Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

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729
FNUS86 KMTR 172154
FWLMTR

ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
254 PM PDT Fri Oct 17 2025

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##            Discussions from the latest FWF below                ##
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...Discussion from SFOFWFMTR...

Surface high pressure will build across the Great  Basin tonight and
Saturday morning, the high will weaken later in the weekend then
strengthen again late Sunday night and Monday.  Meanwhile our
district will be under a nearly stationary upper  level ridge of
high pressure which in combination with occasionally mainly weak
offshore winds, compressional warming aloft, a shallow marine layer
depth and a mid October sun angle will result in warm and dry
conditions through early next week. Humidity recoveries in the
higher elevations will remain moderate to more locally poor over the
Santa Lucia Mountains/Los Padres National Forest. Beginning by late
Monday night and early Tuesday an upper level low 500 miles
west-southwest of San Diego will move east-northeast across southern
California Wednesday. This will help open the door to a wet Pacific
weather pattern reaching northern California, including in our
district, beginning late next week.


...Discussion from SFOFWFEKA...

Conditions will very slowly warm and dry through  the end of the
week with daytime RH near 30 percent and highs  in the high 70s to
low 80s degrees for interior valleys through Saturday. Breezy
offshore winds are possible in the higher  terrain tonight but
otherwise daytime winds will be very light. A weak front will bring
a slight chance for a wetting rainfall  Sunday for coastal Del Norte
County.


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##       Complete a discussion for each ECCDA segment below        ##
##      When done click transmit, product sent as KMTRFWLMTR       ##
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ECC010-181000-
St Helena ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Marin and Sonoma and Napa Counties
254 PM PDT Fri Oct 17 2025

Surface high pressure will build across the Great  Basin tonight and
Saturday morning, the high will weaken later in the weekend then
strengthen again late Sunday night and Monday.  Meanwhile our
district will be under a nearly stationary upper  level ridge of
high pressure which in combination with occasionally mainly weak
offshore winds, compressional warming aloft, a shallow marine layer
depth and a mid October sun angle will result in warm and dry
conditions through early next week. Humidity recoveries in the
higher elevations will remain moderate to more locally poor over the
Santa Lucia Mountains/Los Padres National Forest. Beginning by late
Monday night and early Tuesday an upper level low 500 miles
west-southwest of San Diego will move east-northeast across southern
California Wednesday. This will help open the door to a wet Pacific
weather pattern reaching northern California, including in our
district, beginning late next week.

$$

ECC014-181000-
Morgan Hill ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Alameda and Contra Costa and Santa Clara Counties
254 PM PDT Fri Oct 17 2025

Surface high pressure will build across the Great  Basin tonight and
Saturday morning, the high will weaken later in the weekend then
strengthen again late Sunday night and Monday.  Meanwhile our
district will be under a nearly stationary upper  level ridge of
high pressure which in combination with occasionally mainly weak
offshore winds, compressional warming aloft, a shallow marine layer
depth and a mid October sun angle will result in warm and dry
conditions through early next week. Humidity recoveries in the
higher elevations will remain moderate to more locally poor over the
Santa Lucia Mountains/Los Padres National Forest. Beginning by late
Monday night and early Tuesday an upper level low 500 miles
west-southwest of San Diego will move east-northeast across southern
California Wednesday. This will help open the door to a wet Pacific
weather pattern reaching northern California, including in our
district, beginning late next week.

$$

ECC013-181000-
Felton ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Santa Cruz and San Mateo Counties
254 PM PDT Fri Oct 17 2025

Surface high pressure will build across the Great  Basin tonight and
Saturday morning, the high will weaken later in the weekend then
strengthen again late Sunday night and Monday.  Meanwhile our
district will be under a nearly stationary upper  level ridge of
high pressure which in combination with occasionally mainly weak
offshore winds, compressional warming aloft, a shallow marine layer
depth and a mid October sun angle will result in warm and dry
conditions through early next week. Humidity recoveries in the
higher elevations will remain moderate to more locally poor over the
Santa Lucia Mountains/Los Padres National Forest. Beginning by late
Monday night and early Tuesday an upper level low 500 miles
west-southwest of San Diego will move east-northeast across southern
California Wednesday. This will help open the door to a wet Pacific
weather pattern reaching northern California, including in our
district, beginning late next week.

$$

ECC018-181000-
Monterey ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Monterey and San Benito County
254 PM PDT Fri Oct 17 2025

Surface high pressure will build across the Great  Basin tonight and
Saturday morning, the high will weaken later in the weekend then
strengthen again late Sunday night and Monday.  Meanwhile our
district will be under a nearly stationary upper  level ridge of
high pressure which in combination with occasionally mainly weak
offshore winds, compressional warming aloft, a shallow marine layer
depth and a mid October sun angle will result in warm and dry
conditions through early next week. Humidity recoveries in the
higher elevations will remain moderate to more locally poor over the
Santa Lucia Mountains/Los Padres National Forest. Beginning by late
Monday night and early Tuesday an upper level low 500 miles
west-southwest of San Diego will move east-northeast across southern
California Wednesday. This will help open the door to a wet Pacific
weather pattern reaching northern California, including in our
district, beginning late next week.

$$