Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

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FNUS86 KMTR 181120
FWLMTR

ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
420 AM PDT Fri Oct 18 2024

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##            Discussions from the latest FWF below                ##
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...Discussion from SFOFWFMTR...

...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS INCREASE INTO THE
EVENING. AS SUCH, RED FLAG WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR DRY
CONDITIONS, CRITICAL LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND STRONG WINDS
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

Dry and gusty offshore winds will lead to rapid  drying,
compressional warming, and poor relative humidity recovery and
retention through Saturday with some locations seeing as low as 10%.
The windiest timeframes will be through the morning hours of Friday
as well as Friday night through Saturday morning with  winds largely
on the order of 25-35 mph with gusts to 50 mph, isolated gusts to
65 mph across the highest terrain and ridgetops and through gaps
and passes. No relative humidity recovery is expected in higher
elevations with only moderate relative humidity recovery at best
expected in bayside/coastal locations. While fuels are near average
for this time of year, they are expected to dry as the week
progresses. Winds diminish Saturday night, but relative humidity
will be slow to recover going into next week.

...Discussion from SFOFWFEKA...

Breezy northerly to northwesterly winds will redeveloped along the
coast this afternoon, while offshore winds  diminish slightly across
the interior. Minimum RH will drop into  the low teens today and
remain low through weekend. RH recoveries  at mid elevations will
become poorer each night into the weekend  as low as 20 percent in
Lake County. Northeast winds are expected  to restrengthen later
this evening, concentrated around the rim  of the Sacramento Valley
and in well oriented terrain such as the  Russian River Valley and
around Clear Lake. Winds will be  strongest at night with peak wind
gusts tonight and early Friday  of 25 to 35 mph. Strong winds
combined with very low RH will lead  to critical fire weather
conditions in southern Lake County. Conditions will greatly ease
again through the weekend and into early next week with higher RH
and much calmer winds.


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##       Complete a discussion for each ECCDA segment below        ##
##      When done click transmit, product sent as KMTRFWLMTR       ##
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ECC010-182330-
St Helena ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Marin and Sonoma and Napa Counties
420 AM PDT Fri Oct 18 2024

Dry and gusty offshore winds will lead to rapid  drying,
compressional warming, and poor relative humidity recovery and
retention through Saturday with some locations seeing as low as 10%.
The windiest timeframes will be through the morning hours of Friday
as well as Friday night through Saturday morning with  winds largely
on the order of 25-35 mph with gusts to 50 mph,  isolated gusts to
65 mph across the highest terrain and ridgetops  and through gaps
and passes. No relative humidity recovery is  expected in higher
elevations with only moderate relative humidity recovery at best
expected in bayside/coastal locations. While  fuels are near average
for this time of year, they are expected to dry as the week
progresses. Winds diminish Saturday night, but  relative humidity
will be slow to recover going into next week.

$$

ECC014-182330-
Morgan Hill ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Alameda and Contra Costa and Santa Clara Counties
420 AM PDT Fri Oct 18 2024

Dry and gusty offshore winds will lead to rapid  drying,
compressional warming, and poor relative humidity recovery and
retention through Saturday with some locations seeing as low as 10%.
The windiest timeframes will be through the morning hours of Friday
as well as Friday night through Saturday morning with  winds largely
on the order of 25-35 mph with gusts to 50 mph,  isolated gusts to
65 mph across the highest terrain and ridgetops  and through gaps
and passes. No relative humidity recovery is  expected in higher
elevations with only moderate relative humidity recovery at best
expected in bayside/coastal locations. While  fuels are near average
for this time of year, they are expected to dry as the week
progresses. Winds diminish Saturday night, but  relative humidity
will be slow to recover going into next week.

$$

ECC013-182330-
Felton ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Santa Cruz and San Mateo Counties
420 AM PDT Fri Oct 18 2024

Dry and gusty offshore winds will lead to rapid  drying,
compressional warming, and poor relative humidity recovery and
retention through Saturday with some locations seeing as low as 10%.
The windiest timeframes will be through the morning hours of Friday
as well as Friday night through Saturday morning with  winds largely
on the order of 25-35 mph with gusts to 50 mph,  isolated gusts to
65 mph across the highest terrain and ridgetops  and through gaps
and passes. No relative humidity recovery is  expected in higher
elevations with only moderate relative humidity recovery at best
expected in bayside/coastal locations. While  fuels are near average
for this time of year, they are expected to dry as the week
progresses. Winds diminish Saturday night, but  relative humidity
will be slow to recover going into next week.

$$

ECC018-182330-
Monterey ECC Dispatch-
DISCUSSION FOR Monterey and San Benito County
420 AM PDT Fri Oct 18 2024

Dry and gusty offshore winds will lead to rapid  drying,
compressional warming, and poor relative humidity recovery and
retention through Saturday with some locations seeing as low as 10%.
The windiest timeframes will be through the morning hours of Friday
as well as Friday night through Saturday morning with  winds largely
on the order of 25-35 mph with gusts to 50 mph,  isolated gusts to
65 mph across the highest terrain and ridgetops  and through gaps
and passes. No relative humidity recovery is  expected in higher
elevations with only moderate relative humidity recovery at best
expected in bayside/coastal locations. While  fuels are near average
for this time of year, they are expected to dry as the week
progresses. Winds diminish Saturday night, but  relative humidity
will be slow to recover going into next week.

$$