Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT

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649
FNUS75 KMSO 161220
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Lost Falls
National Weather Service Missoula MT
620 AM MDT Sat Aug 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on August 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A band of weak showers will continue to move over
the fire area this morning. The storms are expected to strengthen
slightly this afternoon with outflow gusts up to 25 mph. The
convection will diminish during the evening, then another round of
storms are expected to move through after midnight. These storms
will also have the potential of outflow winds up to 30 mph. The
storms will diminish by mid morning. Showers and thunderstorms
appear to be farther to the south on Sunday, but can not
completely rule out a storm near the fire. Temperatures will be
slightly cooler today, but then steadily warming Sunday through
Tuesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Slight
  chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent.
* Chance Lightning....25 percent.
* Max Temperature.....65-70.
* Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 5-10 mph
  in the afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........West 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
  thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of rain
  overnight.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent.
* Chance Lightning....20 percent.
* Min Temperature.....50-55.
* Max Humidity........74-79 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........West 5-10 mph.
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.01 inches.

.SUNDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain in the
  morning, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
  afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent.
* Chance Lightning....20 percent.
* Max Temperature.....67-72.
* Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........West 5-10 mph.
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 5 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

$$
Forecaster...Smith
Requested by...Maria Helterline
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520017.0/MSO
.DELDT 08/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mtmdc@firenet.gov