       5   5   5   5
Surface wnd dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
Surface wnd spd.3   3   3   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.            5   6   6   7   7   8   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.4 3.3 4.1 4.7 5.0 5.0 4.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   7   7   8   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
SDspl kt-ft/10003   3   4   7   9   13  17  21  23  25  25  24

$$
Forecaster...Mead
Requested by...Aaron Druery
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2520305.0/OAX
.DELDT 08/20/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL aarondruery@gmail.com