Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

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713
FNUS86 KMTR 112156
FWLMTR

ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
256 PM PDT Sat Oct 11 2025

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##            Discussions from the latest FWF below                ##
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...Discussion from SFOFWFMTR...

Breezy winds and clear skies will continue through Sunday with
slightly warmer and drier conditions across the interior. A
significant early season rain storm will bring 1-3"  across the
region from Monday-Tuesday, significantly increasing  fuel moisture.
There is a good chance for embedded thunderstorms, though they will
come with heavy downpours. The latest forecast trend has held the
amount of rain fairly steady, with a slight timing shift to an
earlier onset on Monday. A warming trend is in store late week, but
the substantial rain will keep fire weather  concerns very low.


...Discussion from SFOFWFEKA...

Patches light rain showers or sprinkles will continue to diminish
into this evening, followed by a period of relatively drier weather
through Sunday. A colder, wet system  will bring more widespread
rain and mountain snow late Sunday  night through Tuesday. Snow
level lowering to about 4500-5000  feet on Monday. There is a
potential for isolated thunderstorms on Monday, especially for
Mendocino County. Periods of gusty winds  expected each day through
next week. Drier and warm weather return by mid next week.


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##       Complete a discussion for each ECCDA segment below        ##
##      When done click transmit, product sent as KMTRFWLMTR       ##
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ECC010-121000-
St Helena ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Marin and Sonoma and Napa Counties
256 PM PDT Sat Oct 11 2025

Breezy winds and clear skies will continue through Sunday with
slightly warmer and drier conditions across the interior. A
significant early season rain storm will bring 1-3"  across the
region from Monday-Tuesday, significantly increasing  fuel moisture.
There is a good chance for embedded thunderstorms, though they will
come with heavy downpours. The latest forecast trend has held the
amount of rain fairly steady, with a slight timing shift to an
earlier onset on Monday. A warming trend is in store late week, but
the substantial rain will keep fire weather  concerns very low.

$$

ECC014-121000-
Morgan Hill ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Alameda and Contra Costa and Santa Clara Counties
256 PM PDT Sat Oct 11 2025

Breezy winds and clear skies will continue through Sunday with
slightly warmer and drier conditions across the interior. A
significant early season rain storm will bring 1-3"  across the
region from Monday-Tuesday, significantly increasing  fuel moisture.
There is a good chance for embedded thunderstorms, though they will
come with heavy downpours. The latest forecast trend has held the
amount of rain fairly steady, with a slight timing shift to an
earlier onset on Monday. A warming trend is in store late week, but
the substantial rain will keep fire weather  concerns very low.

$$

ECC013-121000-
Felton ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Santa Cruz and San Mateo Counties
256 PM PDT Sat Oct 11 2025

Breezy winds and clear skies will continue through Sunday with
slightly warmer and drier conditions across the interior. A
significant early season rain storm will bring 1-3"  across the
region from Monday-Tuesday, significantly increasing  fuel moisture.
There is a good chance for embedded thunderstorms, though they will
come with heavy downpours. The latest forecast trend has held the
amount of rain fairly steady, with a slight timing shift to an
earlier onset on Monday. A warming trend is in store late week, but
the substantial rain will keep fire weather  concerns very low.

$$

ECC018-121000-
Monterey ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Monterey and San Benito County
256 PM PDT Sat Oct 11 2025

Breezy winds and clear skies will continue through Sunday with
slightly warmer and drier conditions across the interior. A
significant early season rain storm will bring 1-3"  across the
region from Monday-Tuesday, significantly increasing  fuel moisture.
There is a good chance for embedded thunderstorms, though they will
come with heavy downpours. The latest forecast trend has held the
amount of rain fairly steady, with a slight timing shift to an
earlier onset on Monday. A warming trend is in store late week, but
the substantial rain will keep fire weather  concerns very low.

$$