586
FNUS76 KMTR 111901
FWSMTR

Spot Forecast for LPF Fire School 2026...Los Padres National Forest
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
1201 PM PDT Mon May 11 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PDT on May 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A region-wide cooling trend will begin on Tuesday
and continue through midweek as an upper level trough and low
pressure moves inland across the Pacific Northwest. However, over
the burn site, temperatures will remain above seasonal averages
with southwest winds increasing by Tuesday afternoon, gusts
could be up to 20 mph. Less in the way of cloud cover Wednesday
morning with light and variable winds to start off the day. Winds
then increase out of the northwest between 10 to 20 mph with gusts
up to 35 mph in the afternoon and evening. Very good to excellent
overnight humidity recoveries lowering to 25 to 35 percent in the
afternoon.


.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning
becoming sunny in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....84-88.
Min humidity........28-32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 6 to 10 mph with
gusts up to 18 mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Mixing height.......Less than 500 ft in the morning becoming 3200 ft
AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 8 mph.
Marine layer........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....45-49.
Max humidity........91-95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph becoming light and
variable late in the night.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph.
Marine layer........1800ft.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....79-83.
Min humidity........29-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 10 to 20 mph with
gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon and evening.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Mixing height.......Less than 500 ft in the morning becoming 4100
ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Marine layer........None.

$$
Forecaster...R_GASS
Requested by...Ivor DeManty
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613169.0/MTR
.DELDT 05/11/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ivor.demanty@usda.gov,kyle.kinports@usda.gov,alyssa.thornburg@usda.gov,tracy.dott@usda.gov