Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

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508
FNUS86 KMTR 192207
FWLMTR

ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
307 PM PDT Sat Oct 19 2024

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##            Discussions from the latest FWF below                ##
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...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE BEING OBSERVED
AS SUCH, RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR DRY CONDITIONS,
CRITICAL LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND STRONG WINDS THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

...Discussion from SFOFWFMTR...

The Red Flag warning will be allowed to expire at 5PM today as
gusty, offshore winds continue to ease and overnight relative
humidity recoveries are expected to improve from poor to moderate
below 1000 feet tonight. Gusts between 25 to 40 mph remain possible
through this evening before winds significantly weaken late this
evening into the overnight hours. Gusty offshore winds will
gradually shift to light, onshore flow by late this weekend which
will ease fire weather concerns heading into early next week.
However, particularly above 1000 feet, daytime relative humidity
values will be slower to improve with near critically dry conditions
 persisting into early next week. Below 1000 feet, daytime relative
humidity retention will gradually improve from 10-20% to 30-40% by
the Monday to Tuesday timeframe. Above 1000 feet, relative humidity
values will be slower to improve with poor overnight recoveries (20-
35%) and poor daytime retention (15-30%) to continue through
midweek. By mid to late week, widespread improvements in overnight
recoveries and daytime retentions are expected across elevated
terrain.


...Discussion from SFOFWFEKA...

Very low daytime humidity is forecast to continue  today. Winds are
beginning to gradually diminish later this  afternoon, but breezy
conditions will linger over some of the  more prominent Lake County
ridgetops. Easterly breezes are  forecast to weaken tonight into
Sunday, however it will remain  locally gusty over the ridges.
Humidity will generally increase on Sunday as winds turn southerly
and westerly with the approach of  a front. This front will bring
wetting rain (a 70% to 95% chance) to Del Norte and Humboldt
counties by early Monday morning.  Meanwhile, for Lake and most of
Mendocino Counties, wetting rain  (0.10in) is 0%.


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##       Complete a discussion for each ECCDA segment below        ##
##      When done click transmit, product sent as KMTRFWLMTR       ##
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ECC010-201015-
St Helena ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Marin and Sonoma and Napa Counties
307 PM PDT Sat Oct 19 2024

The Red Flag warning will be allowed to expire at 5PM today as
gusty, offshore winds continue to ease and overnight relative
humidity recoveries are expected to improve from poor to moderate
below 1000 feet tonight. Gusts between 25 to 40 mph remain possible
through this evening before winds significantly weaken late this
evening into the overnight hours. Gusty offshore winds will
gradually shift to light, onshore flow by late this weekend which
will ease fire weather concerns heading into early next week.
However, particularly above 1000 feet, daytime relative humidity
values will be slower to improve with near critically dry conditions
 persisting into early next week. Below 1000 feet, daytime relative
humidity retention will gradually improve from 10-20% to 30-40% by
the Monday to Tuesday timeframe. Above 1000 feet, relative humidity
values will be slower to improve with poor overnight recoveries (20-
35%) and poor daytime retention (15-30%) to continue through
midweek. By mid to late week, widespread improvements in overnight
recoveries and daytime retentions are expected across elevated
terrain.

$$

ECC014-201015-
Morgan Hill ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Alameda and Contra Costa and Santa Clara Counties
307 PM PDT Sat Oct 19 2024

The Red Flag warning will be allowed to expire at 5PM today as
gusty, offshore winds continue to ease and overnight relative
humidity recoveries are expected to improve from poor to moderate
below 1000 feet tonight. Gusts between 25 to 40 mph remain possible
through this evening before winds significantly weaken late this
evening into the overnight hours. Gusty offshore winds will
gradually shift to light, onshore flow by late this weekend which
will ease fire weather concerns heading into early next week.
However, particularly above 1000 feet, daytime relative humidity
values will be slower to improve with near critically dry conditions
 persisting into early next week. Below 1000 feet, daytime relative
humidity retention will gradually improve from 10-20% to 30-40% by
the Monday to Tuesday timeframe. Above 1000 feet, relative humidity
values will be slower to improve with poor overnight recoveries (20-
35%) and poor daytime retention (15-30%) to continue through
midweek. By mid to late week, widespread improvements in overnight
recoveries and daytime retentions are expected across elevated
terrain.

$$

ECC013-201015-
Felton ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Santa Cruz and San Mateo Counties
307 PM PDT Sat Oct 19 2024

The Red Flag warning will be allowed to expire at 5PM today as
gusty, offshore winds continue to ease and overnight relative
humidity recoveries are expected to improve from poor to moderate
below 1000 feet tonight. Gusts between 25 to 40 mph remain possible
through this evening before winds significantly weaken late this
evening into the overnight hours. Gusty offshore winds will
gradually shift to light, onshore flow by late this weekend which
will ease fire weather concerns heading into early next week.
However, particularly above 1000 feet, daytime relative humidity
values will be slower to improve with near critically dry conditions
 persisting into early next week. Below 1000 feet, daytime relative
humidity retention will gradually improve from 10-20% to 30-40% by
the Monday to Tuesday timeframe. Above 1000 feet, relative humidity
values will be slower to improve with poor overnight recoveries (20-
35%) and poor daytime retention (15-30%) to continue through
midweek. By mid to late week, widespread improvements in overnight
recoveries and daytime retentions are expected across elevated
terrain.

$$

ECC018-201015-
Monterey ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Monterey and San Benito County
307 PM PDT Sat Oct 19 2024

The Red Flag warning will be allowed to expire at 5PM today as
gusty, offshore winds continue to ease and overnight relative
humidity recoveries are expected to improve from poor to moderate
below 1000 feet tonight. Gusts between 25 to 40 mph remain possible
through this evening before winds significantly weaken late this
evening into the overnight hours. Gusty offshore winds will
gradually shift to light, onshore flow by late this weekend which
will ease fire weather concerns heading into early next week.
However, particularly above 1000 feet, daytime relative humidity
values will be slower to improve with near critically dry conditions
 persisting into early next week. Below 1000 feet, daytime relative
humidity retention will gradually improve from 10-20% to 30-40% by
the Monday to Tuesday timeframe. Above 1000 feet, relative humidity
values will be slower to improve with poor overnight recoveries (20-
35%) and poor daytime retention (15-30%) to continue through
midweek. By mid to late week, widespread improvements in overnight
recoveries and daytime retentions are expected across elevated
terrain.

$$