Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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096
FNAK51 PAFG 212250
FWFNSB

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northern Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
250 PM AKDT Mon Jul 21 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A front is bringing showers, slight cooling, and gusty
southwesterly winds to the North Slope this afternoon. Isolated
thunderstorms expected amongst the showers this afternoon. The
showery conditions and southwesterly winds gradually diminish
through Wednesday morning. Wednesday will see a pressure begin to
build from the north as a high in the Arctic moves south. Winds
will shift northeast with low stratus and fog expected to return
to areas nearer the coast by the end of the week. Temperatures
will cool through the week with highs in the 50s and 60s expected.
Minimum RHs stay well above 40. Next week is expected to become
warmer and drier as high pressure continues to build.

AKZ906-221700-
Western Arctic Plains-
Including Umiat
250 PM AKDT Mon Jul 21 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     70           30           30           20
CWR                   60           10           10           0
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      44-52 (-1)   56-66 (-2)   41-49        55-65
RH % (24h trend)      86-100 (-1)  ABV 40 (-8)  89-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 9-13 G27  SW 5-9 G20   SW 4-8 G18   NE 3-7 G19
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10        SW  9        SW  7        NE  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    500          4900         300          4100
Vent rate (mph-ft)    5000         44100        2100         32800

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 35 to 45.
Highs 55 to 65. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 33 to 43.
Highs 56 to 66. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 32 to 42. Highs
60 to 70. Northeast winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ907-221700-
Howard Pass and the Delong Mountains-
Including Howard Pass
250 PM AKDT Mon Jul 21 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     80           80           70           40
CWR                   60           50           40           10
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      44-51 (-4)   50-60 (-3)   42-49        54-64
RH % (24h trend)      89-100 (0)   ABV 40 (-2)  90-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          S 7-11 G24   S 7-11 G20   S 5-9 G19    SE 3-7 G17
Transport wnd (mph)   S 14         S 13         S  9         E  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    600          4000         300          4200
Vent rate (mph-ft)    8400         52000        2700         33600

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 42 to 50.
Highs 58 to 68. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 40 to 47.
Highs 59 to 69. North winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 39 to 48. Highs
62 to 72. Northeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ908-221700-
Central Arctic Plains-
Including Sagwon, Franklin Bluffs,
and the Dalton Highway from MP 322 to MP 387
250 PM AKDT Mon Jul 21 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     80           50           40           30
CWR                   70           20           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      46-52 (-4)   56-66 (-7)   41-49        52-62
RH % (24h trend)      86-100 (+10) ABV 40 (+5)  87-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 6-10 G24  NW 4-8 G18   N 3-7        N 5-9 G18
Transport wnd (mph)   W 15         NW  6        N  6         N  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    700          3900         300          3100
Vent rate (mph-ft)    10500        23400        1800         24800

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 37 to 44. Highs 53 to 63.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 36 to 43.
Highs 54 to 64. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 35 to 41. Highs
52 to 62. Northeast winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ909-221700-
Central Brooks Range-
Including Anaktuvuk Pass, Atigun Pass, Galbraith Lake,
and the Dalton Highway from MP 232 to MP 322
250 PM AKDT Mon Jul 21 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Tstms
Chance precip (%)     90           60           60           60
CWR                   70           10           50           40
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     None         None         Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      45-51 (-6)   55-63 (-5)   45           54-61
RH % (24h trend)      87-98 (+7)   ABV 40 (-1)  87-98        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 7-11 G22  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      N 4-8
Transport wnd (mph)   W 13         SW  7        W  6         NE  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    600          3500         300          3000
Vent rate (mph-ft)    7800         24500        1800         24000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 41 to 46.
Highs 54 to 64. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 39 to 45.
Highs 56 to 66. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 37 to 43. Highs
54 to 64. Northeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ910-221700-
Romanzof Mountains-
Including Headwaters of the Canning River
250 PM AKDT Mon Jul 21 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     80           80           60           40
CWR                   80           80           30           20
Tstm Coverage         None         None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      45-55 (-4)   53-63 (-11)  40-49        50-60
RH % (24h trend)      87-98 (+27)  ABV 40 (+24) 85-99        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          NW 3-7       W 8-12 G22   W 3-7 G17    NW 3-7
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8         W 13         NW  7        NW  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    500          2300         400          2700
Vent rate (mph-ft)    4000         29900        2800         21600

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 54 to 64. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 36 to 46. Highs
56 to 66. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 35 to 45. Highs
54 to 64. Northeast winds around 10 mph.

$$