836
FNUS75 KMSO 040136
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Richmond Fire
National Weather Service Missoula MT
736 PM MDT Thu Jul 3 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1922 MDT on July 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Westerly winds will continue through this evening, with occasional
gusts near 15 mph. Winds will switch out of the northwest after
sunset. Thermal belts will develop tonight under a ridge of high
pressure, with recoveries in the mid-40s. Winds will remain out of
the northwest tonight before shifting to the southeast after
sunrise. A trough of low pressure will bring waves of showers and
thunderstorms Friday into Saturday. The first round of rain will
arrive around noon Friday, with an hour or two of precipitation.
The atmosphere will destabilize in the afternoon, with
thunderstorms developing in the area by early afternoon. Storms
will be capable of producing brief heavy rain and outflow winds
near 30 mph through the evening. Showers will continue tomorrow
night into Saturday as the trough moves into northwest Montana and
stalls. Through Saturday morning, confidence is high (>90%
probability) for wetting rains, with a 60% chance for 0.25 inches
and 37% chance for 0.50 inches of rain.


.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent.
* Chance Lightning....0 percent.
* LAL.................
* Min Temperature.....51-56.
* Max Humidity........40-45 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 4-7 mph.
* Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl decreasing to less than 100 ft
  agl early in the evening.
* Mixing Winds........Northwest 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. Chance of
  rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...40 percent.
* Chance Lightning....20 percent.
* LAL.................
* Max Temperature.....63-68.
* Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 3-5 mph shifting to the west 5-6
  mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
* Mixing Winds........Southeast 5 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.05-0.25 inches.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight
  chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of rain
  overnight.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...50 percent.
* Chance Lightning....20 percent.
* LAL.................
* Min Temperature.....46-51.
* Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........North 5-6 mph.
* Mixing Height.......Less than 100 ft agl.
* Mixing Winds........South 5 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.07-0.20 inches.

.SATURDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight
  chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers
  and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...50 percent.
* Chance Lightning....30 percent.
* LAL.................
* Max Temperature.....55-60.
* Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........West 5-6 mph.
* Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl increasing to 4000 ft agl late in
  the afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........West 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.07-0.15 inches.


$$
Forecaster...Lukinbeal
Requested by...Missoula Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2500000.0/MSO
.DELDT 07/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mtmdc@firenet.gov, alex.lukinbeal@noaa.gov