146
FZNT27 KNHC 081551
OFFN06

NAVTEX Marine Forecast
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
1051 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024

...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available
through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed
Coastal Waters Forecasts...

.SYNOPSIS...Hurricane Rafael is centered near 24.5N 88.8W at
1500 UTC, or 200 nm NNE of Progreso Mexico, moving W at 8 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 961 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 95 kt with gusts to 115 kt. Some minor
fluctuations in intensity are possible today, before a steady
weakening trend begins tonight through the weekend. A general
westward to west- northwestward motion at a slower forward speed
is expected through the weekend. On the forecast track, Rafael
is expected to move slowly over the central Gulf of Mexico for
the next few days, reaching near 24.7N 89.8W this evening, near
25.1N 91.0W Sat morning, near 25.8N 91.9W Sun morning as a
tropical storm, near 25.5N 91.6W Mon morning, and near 23.7N
92.0W Tue morning and a 30 kt remnant low.

Northwest Gulf of Mexico

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 20 to
25 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers.
.TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds
30 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Scattered showers and isolated
tstms.
.SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE to E winds 35 to
40 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE to E winds
35 to 45 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Scattered showers and isolated
tstms.
.SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE winds 35 to
45 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Scattered tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
.MON...N to NE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

North Central and Northeast Gulf of Mexico

.TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 25 to
30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft in SE to S swell. Scattered showers and
isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 25 to
30 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft in S swell. Scattered showers and
isolated tstms.
.SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E to SE winds 25 to
30 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SAT NIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.