Offshore Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
230 FZNT24 KNHC 081543 OFFNT4 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1043 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. GMZ001-090345- Synopsis for the Gulf of Mexico 1043 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Hurricane Rafael is centered near 24.5N 88.8W at 1500 UTC, or 200 nm NNE of Progreso Mexico, moving W at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 961 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 95 kt with gusts to 115 kt. Some minor fluctuations in intensity are possible today, before a steady weakening trend begins tonight through the weekend. A general westward to west- northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected through the weekend. On the forecast track, Rafael is expected to move slowly over the central Gulf of Mexico for the next few days, reaching near 24.7N 89.8W this evening, near 25.1N 91.0W Sat morning, near 25.8N 91.9W Sun morning as a tropical storm, near 25.5N 91.6W Mon morning, and near 23.7N 92.0W Tue morning and a 30 kt remnant low. $$ GMZ040-090345- NW Gulf including Stetson Bank- 1043 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 .TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 6 to 9 ft in E to SE swell in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E to SE swell. .SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E swell. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ041-090345- SW Louisiana Offshore Waters including Flower Garden Bank Marine Sanctuary- 1043 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 to 13 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt W of 92W, and NE to E 25 to 30 kt E of 92W. Seas 9 to 14 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt W of 92W, and NE to E 35 to 40 kt E of 92W. Seas 10 to 15 ft in SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE to E winds 25 to 30 kt W of 92W, and E 35 to 45 kt E of 92W. Seas 10 to 15 ft in SE to S swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE winds 25 to 30 kt W of 92W, and E 35 to 45 kt E of 92W. Seas 8 to 12 ft in SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .MON...N to NE winds 15 kt W of 92W, and N to NE 25 to 30 kt E of 92W. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ056-090345- N Central Gulf Offshore Waters- 1043 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 to 16 ft in SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft in SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. E to SE winds 35 to 40 kt W of 89W, and E to SE 20 to 25 kt E of 89W. Seas 9 to 14 ft in SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W of 89W, E to SE winds 35 to 40 kt, diminishing to 25 to 30 kt late. E of 89W, E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in SE to S swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ057-090345- NE Gulf N of 26N E of 87W- 1043 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 .TODAY...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 11 ft in SE to S swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in S to SW swell. Scattered showers. .SAT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered tstms. .SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ GMZ058-090345- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N W of 94W- 1043 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 .TODAY...NE to E winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft in E swell. .TONIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell. .SAT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E swell. .SAT NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers. .SUN...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E swell. .SUN NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ045-090345- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 91W and 94W- 1043 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 to 13 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, NW winds 20 to 25 kt. N of 24N, N to NE winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming N 45 to 50 kt late. Seas 10 to 16 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W to NW winds 20 to 25 kt S of 24N, and NW to N 55 to 70 kt N of 24N. Seas 11 to 17 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W winds 15 to 20 kt S of 24N, and W to NW 45 to 55 kt N of 24N. Seas 9 to 14 ft in N to NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W winds 15 to 20 kt S of 24N, and W to NW 35 to 45 kt N of 24N. Seas 7 to 10 ft in N swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .MON...N winds 10 to 15 kt S of 24N, and N 25 to 30 kt N of 24N. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...S of 24N, N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N to NE 25 to 30 kt late. N of 24N, NE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...N to NE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ046-090345- Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 87W and 91W- 1043 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TODAY...HURRICANE CONDITIONS. S of 24N, SW winds 35 to 40 kt in the afternoon. N of 24N, E winds 65 to 85 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 to 22 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and tstms. .TONIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S to SW winds 25 to 30 kt S of 24N, and SE 65 to 80 kt N of 24N. Seas 12 to 19 ft in NW to N swell. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, S winds 20 to 25 kt. N of 24N, SE winds 60 to 70 kt, becoming SE to S 45 to 55 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 to 14 ft in W to NW swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt S of 24N, and SE 30 to 40 kt N of 24N. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NW to N swell. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt S of 24N, and SE to S 25 to 30 kt N of 24N. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .MON...S of 24N, SE to S winds 10 kt, shifting to N in the afternoon. N of 24N, SE to S winds 25 to 30 kt, shifting to NE in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ047-090345- SE Gulf from 22N to 26N E of 87W including Straits of Florida- 1043 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 .TODAY...SE winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 11 ft in SW to W swell. Scattered tstms. .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in SW to W swell. Scattered tstms. .SAT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ048-090345- SW Gulf S of 22N W of 94W- 1043 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 .TODAY...NW winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft or less, building to 3 to 5 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell. .SAT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell. .SAT NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell. .SUN...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ049-090345- Central Bay of Campeche- 1043 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 .TODAY...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers. .TONIGHT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE swell. .SAT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE swell. .SAT NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers. .SUN...W winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in N to NE swell. .SUN NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ050-090345- E Bay of Campeche including Campeche Bank- 1043 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 .TODAY...W winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in N swell. Scattered showers. .TONIGHT...W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in N swell. Scattered showers. .SAT...SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SAT NIGHT...W winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to S to SW late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...S to SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt, shifting to E to SE late. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .MON...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming NW to N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ Forecaster Stripling