077
AGUS74 KWCO 121256
HMDNWC

National Hydrologic Discussion - EXPERIMENTAL
NWS National Water Center - Tuscaloosa AL
700 AM CST WED NOV 12 2025

UPDATE...

A Limited selection for isolated urban flooding was added this morning for
portions of central and southern CA Thursday through Saturday. Flash
flooding and debris flows will also be possible near recently burned areas.

//JAW

Previous Discussion as follows

...The potential for significant flooding impacts across the U.S. and its
territories is low through the next seven days...

.California...
Widespread moderate rainfall at lower elevations and snow in the high
elevations of the Sierra Nevada continues to be forecast Thursday and
Friday. This rainfall is expected to be very progressive, and given that we
are still in the early portion of the climatological wet-season with
generally dry-to-normal antecedent conditions leading up to the event,
confidence remains low in the potential flooding impacts and as such a
Limited impacts area on the FHO has not yet been introduced.

.Arizona...
The same weather system that is impacting California on Thursday and Friday
will shift eastward into Arizona, bringing a period of moderate to locally
heavy rainfall to the area. The focus of the rainfall (and any hydrologic
impacts) will mostly be on the Mogollon Rim on Saturday and Sunday. Snow is
mainly expected at the higher elevations, and any potential hydrologic
impacts are mainly going to be urban and small stream in nature. The
inclusion on the FHO is not warranted at this time, but trends will be
monitored.

Additional National Water Center products are available at
www.weather.gov/owp/operations

//Fontenot

$$