000
FXUS63 KOAX 080851
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
351 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Temperatures gradually warm throughout the week, with highs
  near 80 by this weekend.

- Dry weather continues for the remainder of the work week.

- A more active pattern sets up starting Sunday and continuing
  into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 338 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Clear skies across the area this morning with winds nearly calm.
Temperatures have dropped into the low 40s for the most part
across the area, apart from more urban sites which are in the
mid 40s to around 50.

The upper-level pattern shows the continued breakdown of the Rex
Block discussed yesterday morning, with the ridge pushing
eastward over the Northern Plains. Today we will also see
another ridge start to build over the southern Rockies, which
will contribute to a warming trend through the next few days.

Today, we`ll see highs warm into the upper 60s to low 70s again
with nominal southerly winds through this afternoon. Overnight
tonight we`ll see a weak shortwave disturbance bring in a mass
of cloud cover helping to keep temperatures a bit warmer
overnight. CAMs suggest potential for a few sprinkles in
northeast Nebraska, but model soundings show anything would have
to overcome a significant amount of dry air near the surface.

Going into Thursday and Friday the amplification of the ridge
over the Rockies will bring temperatures up into the mid-to-
upper 70s on Thursday and upper 70s to near 80 on Friday. On
Saturday, a clipper front moving out of Central Canada into the
Great Lakes region will bring a front through with the potential
for a few isolated showers Saturday morning. Cloud cover should
help to keep temperatures a bit milder Saturday afternoon with
highs in the mid-70s.

Details get murkier as we go into Sunday and Monday as models
diverge on how this Ridge will break down, but it does look like
we will be morphing into a more active pattern next week with
highs closer to normal for this time of year.


&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 611 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

VFR conditions through the TAF period with a few clouds in the
FL040-FL080 layer Wednesday afternoon. Light winds variable at
times overnight become predominantly southerly Wednesday
morning, increasing with gusts 20-22 kt Wednesday afternoon at
times. Winds drop off again Wednesday night with increasing
clouds around FL070-FL100.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...McCoy
AVIATION...McCoy