594
FZNT25 KNHC 081551
OFFN04

NAVTEX Marine Forecast
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
1051 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024

...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available
through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed
Coastal Waters Forecasts...

Southeast Gulf of Mexico

.SYNOPSIS...Hurricane Rafael is centered near 24.5N 88.8W at
1500 UTC, or 200 nm NNE of Progreso Mexico, moving W at 8 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 961 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 95 kt with gusts to 115 kt. Some minor
fluctuations in intensity are possible today, before a steady
weakening trend begins tonight through the weekend. A general
westward to west- northwestward motion at a slower forward speed
is expected through the weekend. On the forecast track, Rafael
is expected to move slowly over the central Gulf of Mexico for
the next few days, reaching near 24.7N 89.8W this evening, near
25.1N 91.0W Sat morning, near 25.8N 91.9W Sun morning as a
tropical storm, near 25.5N 91.6W Mon morning, and near 23.7N
92.0W Tue morning and a 30 kt remnant low.

.TODAY...E to SE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SAT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Numerous
showers and scattered tstms.
.SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.

Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida

.SYNOPSIS...Fresh to locally strong E winds and rough seas
occurring north of a shear line, located along 21N to the north
of the Greater Antilles, will diminish by tonight into Sat
morning. A trough of low pressure located just N of the
Dominican Republic continues to produce disorganized showers and
 thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is
possible during the next couple of days while it moves westward
toward the Bahamas. Looking ahead, another strong cold front
will move southward into the forecast waters on Sat, leading to
widespread  fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very
rough seas in N  swell north of the Greater Antilles through
this weekend. The N  swell will continue to progress
southeastward early next week.  Elsewhere, moderate to locally
fresh E trades and moderate to  rough seas will occur east of
the Windward Islands through the  forecast period.

.TODAY...E winds 15 to 20 kt S of 27N, and E 10 to 15 kt N of
27N. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SAT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt S of 27N, and E 20 to
25 kt N of 27N. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers.
.SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and SE 15 to 20 kt N of
27N. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...S of 27N, E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt. N of 27N, S winds 5 to
10 kt, shifting to NE to E 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 to 5 ft.