


Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA
713 FNUS86 KMTR 112156 FWLMTR ECCDA Discussions National Weather Service SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA 256 PM PDT Sat Oct 11 2025 ##################################################################### ## ## ## Discussions from the latest FWF below ## ## ## ##################################################################### ...Discussion from SFOFWFMTR... Breezy winds and clear skies will continue through Sunday with slightly warmer and drier conditions across the interior. A significant early season rain storm will bring 1-3" across the region from Monday-Tuesday, significantly increasing fuel moisture. There is a good chance for embedded thunderstorms, though they will come with heavy downpours. The latest forecast trend has held the amount of rain fairly steady, with a slight timing shift to an earlier onset on Monday. A warming trend is in store late week, but the substantial rain will keep fire weather concerns very low. ...Discussion from SFOFWFEKA... Patches light rain showers or sprinkles will continue to diminish into this evening, followed by a period of relatively drier weather through Sunday. A colder, wet system will bring more widespread rain and mountain snow late Sunday night through Tuesday. Snow level lowering to about 4500-5000 feet on Monday. There is a potential for isolated thunderstorms on Monday, especially for Mendocino County. Periods of gusty winds expected each day through next week. Drier and warm weather return by mid next week. ##################################################################### ## ## ## Complete a discussion for each ECCDA segment below ## ## When done click transmit, product sent as KMTRFWLMTR ## ## ## ##################################################################### ECC010-121000- St Helena ECC Dispatch- DISCUSSION FOR Marin and Sonoma and Napa Counties 256 PM PDT Sat Oct 11 2025 Breezy winds and clear skies will continue through Sunday with slightly warmer and drier conditions across the interior. A significant early season rain storm will bring 1-3" across the region from Monday-Tuesday, significantly increasing fuel moisture. There is a good chance for embedded thunderstorms, though they will come with heavy downpours. The latest forecast trend has held the amount of rain fairly steady, with a slight timing shift to an earlier onset on Monday. A warming trend is in store late week, but the substantial rain will keep fire weather concerns very low. $$ ECC014-121000- Morgan Hill ECC Dispatch- DISCUSSION FOR Alameda and Contra Costa and Santa Clara Counties 256 PM PDT Sat Oct 11 2025 Breezy winds and clear skies will continue through Sunday with slightly warmer and drier conditions across the interior. A significant early season rain storm will bring 1-3" across the region from Monday-Tuesday, significantly increasing fuel moisture. There is a good chance for embedded thunderstorms, though they will come with heavy downpours. The latest forecast trend has held the amount of rain fairly steady, with a slight timing shift to an earlier onset on Monday. A warming trend is in store late week, but the substantial rain will keep fire weather concerns very low. $$ ECC013-121000- Felton ECC Dispatch- DISCUSSION FOR Santa Cruz and San Mateo Counties 256 PM PDT Sat Oct 11 2025 Breezy winds and clear skies will continue through Sunday with slightly warmer and drier conditions across the interior. A significant early season rain storm will bring 1-3" across the region from Monday-Tuesday, significantly increasing fuel moisture. There is a good chance for embedded thunderstorms, though they will come with heavy downpours. The latest forecast trend has held the amount of rain fairly steady, with a slight timing shift to an earlier onset on Monday. A warming trend is in store late week, but the substantial rain will keep fire weather concerns very low. $$ ECC018-121000- Monterey ECC Dispatch- DISCUSSION FOR Monterey and San Benito County 256 PM PDT Sat Oct 11 2025 Breezy winds and clear skies will continue through Sunday with slightly warmer and drier conditions across the interior. A significant early season rain storm will bring 1-3" across the region from Monday-Tuesday, significantly increasing fuel moisture. There is a good chance for embedded thunderstorms, though they will come with heavy downpours. The latest forecast trend has held the amount of rain fairly steady, with a slight timing shift to an earlier onset on Monday. A warming trend is in store late week, but the substantial rain will keep fire weather concerns very low. $$